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328 N Paca St 🔨 Auction
F Composite 21.05
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Cash flow +3.7/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

328 N Paca St · Baltimore, MD 21201
1 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,637 sqft · Townhouse public records · 217 Days on market
Built 1910 871 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/11/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/15/2026 @ 12:50 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $15,000. This three-story multi-unit townhouse is located in the University of Maryland area of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Inner Harbor, with Lexington Market, UMMC, the National Aquarium, Mercy Medical Center, UMMC Midtown, and Mount Clare Junction Shopping Center. The property is rented. The area provides easy access to a major traffic artery, W Mulberry St, connecting to other regional parts of the city.

Key facts

  • Built 1910
  • Listed 217 days

Tags

CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN BALTIMORESHORT DISTANCE TO INNER HARBORNEARBY LEXINGTON MARKETNEARBY NATIONAL AQUARIUMNEARBY MERCY MEDICAL CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $100,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $398,618 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/4.0-bath townhouse listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 2.8% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 61 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 217 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 217 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.38%
Cap rate
2.76%
Cash-on-cash
-12.63%
DSCR
0.44
GRM
21.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$398,618
List price
$100,000
Delta
-74.91%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-42.1%
Equity multiple
-0.29×
Total profit
$-143,694
Equity at exit
$59,435
10-year hold
IRR
-86.7%
Equity multiple
-1.13×
Total profit
$-238,146
Equity at exit
$34,465

Cash invested: $111,613 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21201

Home prices YoY
-3.8%
Rents YoY
0.3%
Active inventory
61
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,531 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,090
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,529/yr
Insurance
$166
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$-1,175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,018
Max offer price $191,102
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,655
Closing costs
$11,959
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–3.0 1267 $1,480 $1.17 2d 9 0.28mi
8 N Howard St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 1433 $2,400 $1.67 1d 36 0.34mi
19 E Fayette St Baltimore, MD 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1342 $1,450 $1.08 12d 5 0.54mi
19 E Fayette St Apt 501 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 2063 $1,795 $0.87 3d 1 0.54mi
19 E Fayette St Apt 502 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 2063 $1,895 $0.92 3d 1 0.54mi
1020 Park Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0–2.5 2004 $3,712 $1.85 2d 11 0.63mi
869 Hollins St Unit 3F Baltimore, MD 1.0 3628 $949 $0.26 21d 1 0.63mi
1012 W Lanvale St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2008 $1,925 $0.96 23d 1 0.68mi
617 S Paca St Unit A Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 2528 $1,550 $0.61 17d 1 0.76mi
1214 N Charles St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $1,833 $1.66 1d 14 0.78mi
1427 Bolton St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1802 $3,600 $2.00 4d 1 0.90mi
1102 Carroll St Unit B Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.5 2285 $800 $0.35 4d 1 0.96mi
1702 Eutaw Pl Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2000 $1,550 $0.78 17d 1 0.98mi
1433 W Lombard St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 3510 $1,299 $0.37 10d 1 1.08mi
2014 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 2440 $1,200 $0.49 43d 1 1.18mi
2020 McCulloh St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2440 $1,950 $0.80 43d 1 1.19mi
2020 McCulloh St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 2440 $1,650 $0.68 43d 1 1.19mi
1824 Saint Paul St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 2397 $1,275 $0.53 43d 1 1.22mi
1725 Hollins St Unit 4 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 2796 $1,195 $0.43 44d 1 1.25mi
1725 Hollins St #3 Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 2796 $1,195 $0.43 43d 1 1.25mi
139 E North Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 3060 $1,300 $0.42 43d 1 1.26mi
555 President St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0–4.0 1352 $3,192 $2.36 2d 1 1.27mi
301 Warren Ave Baltimore, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1533 $1,926 $1.26 1d 9 1.27mi
244 S Exeter St Unit 3 Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 2532 $1,800 $0.71 23d 1 1.27mi
241 S Exeter St Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 2112 $1,490 $0.71 17d 1 1.29mi
801 Key Hwy Unit P60 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1864 $6,500 $3.49 23d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $100,000 Pending 217 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $100,000 Active 217 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $100,000 Active 216 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $100,000 Active 214 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $100,000 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $100,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $100,000 Active 208 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $100,000 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $100,000 Active 204 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $100,000 Active 203 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $100,000 Active 202 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $100,000 Active 201 DOM
  13. 2026-05-20
    price $100,000 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/11/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/15/2026 @ 12:50 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $15,000. This three-story multi-unit townhouse is located in the University of Maryland area of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Inner Harbor, with Lexington Market, UMMC, the National Aquarium, Mercy Medical Center, UMMC Midtown, and Mount Clare Junction Shopping Center. The property is rented. The area provides easy access to a major traffic artery, W Mulberry St, connecting to other regional parts of the city.

