22212 Pacific Way #11 · Ocean Park, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Simple living in a freshly remodeled home! They’ve done it ALL so you don’t have to. New roof, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring, appliances, fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. The list goes on! Outside, you’ll find a garden shed, fenced yard, and ramp access for added convenience. The park takes care of the yard beyond the fence and all utilities except electricity, making this home as easy and turn-key as it gets. Buyer subject to park approval.
Key facts
- New flooring
- New appliances
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manufactured home park approved for sale
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: Located in Evergreen Court park (senior community); Approximately 11 homes in the park; Land lease: $500
Exterior
- Parking: Uncovered open parking (1 space)
- Utilities: Electric power; Public water
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One level; Mobile home remains in place
- Construction: Cement plank construction; Composition roof; Tie-down foundation
- Exterior features: Cement planked exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with bathtub and shower
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher, Refrigerator, Stove/Range; Kitchen without eating space; Living room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 4.2% in Ocean Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#216 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: commute D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Ocean Beach School District (rural): math 34% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #212 of 291 in WA (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ocean Park Elementary (196 students, 76% FRL); Ilwaco High School (296 students, 64% FRL).
- Market conditions: 311 active listings in the ZIP; 90 units permitted in Pacific County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pacific County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $120k implies a 400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.50%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $270,088
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1507 227th Pl | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-4%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $371 | 82 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $17,132
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $62,091
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98640
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,776 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,800/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-23$120,000 Active
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
Simple living in a freshly remodeled home! They’ve done it ALL so you don’t have to. New roof, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring, appliances, fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. The list goes on! Outside, you’ll find a garden shed, fenced yard, and ramp access for added convenience. The park takes care of the yard beyond the fence and all utilities except electricity, making this home as easy and turn-key as it gets. Buyer subject to park approval.
-
2026-05-23$120,000 Active 491-char remark
Show marketing remark (491 chars)
Simple living in a freshly remodeled home! They’ve done it ALL so you don’t have to. New roof, fresh interior and exterior paint, new flooring, appliances, fixtures, and a beautifully tiled shower. The list goes on! Outside, you’ll find a garden shed, fenced yard, and ramp access for added convenience. The park takes care of the yard beyond the fence and all utilities except electricity, making this home as easy and turn-key as it gets. Buyer subject to park approval.
-
2013-07-08soldstatus $24,000 Sold 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2013-06-07status Pending 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2013-04-08status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2013-01-18historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2012-12-07status Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2012-11-07historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
-
2012-10-18$27,000 Active 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
AFFORDABLE home in a park! 2 bedrooms, front living room, cozy and comfortable. Front yard is fenced, nice ramp in back along with parking for one vehicle. You can catch the bus out in front of the park and not far from a beach approach.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥74°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,314
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,800
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,705
- − Management
- −$1,705
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $5,291
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,270
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,617/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ocean Beach School District
- NCES district ID
- 5306060
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,549
- Composite
- 37.37/100
- National rank
- #8929
- State rank
- #212 of 291 in WA
Livability — Ocean Park
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #216
- US rank
- #6161
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,107
Population outlook (Pacific County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,636 people
- By 2030
- 20,137 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 19,041 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 18,504 · -10.3%
- By 2075
- 17,403 · -15.7%
- By 2100
- 16,241 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Chinese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pacific
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 49.4% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.1pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+6.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.15%
- Current HPI
- 222.8758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
+344.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $120,000 RMLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-08 Sold (MLS) $24,000 RMLS
- 2013-06-07 Pending — RMLS
- 2013-04-08 Relisted — RMLS
- 2013-01-18 Delisted — RMLS
- 2012-12-07 Relisted — RMLS
- 2012-11-07 Delisted — RMLS
- 2012-10-18 Listed $27,000 RMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…