4827 S Mcminn Ct · Gilbert, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- Appreciation +9.2/10.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$617,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this Turn-Key BEAUTY!! Tucked away nicely in a serene cul-de-sac, this Spacious Home is sure to Impress. With an Open Layout the Well-Suited Kitchen features a Perfectly Appointed Island, Ample amount of Classic White Cabinets, Sleek Black Countertops and Stainless-Steel Appliances. Open to the Great Room, this Spacious Light and Bright Home Offers 3 Bedrooms + Den (Could be converted into a 4th bedroom) and 2 Bathrooms with Walk-In Closets throughout. In the Large Primary Suite, find a Gorgeous En-suite with Dual Vanities and Walk-In Shower. Beautiful Diamond Pattern Tile throughout the main living areas. Perfectly Situated on a large lot, the Saltwater Pool comes Fully equipped with self-regulating temperature which adjusts from warm to cool. This Nice Sized Backyard has been beautifully landscaped and comes equipped with a newer drip system (front and back) a Covered Kool-Deck Patio with Professionally installed Misters on the Entire Patio, including the side lounging area and there is even a Gated Dog run. It's the Perfect Space for Entertaining or Just Relaxing Outdoors. Located in Layton Lakes you can Enjoy Community Amenities such as lakes, streams, a fishing dock, 5 miles of meandering lighted trails surrounding lakes, waterfalls, equestrian trails, baseball and softball fields, tot lots, shaded ramadas, BBQ areas, splash park, basketball and lighted tennis courts. This is an amazing opportunity to be in a wonderful area and have the lifestyle you have been looking for! Conveniently located near the 202, San Tan Mall and Gilbert Regional Park.
Key facts
- Well-suited kitchen
- Open layout
- 7,976 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $618k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-17k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $369k (40.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $307k (50.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $307k (50.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#1 in AZ, #240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242) (suburban): math 49% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #31 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Haley Elementary (math 62% / reading 70%, grade B+, #82 of 1,109 statewide, top 8%, 765 students, 11% FRL); Willie & Coy Payne Jr. High (math 47% / reading 53%, grade C, #26 of 218 statewide, top 12%, 1,143 students, 11% FRL); Perry High School (math 48% / reading 50%, grade D, #43 of 381 statewide, top 11%, 2,822 students, 12% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 340 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $56k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $52k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$90k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($599k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $455k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 50% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.50% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.79%
- DSCR
- 0.56
- GRM
- 16.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $668,263
- List price
- $617,700
- Delta
- -7.57%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4827 S Mcminn Ct | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 2,042 (0%) | 0mo | $619,000 | $303 | 96 |
| 634 E Buckingham Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (+0%) | 0mo | $690,000 | $337 | 71 |
| 1332 E Cassia Ln | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,097 (+3%) | 4mo | $618,000 | $295 | 70 |
| 658 E Rojo Way | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (+0%) | 2mo | $670,000 | $328 | 69 |
| 621 E Buckingham Ave | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (+0%) | 3mo | $705,000 | $345 | 68 |
| 4748 S Riata St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (+0%) | 3mo | $710,000 | $347 | 67 |
| 941 E Drexel Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 1,794 (-12%) | 5mo | $565,000 | $315 | 63 |
| 4642 S Cobblestone St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,888 (-8%) | 4mo | $525,000 | $278 | 60 |
| 1307 E Mia Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,940 (-5%) | 4mo | $605,000 | $312 | 58 |
| 3183 S Magnolia Ln | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,928 (-6%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $239 | 58 |
| 4702 S Riata St | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (-10%) | 2mo | $621,000 | $340 | 51 |
| 4341 S Mayfair Way | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,172 (+6%) | 5mo | $664,000 | $306 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
8.36% appreciation · 4.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $182,913
- Equity at exit
- $484,616
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.51×
- Total profit
- $606,838
- Equity at exit
- $976,963
Cash invested: $172,956 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85298
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 16.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,239
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$257
- HOA
- −$116
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$645
- Net cashflow
- $-1,411
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,061 | -5% $-1,236 | +0% $-1,411 | +5% $-1,585 | +10% $-1,760 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,653 | -5% $-1,532 | +0% $-1,411 | +5% $-1,289 | +10% $-1,168 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,099 | -0.5pp $-1,253 | base $-1,411 | +0.5pp $-1,571 | +1.0pp $-1,733 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $154,425
- Closing costs
- $18,531
