307 N Foreman St · Vinita, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come take a look at this cute dollhouse! Fully remodeled home. Stripped all the way down and rebuilt, new floor, dry wall, Roof, fixtures, windows, HVAC. .. I think you got the idea. The kitchen has a gas stove, dishwasher, garbage disposal, and yes, guess what? They are new too! Nice big yard and detached garage. I can just see this place decorated cute on the front porch with beautiful plants. This one is easy to show, so give us a call today!
Key facts
- Fully remodeled home
- New hvac
- New fixtures
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with workshop; 1 garage space
- Security: No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Masonite and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built in public-records year
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Disposal; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Wood veneer
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High ceilings; Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Gas range connection; Gas oven connection; Vinyl window frames
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (12.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.7% in Vinita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#227 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Vinita (town): math 24% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #156 of 270 in OK (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 24 units permitted in Craig County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Craig County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.78%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $80,640
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 N Brewer St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,080 (+7%) | 11mo | $138,000 | $128 | 70 |
| 125 S Ross St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,043 (+4%) | 16mo | $29,000 | $28 | 58 |
| 225 N 2nd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 994 (-1%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $15 | 55 |
| 330 S Miller St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 944 (-6%) | 7mo | $27,000 | $29 | 53 |
| 549 N Adair St N | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 1,100 (+9%) | 21mo | $136,000 | $124 | 45 |
| 235 N 2nd | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 904 (-10%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $17 | 40 |
| 401 S Brewer St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 | 867 (-14%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $121 | 36 |
| 453 N 2nd St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-14%) | 17mo | $69,000 | $80 | 27 |
| 708 N Smith St | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,150 (+14%) | 22mo | $167,500 | $146 | 19 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.20×
- Total profit
- $76,886
- Equity at exit
- $112,610
- IRR
- 24.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.27×
- Total profit
- $219,307
- Equity at exit
- $242,848
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74301
- Home prices YoY
- 7.1%
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$22 /mo · $265/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 S 5th St Vinita, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-31status $125,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$125,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $265 · $22/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,125 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$860/yr (+$72/mo · 324.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$265
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable loss
- −$440
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$106
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,778/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vinita
- NCES district ID
- 4031290
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,171
- Composite
- 18.37/100
- National rank
- #8943
- State rank
- #156 of 270 in OK
Livability — Vinita
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #227
- US rank
- #15843
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vinita, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,126
Population outlook (Craig County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,522 people
- By 2030
- 14,263 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 13,814 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 13,457 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 13,123 · -9.6%
- By 2100
- 12,323 · -15.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Native American 20% Two or more races 12% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Craig
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.3) · D 20.0% · R 78.3% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.2pp toward R · 2008: -30.1pp · 2024: -58.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.3 2020: R+57.5 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+30.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 17.37%
- Current HPI
- 262.4336
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $125,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $265 · -2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…