907 E 162nd Pl · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$229,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
Key facts
- 3,000 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1958
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Concrete surfaces; Side driveway; Approximately 2.5 garage/parking spaces (total)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Fee simple ownership; Property age approximately 61–70 years; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot roughly 120 x 25; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service access; Interstate access
Interior
- Kitchen: Eating area / table space kitchen; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level; 1 additional bedroom in finished basement (possible 4th bedroom)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and dining room; Ceramic tile in kitchen and basement bedroom
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement; 8 total rooms; Dining room combined with living room
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $126k; list at $229k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.39%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,976
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823 E 163rd St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (-4%) | 1mo | $197,500 | $167 | 87 |
| 1006 E 163rd St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (+2%) | 1mo | $262,500 | $208 | 86 |
| 944 E 163rd Pl | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (-2%) | 2mo | $201,000 | $167 | 86 |
| 16417 Claire Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,209 (-2%) | 2mo | $254,995 | $211 | 66 |
| 702 E 162nd Pl | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+14%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $164 | 59 |
| 618 E 159th Pl | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,294 (+5%) | 2mo | $236,000 | $182 | 57 |
| 16645 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 1mo | $211,894 | $189 | 56 |
| 16728 School St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (-5%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 535 E 166th Pl | 0.66mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-3%) | 2mo | $156,500 | $130 | 56 |
| 1103 E 166th Pl | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (+9%) | 2mo | $210,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 16001 Avalon Ave | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,136 (-8%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $165 | 52 |
| 459 E 166th St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+6%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $181 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-11,615
- Equity at exit
- $34,145
- IRR
- 5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $23,660
- Equity at exit
- $19,800
Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,110 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,201
- Tax from tax record
- −$766 /mo · $9,189/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$653
- Net cashflow
- $395
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,250
- Closing costs
- $6,870
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 1d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 7d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 10d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-08days on market $229,000 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $229,000 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $229,000 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $229,000 Active 328 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $229,000 Active 327 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $229,000 Active 326 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $229,000 Active 325 DOM
-
2025-09-30price $229,000
-
2025-07-10$249,000 Active
-
2018-05-25soldstatus $125,500 Closed Sale 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
-
2018-05-07status Pending 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
-
2018-04-11historical Contingent 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
-
2018-04-11status Reactivated 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
-
2018-03-26historical Contingent 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
-
2018-02-27$127,900 New 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (476 chars)
CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,189 · $766/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,189 · $766/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,321
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,828
- − Property taxes
- −$9,189
- − Insurance
- −$1,145
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,986
- − Management
- −$2,986
- − Depreciation
- −$6,662
- Taxable income
- $1,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$366
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,372/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+79.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-30 Price Changed $229,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-10 Listed $249,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-05-07 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-11 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-04-11 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-26 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-27 Listed $127,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2023): $9,189 · +90.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…