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5454 Timuquana Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 59.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$137,500

5454 Timuquana Rd · Jacksonville, FL 32210
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,057 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 116 Days on market
Built 1949 10,454 sqft lot Est $175k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Income-producing and turn-key investment opportunity in a prime Timuquana Road location. This tenant-occupied property offers immediate cash flow, making it an ideal addition to any rental portfolio. Cross listed MLS 2130077 Zoned Commercial Neighborhood (CN), the property provides flexibility for a variety of residential and limited commercial uses (buyer to verify), enhancing both current income stability and long-term upside potential. Some interior photos have been virtually staged to showcase the home's potential scale and layout. Positioned along a high-visibility corridor with strong traffic counts and convenient access to major roadways, shopping, and established neighborhoods. The

Key facts

  • Tenant occupied
  • Turn key investment
  • Income producing

Tags

INCOME PRODUCINGTURN KEY INVESTMENTPRIME LOCATIONTENANT OCCUPIEDCASH FLOWZONED COMMERCIAL NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Additional parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Property used for both residential and commercial purposes
  • Construction: Block construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Wood fencing; Corner lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Carpet, laminate and tile flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $137,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$175,462) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Timucuan Elementary School (math 34% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,951 of 2,144 statewide, top 91%, 491 students, 77% FRL); Joseph Stilwell Middle School (math 31% / reading 33%, grade F, #448 of 571 statewide, top 79%, 612 students, 68% FRL); Westside High School (math 26% / reading 19%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 1,583 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 49% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 46% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Duval average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 441 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $951 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 116 days — a 9% lower offer ($125k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $138k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,125 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 116 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
7.77%
Cash-on-cash
5.28%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$175,462
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5257 Acoma Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,104 (+4%) 5mo $218,000 $197 71
5105 Seaboard Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,104 (+4%) 0mo $165,000 $149 62
5831 Carter Ln 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 4mo $158,000 $158 60
5163 Seaboard Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+8%) 3mo $227,000 $198 58
5216 Timawatha Ave 0.37mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,203 (+14%) 4mo $199,990 $166 50
6148 Catoma St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (+10%) 4mo $260,000 $225 47
5174 Acre Estates Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,180 (+12%) 13mo $260,000 $220 44
5126 Delphin Ln 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,123 (+6%) 15mo $180,000 $160 42
4815 Seaboard Ave 0.64mi 2/1.5 936 (-11%) 12mo $140,000 $150 39
5819 110th St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,150 (+9%) 7mo $175,000 $152 38
5156 Corsair Ave 0.75mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,155 (+9%) 9mo $210,000 $182 37
5176 110th St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,181 (+12%) 12mo $177,000 $150 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.1%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-12,697
Equity at exit
$20,502
10-year hold
IRR
-0.8%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-2,038
Equity at exit
$11,888

Cash invested: $38,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32210

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
441
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,352 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$721
Tax from tax record
$120 /mo · $1,440/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,137
Max offer price $137,500
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $247 -5% $208 +0% $170 +5% $131 +10% $92
Rent -10% $63 -5% $116 +0% $170 +5% $223 +10% $276
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $204 base $170 +0.5pp $134 +1.0pp $98

