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C- Composite 50.85
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,000

907 E 162nd Pl · South Holland, IL 60473
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,232 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 333 Days on market
Built 1958 3,000 sqft lot Est $207k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

Key facts

  • 3,000 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1958

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; Concrete surfaces; Side driveway; Approximately 2.5 garage/parking spaces (total)
  • Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Fee simple ownership; Property age approximately 61–70 years; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Lot roughly 120 x 25; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service access; Interstate access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eating area / table space kitchen; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on main level; 1 additional bedroom in finished basement (possible 4th bedroom)
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring in living room and dining room; Ceramic tile in kitchen and basement bedroom
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Basement contains a bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished full basement; 8 total rooms; Dining room combined with living room
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $229k).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 333 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $126k; list at $229k implies a 82% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $201,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 333 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
8.36%
Cash-on-cash
7.39%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,976
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
823 E 163rd St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,184 (-4%) 1mo $197,500 $167 87
1006 E 163rd St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,263 (+2%) 1mo $262,500 $208 86
944 E 163rd Pl 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,205 (-2%) 2mo $201,000 $167 86
16417 Claire Ln 0.50mi 3/2.5 1,209 (-2%) 2mo $254,995 $211 66
702 E 162nd Pl 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+14%) 1mo $230,000 $164 59
618 E 159th Pl 0.52mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,294 (+5%) 2mo $236,000 $182 57
16645 Cottage Grove Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-9%) 1mo $211,894 $189 56
16728 School St 0.68mi 3/1.5 1,170 (-5%) 2mo $196,000 $168 56
535 E 166th Pl 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (-3%) 2mo $156,500 $130 56
1103 E 166th Pl 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,348 (+9%) 2mo $210,000 $156 54
16001 Avalon Ave 0.54mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (-8%) 1mo $187,500 $165 52
459 E 166th St 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+6%) 1mo $235,000 $181 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.8%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-11,615
Equity at exit
$34,145
10-year hold
IRR
5.0%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$23,660
Equity at exit
$19,800

Cash invested: $64,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60473

Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,110 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,201
Tax from tax record
$766 /mo · $9,189/yr
Insurance
$95
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$653
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,610
Max offer price $229,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,250
Closing costs
$6,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1250 $3,170 $2.54 1d 1 0.14mi
16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL 3.0 2.0 1136 $3,330 $2.93 6d 1 0.57mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 24d 1 1.08mi
15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL 4.0 1.5 1200 $3,400 $2.83 7d 1 1.08mi
15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL 4.0 1.5 1487 $2,146 $1.44 7d 1 1.36mi
15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,500 $1.88 10d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    days on market $229,000 Active 333 DOM
  2. 2026-06-07
    days on market $229,000 Active 332 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $229,000 Active 329 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $229,000 Active 328 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $229,000 Active 327 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $229,000 Active 326 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $229,000 Active 325 DOM
  8. 2025-09-30
    price $229,000
  9. 2025-07-10
    listed $249,000 Active
  10. 2018-05-25
    soldstatus $125,500 Closed Sale 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

  11. 2018-05-07
    status Pending 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

  12. 2018-04-11
    historical Contingent 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

  13. 2018-04-11
    status Reactivated 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

  14. 2018-03-26
    historical Contingent 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

  15. 2018-02-27
    listed $127,900 New 476-char remark
    Show marketing remark (476 chars)

    CALLING ALL FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS! 4 bed, 2 bath ranch with beautiful hardwood floors. Large addition has a family room with gas starting fireplace and laundry room. Both right off kitchen with easy access to large backyard and a brick 2.5 car garage. Large lower level is finished with one of the bedrooms and baths. This home also a new roof, concrete driveway and is professionally landscaped. All that is missing is your endless possibilities of makeing it your home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$9,189 · $766/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$9,189 · $766/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,321
− Mortgage interest
−$12,828
− Property taxes
−$9,189
− Insurance
−$1,145
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,986
− Management
−$2,986
− Depreciation
−$6,662
Taxable income
$1,526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$366
After-tax cash flow
$4,372/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — South Holland

Score
77/100
State rank
#167
US rank
#3071

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Holland, IL
City population
21,407
Population (ZIP)
21,407

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (75%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.36%
Current HPI
201.2479
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-30 Price Changed $229,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-10 Listed $249,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $125,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-05-07 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-11 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-04-11 Relisted MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-03-26 Contingent MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-27 Listed $127,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $9,189 · +90.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…