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1133 E Buckingham Ave Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2571 | $2,999 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1129 E Regent Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2323 | $3,100 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1315 E Walnut Rd Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2097 | $2,145 | $1.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 4535 S Ellesmere St Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2324 | $2,650 | $1.14 | 16d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 4957 S Stonecreek Blvd Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2418 | $2,600 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3883 E Desert Broom Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1937 | $2,849 | $1.47 | 26d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3123 S Scarlet Ln Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1507 | $2,260 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 729 E Zesta Ln #103 Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,350 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4548 S Renaissance Dr #105 Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,195 | $1.54 | 0d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 3739 E Trinity Ln Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1741 | $2,349 | $1.35 | 7d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1447 E Mia Ln Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2421 | $2,345 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 638 E Charlevoix Ave Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2945 | $3,950 | $1.34 | 0d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1546 E Nightingale Ln Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2421 | $3,500 | $1.45 | 20d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 884 E Ladbroke Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2211 | $2,900 | $1.31 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1546 E Azalea Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1831 | $3,300 | $1.80 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1477 E Hummingbird Way Gilbert, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2055 | $2,550 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1544 E Hummingbird Way Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2771 | $2,895 | $1.04 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1544 E Hummingbird Way Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2771 | $2,995 | $1.08 | 0d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3653 E Sparrow Pl Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2049 | $2,400 | $1.17 | 19d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3653 E Sparrow Pl Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2049 | $2,400 | $1.17 | 26d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3290 E Wisteria Pl Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $2,495 | $1.42 | 26d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2910 S Miller Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2298 | $3,400 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 2840 S Miller Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2298 | $2,750 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1533 E Sourwood Ct Gilbert, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2750 | $3,300 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3051 E Lark Dr Chandler, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2170 | $2,500 | $1.15 | 5d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2560 S Dragoon Dr Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2889 | $3,100 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 3581 E Zion Way Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2064 | $2,900 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1277 E Tonto Dr Gilbert, AZ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2952 | $4,000 | $1.36 | 26d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3032 E Bluebird Pl Chandler, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2170 | $2,795 | $1.29 | 7d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4213 S Buckskin Way Chandler, AZ | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2744 | $3,399 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3936 S Decatur Dr Gilbert, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1902 | $3,196 | $1.68 | 0d | 10 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $116 · $1,392/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolsecurity
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 1594-char remark
Show marketing remark (1594 chars)
Welcome home to this Turn-Key BEAUTY!! Tucked away nicely in a serene cul-de-sac, this Spacious Home is sure to Impress. With an Open Layout the Well-Suited Kitchen features a Perfectly Appointed Island, Ample amount of Classic White Cabinets, Sleek Black Countertops and Stainless-Steel Appliances. Open to the Great Room, this Spacious Light and Bright Home Offers 3 Bedrooms + Den (Could be converted into a 4th bedroom) and 2 Bathrooms with Walk-In Closets throughout. In the Large Primary Suite, find a Gorgeous En-suite with Dual Vanities and Walk-In Shower. Beautiful Diamond Pattern Tile throughout the main living areas. Perfectly Situated on a large lot, the Saltwater Pool comes Fully equipped with self-regulating temperature which adjusts from warm to cool. This Nice Sized Backyard has been beautifully landscaped and comes equipped with a newer drip system (front and back) a Covered Kool-Deck Patio with Professionally installed Misters on the Entire Patio, including the side lounging area and there is even a Gated Dog run. It's the Perfect Space for Entertaining or Just Relaxing Outdoors. Located in Layton Lakes you can Enjoy Community Amenities such as lakes, streams, a fishing dock, 5 miles of meandering lighted trails surrounding lakes, waterfalls, equestrian trails, baseball and softball fields, tot lots, shaded ramadas, BBQ areas, splash park, basketball and lighted tennis courts. This is an amazing opportunity to be in a wonderful area and have the lifestyle you have been looking for! Conveniently located near the 202, San Tan Mall and Gilbert Regional Park.