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,375
Closing costs
$4,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5685 Marathon Pkwy Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1015 $1,000 $0.99 21d 1 0.20mi
5327 Timuquana Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,249 $1.31 3d 27 0.31mi
5558 Bennington Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 988 $1,275 $1.29 6d 1 0.31mi
5626 Bryner Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 3.0 1404 $1,320 $0.94 23d 1 0.38mi
5058 Acre Estates Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,825 $1.30 4d 1 0.39mi
5640 Bryner Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,260 $1.26 25d 1 0.40mi
5642 Bryner Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 1406 $1,290 $0.92 23d 1 0.40mi
5700 Fishing Pen Creek Ct Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 854 $1,100 $1.29 4d 8 0.43mi
4800 Ortega Farms Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0 880 $1,218 $1.38 4d 10 0.56mi
4800 Ortega Farms Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0 880 $1,232 $1.40 12d 9 0.56mi
5375 Ortega Farms Blvd #715 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1016 $1,700 $1.67 25d 1 0.67mi
5958 Creekside Crossing Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1404 $1,895 $1.35 12d 1 0.80mi
5988 Creekside Crossing Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1404 $1,850 $1.32 16d 1 0.81mi
5984 Creekside Crossing Dr Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1404 $1,695 $1.21 16d 1 0.81mi
6221 Alfredo Dr W Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1133 $1,710 $1.51 5d 1 0.91mi
5984 Windsor Forest Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $1,174 $1.30 23d 2 0.95mi
5985 Windsor Forest Dr Unit 23 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $999 $1.11 23d 1 0.96mi
5985 Windsor Forest Dr Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $1,099 $1.22 9d 1 0.96mi
5985 Windsor Forest Dr Unit 15 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $999 $1.11 9d 1 0.96mi
4343 Ortega Farms Cir Unit A Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,950 $2.44 25d 1 1.03mi
4455 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1045 $1,339 $1.28 3d 19 1.04mi
5983 Ortega Lake Dr Unit 1 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.5 1400 $1,950 $1.39 25d 1 1.13mi
4375 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1125 $1,288 $1.14 4d 22 1.16mi
6136 Blanding Blvd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1030 $1,752 $1.70 3d 9 1.22mi
4301 Confederate Point Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,412 $1.36 4d 39 1.29mi
5745 Antoinette Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,150 $0.96 4d 1 1.33mi
5747 Antoinette Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 25d 1 1.33mi
4804 Ducheneau Dr Unit 26 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1182 $1,635 $1.38 25d 1 1.36mi
6379 Delacy Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 1.0 1296 $1,495 $1.15 25d 1 1.36mi
6528 Sweetbay Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,150 $1.11 25d 1 1.41mi
6408 Sweetbay Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 951 $1,225 $1.29 18d 1 1.42mi
6534 Sweetbay Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 951 $1,225 $1.29 25d 1 1.42mi
6522 Sweetbay Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 951 $1,195 $1.26 25d 1 1.42mi
6063 Maggies Cir #110 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,350 $1.01 6d 1 1.42mi
6063 Maggies Cir Jacksonville, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0 1121 $1,300 $1.16 18d 2 1.42mi
5933 Jammes Rd Jacksonville, FL 3.0 3.0 1071 $1,900 $1.77 25d 1 1.43mi
6051 Maggies Cir #107 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,400 $1.05 23d 1 1.43mi
6547 Sweetbay Ln Unit 102 Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 1040 $1,195 $1.15 6d 1 1.45mi
6461 Sweetbay Ln Jacksonville, FL 2.0 2.0 995 $1,295 $1.30 18d 4 1.48mi
6112 Maggies Cir #108 Jacksonville, FL 3.0 2.0 1335 $1,375 $1.03 25d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $137,500 Active 116 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $137,500 Active 115 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $137,500 Active 114 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $137,500 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $137,500 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $137,500 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $137,500 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-04-21
    price $137,500
  9. 2026-04-07
    price $140,000
  10. 2026-03-14
    price $145,000
  11. 2026-03-03
    price $150,000
  12. 2026-02-24
    price $155,000
  13. 2026-02-13
    listed $159,000 Active
  14. 2021-07-06
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,440 · $120/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,221
− Mortgage interest
−$7,702
− Property taxes
−$1,440
− Insurance
−$688
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,298
− Management
−$1,298
− Depreciation
−$4,000
Taxable loss
−$204
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$49
After-tax cash flow
$2,083/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
65,729
Household income
$61,050
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
3605.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 38% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Hispanic 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -314.81%
Current HPI
281.2688
Rent YoY
▲ 2.11%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+111.5% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $137,500 realMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $140,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Price Changed $145,000 realMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $150,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $155,000 realMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $159,000 realMLS
  • 2021-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,440 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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