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3716 Ethel Ave Duplex
C Composite 57.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

3716 Ethel Ave · Waco, TX 76707
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1951 0.34 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

These 2 bedroom 1 bath units are easy to keep rented. Both feature fenced in back yards and the window AC units, and wall heaters belong to the owner (all convey). 3716 has a 2 car garage in the back yard. Home is in the floodplain and requires insurance. Just renewed for $500 for the year (very affordable). Currently bringing in 1350 a month in income!

Key facts

  • Fenced in back yards
  • Electrical replaced
  • 2 car garage

Tags

2 CAR GARAGEFENCED IN BACK YARDSROOF REPLACEDELECTRICAL REPLACED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Tenancy terms include short-term (6 months or less) and over 9 months; Parcel number 480337000059001
  • Financial info: Designed as residential income (duplex); 2 total units with 100% occupancy; Gross annual income reported: $22,200; Gross annual expenses reported: $6,526; Insurance expense: $2,000; Net operating income: $15,674; Operating expenses include insurance and professional management; Capitalization rate: 7.29%
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking; Garage; 2-car garage (2 garage spaces); Total of 4 parking spaces
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; Electricity connected; Individual gas meter; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Duplex residential income property; 1 building with 2 units; Built in 1951; Preowned condition
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot in Princess Place subdivision; Will not subdivide

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Wall furnace heating; Wall/window cooling units (multiple)
  • Interior features: One-level layout; Other interior features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2.0-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($425/yr) — positive. Per door: $18/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
  • Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Crestview El (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #3,836 of 4,322 statewide, top 91%, 451 students, 94% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,364/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($40k/yr) (locally 704% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $62k; list at $215k implies a 247% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $215,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.87%
Cash-on-cash
9.21%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.14% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-36,680
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.25×
Total profit
$-45,199
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76707

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
144
Price-to-rent
15.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,364 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,263/yr
Insurance
$90
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$496
Net cashflow
$35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,319
Max offer price $215,000
Occupancy floor 94%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,364

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1309 Sunset St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1102 $1,295 $1.18 21d 1 0.23mi
1300 N 43rd St Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1109 $860 $0.78 21d 1 0.31mi
3821 Lasker Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1209 $1,850 $1.53 21d 1 0.32mi
3125 Ethel Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1760 $1,900 $1.08 21d 1 0.49mi
3116 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 13d 1 0.50mi
3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,600 $1.47 21d 1 0.51mi
3121 Colonial Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1085 $1,600 $1.47 43d 1 0.51mi
1113 N New Rd Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1326 $1,620 $1.22 21d 1 0.58mi
3532 Windsor Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,475 $1.34 13d 1 0.58mi
3621 Gorman Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 1086 $1,950 $1.80 13d 1 0.62mi
3007 Parrott Ave Unit 1 Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,650 $1.13 21d 1 0.66mi
2100 N 33rd St Waco, TX 3.0 3.0 1858 $2,200 $1.18 43d 1 0.71mi
2213 N 41st St Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 1299 $1,550 $1.19 13d 1 0.73mi
3825 Kimberly Dr Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1233 $1,250 $1.01 21d 1 0.73mi
2724 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1120 $1,100 $0.98 21d 1 0.80mi
1901 N 28th St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1794 $1,950 $1.09 21d 1 0.86mi
4320 Guthrie Cir Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1069 $1,700 $1.59 21d 1 0.86mi
736 Grice St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,750 $1.56 43d 1 0.98mi
2511 Parrott Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1463 $1,695 $1.16 43d 1 1.01mi
2714 Morrow Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1484 $1,375 $0.93 21d 1 1.02mi
516 N 31st St Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 21d 1 1.03mi
516 N 31st St Unit 1 Waco, TX 1.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.03mi
5025 Loch Lomond Dr Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1611 $1,850 $1.15 21d 1 1.06mi
2621 Windsor Ave Waco, TX 2.0 1.0 1108 $1,175 $1.06 21d 1 1.08mi
2704 Herring Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1286 $1,750 $1.36 21d 1 1.22mi
2324 N 50th St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1875 $3,300 $1.76 43d 1 1.25mi
2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.27mi
2712 Lyle Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 21d 1 1.27mi
2505 Proctor Ave Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1588 $1,550 $0.98 21d 1 1.29mi
2712 Mitchell Ave Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,300 $1.16 21d 1 1.33mi
608 N 23rd St Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1361 $1,695 $1.25 21d 1 1.35mi
2001 Bosque Blvd Waco, TX 3.0 1.0 1628 $1,100 $0.68 43d 1 1.39mi
2900 Austin Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1176 $1,195 $1.02 43d 1 1.40mi
2717 Alexander Ave Waco, TX 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 21d 1 1.41mi
415 N 23rd St Waco, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $2,000 $1.19 21d 1 1.44mi
1000 N 19th St Waco, TX 3.0 1.5 1800 $2,050 $1.14 21d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    remarks 401-char remark
  3. 2026-06-16
    listed $215,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,263 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,934 · $328/mo
Expected delta
+$1,672/yr (+$139/mo · 73.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,368
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$2,263
− Insurance
−$6,194
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,269
− Management
−$2,269
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$2,925
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$702
After-tax cash flow
$1,127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waco ISD
NCES district ID
4844280
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,208
Composite
17.57/100
National rank
#9043
State rank
#773 of 826 in TX

Livability — Waco

Score
74/100
State rank
#166
US rank
#4378

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waco, TX
County
McLennan County · 213,088 people
City population
125,319
Metro
Waco, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,879
Household income
$40,443
Rent vs Own
41.1% rent · 58.9% own
Severe rent burden
704.0

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 47% Black 32% Two or more races 26% White 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 43%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 34% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -134.95%
Current HPI
239.639
Rent YoY
▲ 1.14%
Metro
Waco, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+246.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $215,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-02 Rental Removed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-15 Price Changed $950 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-03-19 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-09 Rental Removed $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,000 APPFOLIO
  • 2022-02-20 Price Changed $900 RENT.
  • 2020-10-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-10-14 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2020-07-22 Listed $149,500 NTREIS
  • 2018-09-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-06-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-03-14 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-20 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-12-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,263 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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