2319 S Summerlin Ave · Sanford, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
FIXER-UPPER. SOLD AS-IS. CASH ONLY. ON CORNER LOT ACROSS FROM PARK. GREAT LOCATION CLOSE TO DOWNTOWN SANFORD.
Key facts
- Across from park
- Corner lot
- 6,600 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions; Active Under Contract
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with room for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces west; Resale condition
- Construction: Built with wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; 1 total story
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Not waterfront
Interior
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating present (type: Other); Wall/Window cooling units
- Interior features: Other flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.6% in Sanford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#316 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Seminole (suburban): math 57% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #13 of 73 in FL (top 18%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 561 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,979 units permitted in Seminole County in 2024 (1,191 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Seminole County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $115k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.17%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $212,750
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2402 Stevens Ave | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 993 (+7%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $141 | 76 |
| 1501 Wynnewood Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,011 (+9%) | 0mo | $196,000 | $194 | 69 |
| 1500 S Summerlin Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (+3%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $155 | 67 |
| 1523 S Mellonville Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-1%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $230 | 64 |
| 2001 Adams Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 850 (-8%) | 21mo | $240,000 | $282 | 53 |
| 1906 S Summerlin Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,015 (+10%) | 12mo | $225,000 | $222 | 53 |
| 1502 S Summerlin Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 952 (+3%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $247 | 51 |
| 2440 Grandview Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 984 (+6%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $269 | 44 |
| 1807 S Summerlin Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 995 (+8%) | 21mo | $228,000 | $229 | 44 |
| 814 Rosalia Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 804 (-13%) | 6mo | $169,900 | $211 | 39 |
| 2519 Yale Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,059 (+14%) | 3mo | $271,000 | $256 | 35 |
| 1326 S Summerlin Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+9%) | 16mo | $256,000 | $254 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,493
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $16,798
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32771
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 561
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,652 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $368/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 131 Langston Dr Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1082 | $1,697 | $1.57 | 20d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 838 Rosalia Dr Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 873 | $1,600 | $1.83 | 12d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1711 Roseberry Ln Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 984 | $2,150 | $2.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 619 San Lanta Cir Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,796 | $1.64 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1111 Willow Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $1,050 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2420 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $1,850 | $1.69 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 101 E 21st St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $2,500 | $2.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 918 E 10th St Unit 918A Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $945 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 404 E 14th St Unit 202 Sanford, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,095 | $1.82 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2628 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,995 | $1.82 | 5d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1005 Pine Ave Unit A Sanford, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 636 | $850 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2561 Daffadil Ter Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1099 | $1,900 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2441 Church St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1057 | $1,550 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 912 Pine Ave Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,595 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2522 S Oak Ave Unit A Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 963 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2526 S Oak Ave Unit A Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2541 Myrtle Ave Unit C Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,465 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2340 Broadway St Sanford, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $800 | $0.74 | 18d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 517 E 5th St Unit B Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,050 | $1.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3320 Lincoln St Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 648 | $700 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 612 S Park Ave Unit 4 Sanford, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,295 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $149,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-31$149,900 Active
-
2026-02-16soldstatus $115,000
-
1988-11-01soldstatus $36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $368 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,244 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$876/yr (+$73/mo · 237.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,821
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$368
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,586
- − Management
- −$1,586
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $2,775
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$666
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,442/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Seminole
- NCES district ID
- 1201710
- Math proficiency
- 57% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,478
- Composite
- 51.05/100
- National rank
- #1769
- State rank
- #13 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sanford
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #316
- US rank
- #5359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sanford, FL
- County
- Seminole County · 436,154 people
- City population
- 96,638
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,606
- Household income
- $77,868
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2645.0
Population outlook (Seminole County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 515,494 people
- By 2030
- 545,713 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 598,068 · +16.0%
- By 2050
- 640,663 · +24.3%
- By 2075
- 724,461 · +40.5%
- By 2100
- 755,530 · +46.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Seminole
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.1% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.8pp no change · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.8 2016: R+1.6 2012: R+6.5 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -281.27%
- Current HPI
- 299.2738
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.38%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+316.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $149,900 Beaches MLS
- 2026-02-16 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 1988-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $368 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…