2527 S 13th St · St. Joseph, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready, recently remodeled, and priced to sell—this is the kind of property that checks boxes for both homeowners and investors. This 2 bed, 1 bath home offers a clean, updated interior with an efficient layout that makes the most of its space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a low-maintenance rental, this property delivers immediate usability without the headache of ongoing projects. Inside, you’ll find updated finishes and a layout that feels simple, functional, and easy to live in. No major work needed—just move in or place a tenant and start collecting rent. Outside, the home features a storage shed for extra functionality—rare bonuses at this price point. The smaller footprint also means lower utility costs, easier upkeep, and less long-term maintenance. Why this property stands out: * Recently remodeled = no upfront renovation costs * Previously rented = proven income potential * Efficient 2BR layout = ideal for affordability or rental demand * Deck + storage shed = added usability without added cost * Smaller home = lower expenses, higher efficiency For investors, this is a straightforward, rent-ready opportunity in a price range where demand stays consistent. For homeowners, it’s a chance to own a clean, updated home for less than many rent payments. Opportunities like this don’t sit long—schedule your showing and take a look before it’s gone.
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1912
- Listed 21 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size about 0.15 acres; Above-grade living area reported (753)
- Financial info: Annual tax amount reported
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Bungalow style; Located inside city limits
- Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old
- Exterior features: Porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Bungalow floor plan; Unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.99%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $85,111
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- -0.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2531 S 13th St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 717 (-5%) | 9mo | $82,000 | $114 | 84 |
| 2501 S 11th St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 740 (-2%) | 10mo | $68,000 | $92 | 84 |
| 2502 S 15th St | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 826 (+10%) | 2mo | $56,000 | $68 | 77 |
| 2115 S 10th St | 0.34mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 765 (+2%) | 9mo | $7,900 | $10 | 70 |
| 2510 S 19th St | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 863 (+15%) | 6mo | $42,000 | $49 | 54 |
| 2810 S 20th St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 706 (-6%) | 17mo | $65,000 | $92 | 52 |
| 1616 S 10th St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 835 (+11%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $42 | 49 |
| 2510 S 22nd St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 850 (+13%) | 14mo | $55,000 | $65 | 42 |
| 2003 S 17 St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 829 (+10%) | 16mo | $125,000 | $151 | 40 |
| 2820 S 24th St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 844 (+12%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $148 | 38 |
| 2311 Atchison St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (-12%) | 13mo | $59,900 | $91 | 38 |
| 2803 S 24th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+12%) | 14mo | $97,000 | $115 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $4,511
- Equity at exit
- $11,168
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $25,273
- Equity at exit
- $6,476
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64503
- Active inventory
- 89
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $891 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $212/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $262
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2219 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $900 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1300 S 11th St Apt 22 St Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 866 | $998 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $725 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $74,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $74,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $74,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $84,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-05$84,900 Active 1469-char remark
Show marketing remark (1469 chars)
Move-in ready, recently remodeled, and priced to sell—this is the kind of property that checks boxes for both homeowners and investors. This 2 bed, 1 bath home offers a clean, updated interior with an efficient layout that makes the most of its space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a low-maintenance rental, this property delivers immediate usability without the headache of ongoing projects. Inside, you’ll find updated finishes and a layout that feels simple, functional, and easy to live in. No major work needed—just move in or place a tenant and start collecting rent. Outside, the home features a storage shed for extra functionality—rare bonuses at this price point. The smaller footprint also means lower utility costs, easier upkeep, and less long-term maintenance. Why this property stands out: * Recently remodeled = no upfront renovation costs * Previously rented = proven income potential * Efficient 2BR layout = ideal for affordability or rental demand * Deck + storage shed = added usability without added cost * Smaller home = lower expenses, higher efficiency For investors, this is a straightforward, rent-ready opportunity in a price range where demand stays consistent. For homeowners, it’s a chance to own a clean, updated home for less than many rent payments. Opportunities like this don’t sit long—schedule your showing and take a look before it’s gone.
-
2025-04-21historical $800
-
2025-04-16$800
-
2015-10-19soldstatus
-
1990-03-21soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $212 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $727 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 243.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,687
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$212
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$855
- − Management
- −$855
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $2,016
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$484
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,659/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Joseph
- NCES district ID
- 2927060
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,007
- Composite
- 27.99/100
- National rank
- #6853
- State rank
- #241 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Joseph
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Joseph, MO
- City population
- 44,382
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,921
Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 89,041 people
- By 2030
- 88,401 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 86,220 · -3.2%
- By 2050
- 83,603 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 76,750 · -13.8%
- By 2100
- 67,623 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.03%
- Current HPI
- 185.3921
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
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Price history
-11.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Price Changed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-04 Price Changed $79,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-29 Listed $84,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $84,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listed $84,900 Fizber.com
- 2025-04-21 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
- 2025-04-16 Listed for Rent $800 APPFOLIO
- 2015-10-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1990-03-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $212 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…