-
2026-04-16price $617,700 1594-char remark
Show marketing remark (1594 chars)
Welcome home to this Turn-Key BEAUTY!! Tucked away nicely in a serene cul-de-sac, this Spacious Home is sure to Impress. With an Open Layout the Well-Suited Kitchen features a Perfectly Appointed Island, Ample amount of Classic White Cabinets, Sleek Black Countertops and Stainless-Steel Appliances. Open to the Great Room, this Spacious Light and Bright Home Offers 3 Bedrooms + Den (Could be converted into a 4th bedroom) and 2 Bathrooms with Walk-In Closets throughout. In the Large Primary Suite, find a Gorgeous En-suite with Dual Vanities and Walk-In Shower. Beautiful Diamond Pattern Tile throughout the main living areas. Perfectly Situated on a large lot, the Saltwater Pool comes Fully equipped with self-regulating temperature which adjusts from warm to cool. This Nice Sized Backyard has been beautifully landscaped and comes equipped with a newer drip system (front and back) a Covered Kool-Deck Patio with Professionally installed Misters on the Entire Patio, including the side lounging area and there is even a Gated Dog run. It's the Perfect Space for Entertaining or Just Relaxing Outdoors. Located in Layton Lakes you can Enjoy Community Amenities such as lakes, streams, a fishing dock, 5 miles of meandering lighted trails surrounding lakes, waterfalls, equestrian trails, baseball and softball fields, tot lots, shaded ramadas, BBQ areas, splash park, basketball and lighted tennis courts. This is an amazing opportunity to be in a wonderful area and have the lifestyle you have been looking for! Conveniently located near the 202, San Tan Mall and Gilbert Regional Park.
-
2026-03-19$619,888 Active 1594-char remark
Show marketing remark (1594 chars)
Welcome home to this Turn-Key BEAUTY!! Tucked away nicely in a serene cul-de-sac, this Spacious Home is sure to Impress. With an Open Layout the Well-Suited Kitchen features a Perfectly Appointed Island, Ample amount of Classic White Cabinets, Sleek Black Countertops and Stainless-Steel Appliances. Open to the Great Room, this Spacious Light and Bright Home Offers 3 Bedrooms + Den (Could be converted into a 4th bedroom) and 2 Bathrooms with Walk-In Closets throughout. In the Large Primary Suite, find a Gorgeous En-suite with Dual Vanities and Walk-In Shower. Beautiful Diamond Pattern Tile throughout the main living areas. Perfectly Situated on a large lot, the Saltwater Pool comes Fully equipped with self-regulating temperature which adjusts from warm to cool. This Nice Sized Backyard has been beautifully landscaped and comes equipped with a newer drip system (front and back) a Covered Kool-Deck Patio with Professionally installed Misters on the Entire Patio, including the side lounging area and there is even a Gated Dog run. It's the Perfect Space for Entertaining or Just Relaxing Outdoors. Located in Layton Lakes you can Enjoy Community Amenities such as lakes, streams, a fishing dock, 5 miles of meandering lighted trails surrounding lakes, waterfalls, equestrian trails, baseball and softball fields, tot lots, shaded ramadas, BBQ areas, splash park, basketball and lighted tennis courts. This is an amazing opportunity to be in a wonderful area and have the lifestyle you have been looking for! Conveniently located near the 202, San Tan Mall and Gilbert Regional Park.
-
2025-11-18historical
-
2025-11-12price $625,444
-
2025-08-27price $630,000
-
2025-08-15$638,700 Active
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $455,000 Closed
-
2020-12-29soldstatus $455,000
-
2020-11-30historical Under Contract Accepting Backups
-
2020-11-20$450,000 Active
-
2017-12-07soldstatus $350,000 Closed
-
2017-12-07soldstatus $350,000
-
2017-11-08status Pending
-
2017-10-27price $354,990
-
2017-10-20price $359,990
-
2017-10-04$364,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,684 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,077 · $340/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,393/yr (+$116/mo · 51.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,847
- − Mortgage interest
- −$34,601
- − Property taxes
- −$2,684
- − Insurance
- −$3,088
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,948
- − Management
- −$2,948
- − HOA
- −$1,392
- − Depreciation
- −$17,969
- Taxable loss
- −$28,783
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$6,908
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,019/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chandler Unified District #80 (4242)
- NCES district ID
- 0401870
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,048
- Composite
- 47.54/100
- National rank
- #2268
- State rank
- #31 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Gilbert
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gilbert, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 281,769
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,114
- Household income
- $156,425
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 173.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.36%
- Current HPI
- 343.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.31%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+69.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $617,700 ARMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $619,888 ARMLS
- 2025-11-18 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-11-12 Price Changed $625,444 ARMLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $630,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $638,700 ARMLS
- 2020-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $455,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-29 Sold (MLS) $455,000 ARMLS
- 2020-11-30 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2020-11-20 Listed $450,000 ARMLS
- 2017-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $350,000 Public Records
- 2017-12-07 Sold (MLS) $350,000 ARMLS
- 2017-11-08 Pending — ARMLS
- 2017-10-27 Price Changed $354,990 ARMLS
- 2017-10-20 Price Changed $359,990 ARMLS
- 2017-10-04 Listed $364,990 ARMLS
Property tax history
+25.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,684 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…