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339 Orebed Rd
C Composite 55.05
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$34,940

339 Orebed Rd · Colton, NY 11201
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1969 1.50 ac lot ↓ 53% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

Key facts

  • Partial basement
  • 1.5 acres
  • 1.5 acre lot

Tags

1.5 ACRESPARTIAL BASEMENTPEACEFUL RURAL SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($53k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $35k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#577 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Colton-Pierrepont Central School District (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #365 of 755 in NY (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 215 units permitted in St. Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($173k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (6.0% local appreciation)).
  • St. Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (42%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $34,940

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
16.80%
Cap rate
157.23%
Cash-on-cash
539.06%
DSCR
24.99
GRM
0.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.97% appreciation · 5.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
32.12×
Total profit
$304,462
Equity at exit
$21,889
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
73.46×
Total profit
$708,932
Equity at exit
$39,629

Cash invested: $9,783 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11201

Home prices YoY
1.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
393
Price-to-rent
0.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,869 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,232
Net cashflow
$4,395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $306
Max offer price $34,940
Occupancy floor 20%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,735
Closing costs
$1,048
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $34,940 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $34,940 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on marketlisting id $34,940 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-05-13
    price $34,950 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  5. 2026-04-20
    status Active 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  6. 2026-04-17
    status Pending 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  7. 2026-04-07
    price $39,950 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  8. 2026-02-24
    price $49,950 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  9. 2026-01-22
    listed $59,950 Active 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New price. Affordable country home situated on 1.5 acres in the Town of Colton. This property offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, a partial basement, and an attached two car garage. Great opportunity for an investor or a buyer looking to build instant equity. The home is in need of repairs and is being sold as is and will not qualify for traditional financing. Peaceful rural setting with plenty of space and strong upside for the right buyer. Priced to move and ready for your vision.

  10. 2026-01-21
    historical
  11. 2025-12-15
    price $64,950
  12. 2025-10-27
    price $74,950
  13. 2025-10-21
    listed $74,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,424
− Mortgage interest
−$1,957
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,634
− Management
−$5,634
− Depreciation
−$1,016
Taxable income
$55,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$13,316
After-tax cash flow
$39,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Colton-Pierrepont Central School District
NCES district ID
3608100
Math proficiency
60% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$49,731
Composite
48.74/100
National rank
#4544
State rank
#365 of 755 in NY

Livability — Colton

Score
67/100
State rank
#577
US rank
#10406

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
70,674
Household income
$173,136
Rent vs Own
64.1% rent · 35.9% own
Severe rent burden
4080.0

Population outlook (St. Lawrence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,027 people
By 2030
107,455 · -2.3%
By 2040
100,492 · -8.7%
By 2050
94,254 · -14.3%
By 2075
80,175 · -27.1%
By 2100
63,140 · -42.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Asian 14% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lawrence

2024 margin
R (+18.0) · D 41.0% · R 59.0%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -18.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.0 2020: R+11.7 2016: R+10.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.97%
Current HPI
321.3623
Rent YoY
▲ 5.39%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-53.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $34,950 Global MLS
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted Global MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $39,950 Global MLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $49,950 Global MLS
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $59,950 Global MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2025-12-15 Price Changed $64,950 Global MLS
  • 2025-10-27 Price Changed $74,950 Global MLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $74,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,439 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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