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2527 S 13th St
B- Composite 69.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,900

2527 S 13th St · St. Joseph, MO 64503
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 753 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 22 Days on market
Built 1912 6,534 sqft lot $99/sqft · 12% below area Est $85k · 12% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Move-in ready, recently remodeled, and priced to sell—this is the kind of property that checks boxes for both homeowners and investors. This 2 bed, 1 bath home offers a clean, updated interior with an efficient layout that makes the most of its space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a low-maintenance rental, this property delivers immediate usability without the headache of ongoing projects. Inside, you’ll find updated finishes and a layout that feels simple, functional, and easy to live in. No major work needed—just move in or place a tenant and start collecting rent. Outside, the home features a storage shed for extra functionality—rare bonuses at this price point. The smaller footprint also means lower utility costs, easier upkeep, and less long-term maintenance. Why this property stands out: * Recently remodeled = no upfront renovation costs * Previously rented = proven income potential * Efficient 2BR layout = ideal for affordability or rental demand * Deck + storage shed = added usability without added cost * Smaller home = lower expenses, higher efficiency For investors, this is a straightforward, rent-ready opportunity in a price range where demand stays consistent. For homeowners, it’s a chance to own a clean, updated home for less than many rent payments. Opportunities like this don’t sit long—schedule your showing and take a look before it’s gone.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • Built 1912
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size about 0.15 acres; Above-grade living area reported (753)
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Bungalow style; Located inside city limits
  • Construction: Asbestos construction materials; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old
  • Exterior features: Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Bungalow floor plan; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $262 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($891 rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.7% in St. Joseph — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Joseph (urban): math 28% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #241 of 324 in MO (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 70 units permitted in Buchanan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Buchanan County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $73,776 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.49%
Cash-on-cash
14.99%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,111
List price
$74,900
Delta
-0.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2531 S 13th St 0.02mi 2/1.0 717 (-5%) 9mo $82,000 $114 84
2501 S 11th St 0.11mi 2/1.0 740 (-2%) 10mo $68,000 $92 84
2502 S 15th St 0.11mi 2/1.0 826 (+10%) 2mo $56,000 $68 77
2115 S 10th St 0.34mi 1/1.0 (-1) 765 (+2%) 9mo $7,900 $10 70
2510 S 19th St 0.37mi 2/1.0 863 (+15%) 6mo $42,000 $49 54
2810 S 20th St 0.51mi 2/1.0 706 (-6%) 17mo $65,000 $92 52
1616 S 10th St 0.64mi 2/1.0 835 (+11%) 4mo $35,000 $42 49
2510 S 22nd St 0.52mi 2/1.0 850 (+13%) 14mo $55,000 $65 42
2003 S 17 St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 829 (+10%) 16mo $125,000 $151 40
2820 S 24th St 0.72mi 2/1.0 844 (+12%) 10mo $125,000 $148 38
2311 Atchison St 0.65mi 2/1.0 660 (-12%) 13mo $59,900 $91 38
2803 S 24th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 840 (+12%) 14mo $97,000 $115 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$4,511
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.21×
Total profit
$25,273
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64503

Active inventory
89
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$891 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $212/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$187
Net cashflow
$262

Break-even live

Break-even rent $559
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2219 S 10th St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 44d 1 0.30mi
1300 S 11th St Apt 22 St Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 866 $998 $1.15 44d 1 0.84mi
1106 Olive St Saint Joseph, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $725 $1.04 44d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $74,900 Active 22 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,900 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $74,900 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $84,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $84,900 Active 1469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1469 chars)

    Move-in ready, recently remodeled, and priced to sell—this is the kind of property that checks boxes for both homeowners and investors. This 2 bed, 1 bath home offers a clean, updated interior with an efficient layout that makes the most of its space. Whether you’re looking for an affordable first home or a low-maintenance rental, this property delivers immediate usability without the headache of ongoing projects. Inside, you’ll find updated finishes and a layout that feels simple, functional, and easy to live in. No major work needed—just move in or place a tenant and start collecting rent. Outside, the home features a storage shed for extra functionality—rare bonuses at this price point. The smaller footprint also means lower utility costs, easier upkeep, and less long-term maintenance. Why this property stands out: * Recently remodeled = no upfront renovation costs * Previously rented = proven income potential * Efficient 2BR layout = ideal for affordability or rental demand * Deck + storage shed = added usability without added cost * Smaller home = lower expenses, higher efficiency For investors, this is a straightforward, rent-ready opportunity in a price range where demand stays consistent. For homeowners, it’s a chance to own a clean, updated home for less than many rent payments. Opportunities like this don’t sit long—schedule your showing and take a look before it’s gone.

  17. 2025-04-21
    historical $800
  18. 2025-04-16
    listed $800
  19. 2015-10-19
    soldstatus
  20. 1990-03-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$212 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$727 · $61/mo
Expected delta
+$515/yr (+$43/mo · 243.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,687
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$212
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$855
− Management
−$855
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$2,016
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$484
After-tax cash flow
$2,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Joseph
NCES district ID
2927060
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,007
Composite
27.99/100
National rank
#6853
State rank
#241 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Joseph

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Joseph, MO
City population
44,382
Population (ZIP)
11,921

Population outlook (Buchanan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
89,041 people
By 2030
88,401 · -0.7%
By 2040
86,220 · -3.2%
By 2050
83,603 · -6.1%
By 2075
76,750 · -13.8%
By 2100
67,623 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Buchanan

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.0) · D 35.2% · R 63.3% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -28.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.0 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+0.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.03%
Current HPI
185.3921
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Price Changed $74,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-04 Price Changed $79,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $84,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $84,900 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $84,900 Fizber.com
  • 2025-04-21 Rental Removed $800 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-16 Listed for Rent $800 APPFOLIO
  • 2015-10-19 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1990-03-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $212 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…