  14. 2026-04-08
    price $200,000 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/11/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/15/2026 @ 12:50 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $15,000. This three-story multi-unit townhouse is located in the University of Maryland area of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Inner Harbor, with Lexington Market, UMMC, the National Aquarium, Mercy Medical Center, UMMC Midtown, and Mount Clare Junction Shopping Center. The property is rented. The area provides easy access to a major traffic artery, W Mulberry St, connecting to other regional parts of the city.

  15. 2025-11-11
    listed $100,000 Active 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    ONLINE AUCTION: This auction takes place on the Ashland Auction Group website bidding platform. Bidding begins 6/11/2026 @ 10:00 AM. Bidding ends 6/15/2026 @ 12:50 PM. The list price is the suggested opening bid. Deposit: $15,000. This three-story multi-unit townhouse is located in the University of Maryland area of Baltimore City. Residents can enjoy the nearby facilities and attractions such as the Inner Harbor, with Lexington Market, UMMC, the National Aquarium, Mercy Medical Center, UMMC Midtown, and Mount Clare Junction Shopping Center. The property is rented. The area provides easy access to a major traffic artery, W Mulberry St, connecting to other regional parts of the city.

  16. 2025-09-16
    historical
  17. 2025-07-23
    listed $175,000 Active
  18. 2025-04-22
    soldstatus $200,000
  19. 2008-03-27
    soldstatus $230,000
  20. 2008-03-24
    soldstatus $230,000
  21. 2008-03-24
    soldstatus $230,000 Sold
  22. 2008-03-05
    historical
  23. 2008-03-01
    historical
  24. 2008-01-31
    price $235,000
  25. 2007-07-17
    price $245,000
  26. 2006-09-13
    listed $265,000
  27. 2006-09-12
    listed $235,000
  28. 2005-09-13
    soldstatus $135,500
  29. 2005-04-12
    soldstatus $135,000
  30. 2005-02-04
    historical
  31. 2004-06-24
    listed $129,900
  32. 2004-06-22
    soldstatus $77,000
  33. 1999-05-30
    historical
  34. 1999-01-12
    listed
  35. 1997-12-17
    soldstatus $92,571
  36. 1997-12-17
    soldstatus $175,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,529 · $127/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,368
− Mortgage interest
−$22,329
− Property taxes
−$1,529
− Insurance
−$1,993
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,469
− Management
−$1,469
− Depreciation
−$11,596
Taxable loss
−$22,018
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,284
After-tax cash flow
$-8,812/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
18,307
Household income
$45,640
Rent vs Own
89.0% rent · 11.0% own
Severe rent burden
2648.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
Black 61% White 23% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -10.03%
Current HPI
257.3988
Rent YoY
▲ 0.28%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-11-11 Listed $100,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-09-16 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-07-23 Listed $175,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 2008-03-27 Sold (Public Records) $230,000 Public Records
  • 2008-03-24 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MRIS
  • 2008-03-24 Sold (MLS) $230,000 MRIS
  • 2008-03-05 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-03-01 Delisted MRIS
  • 2008-01-31 Price Changed $235,000 MRIS
  • 2007-07-17 Price Changed $245,000 MRIS
  • 2006-09-13 Listed $265,000 MRIS
  • 2006-09-12 Listed $235,000 MRIS
  • 2005-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $135,500 Public Records
  • 2005-04-12 Sold (MLS) $135,000 MRIS
  • 2005-02-04 Delisted MRIS
  • 2004-06-24 Listed $129,900 MRIS
  • 2004-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $77,000 Public Records
  • 1999-05-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 1999-01-12 Listed MRIS
  • 1997-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
  • 1997-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $92,571 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,529 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…