11420 Lee Ave Spc 52 · Adelanto, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 2 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 8/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.4/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Motivated seller! All offers considered. Manufacture Home 2 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, Opportunity awaits in Adelanto, CA! Home offers a functional layout with an indoor laundry room and great potential for customization. Fridge, shed, stove stays. Perfect for buyers looking to add their personal touch and create a space that fits their style. Don't miss this value-packed opportunity! Fully fenced in for privacy. Carport, providing plenty of parking for cars, guests, or recreational vehicles. On the side of the home, you'll find a spacious outdoor hangout area. Don't miss out on this opportunity! Community Swimming Pool.
Key facts
- Outdoor hangout area
- Fully fenced
- Carport
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unit feature: Awning 1; Lot size listed as 871.2 (unit not displayed); APN 0459-141-04-6052
- HOA & community: Park name: Capri Mobile Home Park; New space rent listed at $689; Park deposit listed as $1; Manager: Jen or Ofelia (760-246-5664); Age restrictions: All ages; Deposit listed as $4,000
Exterior
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Some utilities are included in rent
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home (2001)
- Construction: Composition shingle roof; Manufactured/mobile home constructed in 2001; Skirting: Other (see remarks)
- Exterior features: Awning; Located in an RV park; Space number Spc 52
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas range; Garbage disposal
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central gas heating; Central air; Wall/window evaporative unit
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Gas range; Garbage disposal; Living room fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $875 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.4% vs local median 4.2% in Adelanto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,250 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Victor Valley Union High (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #407 of 517 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 2→6/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.86%
- DSCR
- 3.08
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.57×
- Total profit
- $102,409
- Equity at exit
- $72,070
- IRR
- 56.4%
- Equity multiple
- 12.81×
- Total profit
- $264,573
- Equity at exit
- $155,422
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92301
- Home prices YoY
- 10.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 615
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$379
- Net cashflow
- $875
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $930 | -5% $902 | +0% $875 | +5% $847 | +10% $819 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $732 | -5% $803 | +0% $875 | +5% $946 | +10% $1,017 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $915 | -0.5pp $895 | base $875 | +0.5pp $854 | +1.0pp $833 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11388 Lee Ave Adelanto, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $1,540 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 18335 Montezuma St Unit 55-18 Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,645 | $2.53 | 2d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 18488 Montezuma St Unit 40 Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 790 | $1,295 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 11695 White Ave Unit 03 Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 2d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 11159 Chaparral Ave Unit A Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,395 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 18142 Poinciana Rd Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,550 | $1.86 | 2d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 12048 Sand Ave Unit B Adelanto, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,725 | $1.92 | 2d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 12077 Sand Ave Adelanto, CA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,925 | $2.00 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 635-char remark
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-27$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 2 d/yr ≥99°F today · 6 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,684
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,735
- − Management
- −$1,735
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $9,806
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,353
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,142/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Victor Valley Union High
- NCES district ID
- 0636972
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,112
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8296
- State rank
- #407 of 517 in CA
Livability — Adelanto
- Score
- 47/100
- State rank
- #1250
- US rank
- #26338
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adelanto, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 38,577
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,577
- Household income
- $68,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1345.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 34% Black 15% White 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 58%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 52% English-only · Spanish 46%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 41.09%
- Current HPI
- 453.6071
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.68%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $80,000 AVMLS
Property tax history
+0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $112 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…