3709 Wyndfair Dr · Angier, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom, 2 full bath home sitting on just over an acre of land with tons of updates! HVAC AND ROOF ARE NEW! Step inside to brand-new LVP flooring and fresh paint throughout. Spacious kitchen offers ample counter space, brand-new granite countertops, a tile backsplash, and all-new stainless steel appliances. The master bathroom is a dream, complete with a soaking tub, walk-in shower, and dual vanity sink. Schedule your showing today!!!
Key facts
- Fresh paint
- Acre of land
- New hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Lot about 1.01 acres; Zoned R-20; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $233k (6.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $233k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.9% in Angier — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#69 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Wake County Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #35 of 178 in NC (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: South Lakes Elementary (math 46% / reading 53%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 815 students, 23% FRL); Fuquay-Varina Middle (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #127 of 475 statewide, top 28%, 1,164 students, 29% FRL); Willow Spring High (1,477 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 28% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1151 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 15,249 units permitted in Wake County in 2024 (5,568 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wake County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $121k; list at $250k implies a 107% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.36%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,419
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $8,646
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27526
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 1151
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,331 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,363/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$489
- Net cashflow
- $312
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $454 | -5% $383 | +0% $312 | +5% $242 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $128 | -5% $220 | +0% $312 | +5% $404 | +10% $497 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $438 | -0.5pp $376 | base $312 | +0.5pp $248 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2917 Horse Rein Pl Willow Spring, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2210 | $2,300 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1200 Matterhorn Dr Fuquay Varina, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1924 | $2,095 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1631 Chestnut Tree Dr Fuquay Varina, NC | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2132 | $2,145 | $1.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 713 Hough Pond Ln Fuquay Varina, NC | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.5 | 2061 | $2,560 | $1.24 | 3d | 14 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-21status Pending
-
2026-05-15$250,000 Active
-
2022-09-16soldstatus $121,000
-
2000-11-06soldstatus $105,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,363 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$687/yr (+$57/mo · 50.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$1,363
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,237
- − Management
- −$2,237
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$397
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$95
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,844/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wake County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704720
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,509
- Composite
- 49.41/100
- National rank
- #2010
- State rank
- #35 of 178 in NC
Livability — Angier
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #5182
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wake County · 1,216,256 people
- City population
- 24,806
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,588
- Household income
- $110,017
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 844.0
Population outlook (Wake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,293,152 people
- By 2030
- 1,428,223 · +10.4%
- By 2040
- 1,698,188 · +31.3%
- By 2050
- 1,955,807 · +51.2%
- By 2075
- 2,520,273 · +94.9%
- By 2100
- 2,893,335 · +123.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+25.5) · D 61.9% · R 36.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.1pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+25.5 2020: D+26.4 2016: D+20.5 2012: D+10.2 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.48%
- Current HPI
- 246.1976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Raleigh-Cary, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+137.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $250,000 TMLS
- 2022-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $121,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $105,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,363 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…