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66 Adams Rdg
C Composite 56.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,000

66 Adams Rdg · Hazard, KY 41701
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,088 sqft · Other
Built 2012 8,712 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Why rent when you can own for less? This townhouse is set up for easy living! Just minutes from ARH, shopping and dining.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Built 2012

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 5.0% in Hazard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#196 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Perry County (rural): math 23% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #96 of 165 in KY (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: East Perry County Elementary School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #293 of 676 statewide, top 44%, 652 students, 61% FRL); Perry County Central High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #127 of 254 statewide, top 58%, 877 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Perry County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 41% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.61%
Cash-on-cash
8.28%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-5,198
Equity at exit
$19,980
10-year hold
IRR
6.0%
Equity multiple
1.45×
Total profit
$16,803
Equity at exit
$11,586

Cash invested: $37,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Kentucky
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 41701

Home prices YoY
-14.4%
Active inventory
56
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$703
Tax est. 1.5%
$168 /mo · $2,010/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$315
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,172
Max offer price $134,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $352 -5% $305 +0% $259 +5% $213 +10% $166
Rent -10% $140 -5% $200 +0% $259 +5% $318 +10% $377
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $293 base $259 +0.5pp $224 +1.0pp $189

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,500
Closing costs
$4,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
974 Dawahare Dr Hazard, KY 2.0 2.5 1039 $1,500 $1.44 46d 1 1.14mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    remarks 121-char remark
  2. 2026-06-07
    listed $134,000 Pending

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,000
− Mortgage interest
−$7,506
− Property taxes
−$2,010
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,440
− Management
−$1,440
− Depreciation
−$3,898
Taxable income
$1,036
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$249
After-tax cash flow
$2,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Perry County
NCES district ID
2104770
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$32,540
Composite
26.53/100
National rank
#7196
State rank
#96 of 165 in KY

Livability — Hazard

Score
68/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#9701

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hazard, KY
Population (ZIP)
16,646

Population outlook (Perry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,976 people
By 2030
23,390 · -6.4%
By 2040
20,270 · -18.8%
By 2050
17,547 · -29.7%
By 2075
12,599 · -49.6%
By 2100
9,358 · -62.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Perry

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.7% · R 79.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -32.0pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+54.3 2016: R+57.0 2012: R+58.5 2008: R+32.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -24.13%
Current HPI
143.629
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.81%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Delisted EKAR
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $134,000 EKAR
  • 2023-08-11 Sold (MLS) $95,000 EKAR
  • 2023-07-22 Pending EKAR
  • 2023-07-17 Listed $99,000 EKAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…