741 Iris Dr · South Venice, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.96%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2BR/2BA doublewide on a desirable corner lot, offered turnkey furnished with newer furniture, making it truly move-in ready. The home features laminate flooring throughout with tile in both bathrooms, along with new subflooring. Spacious bedrooms include walk-in closets and the primary suite offers an ensuite bath with a new vanity. Enjoy relaxing Florida days on the screened porch, perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. Located in Japanese Gardens, an active 55+ resident-owned community approximately one mile from the beach. Residents enjoy a wide variety of amenities including pickleball, bocce, shuffleboard, horseshoes, a large heated pool, hot tub, clubhouse, library, billiards room, and a full calendar of social activities and events. Resident-owned community with no lot rent, making this a wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable coastal living near beaches, shopping, dining, and everything the Venice area has to offer.
Key facts
- Hot tub
- Clubhouse
- Screened porch
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $149k (11.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (11.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#549 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Sarasota (urban): math 63% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #7 of 73 in FL (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Englewood Elementary School (math 65% / reading 66%, grade B+, #500 of 2,144 statewide, top 24%, 587 students, 52% FRL); Venice Middle School (math 71% / reading 58%, grade A-, #100 of 571 statewide, top 18%, 761 students, 37% FRL); Venice Senior High School (math 67% / reading 61%, grade B-, #86 of 667 statewide, top 13%, 2,584 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1255 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,466 units permitted in Sarasota County in 2024 (2,138 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sarasota County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($159k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.98%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-38,948
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -37.0%
- Equity multiple
- -0.28×
- Total profit
- $-60,389
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34293
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 1255
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,144 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,988/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$257
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$450
- Net cashflow
- $-112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-16 | -5% $-64 | +0% $-112 | +5% $-160 | +10% $-208 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-281 | -5% $-197 | +0% $-112 | +5% $-27 | +10% $57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-27 | -0.5pp $-69 | base $-112 | +0.5pp $-156 | +1.0pp $-200 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $257 · $3,084/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-19status Pending 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2BR/2BA doublewide on a desirable corner lot, offered turnkey furnished with newer furniture, making it truly move-in ready. The home features laminate flooring throughout with tile in both bathrooms, along with new subflooring. Spacious bedrooms include walk-in closets and the primary suite offers an ensuite bath with a new vanity. Enjoy relaxing Florida days on the screened porch, perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. Located in Japanese Gardens, an active 55+ resident-owned community approximately one mile from the beach. Residents enjoy a wide variety of amenities including pickleball, bocce, shuffleboard, horseshoes, a large heated pool, hot tub, clubhouse, library, billiards room, and a full calendar of social activities and events. Resident-owned community with no lot rent, making this a wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable coastal living near beaches, shopping, dining, and everything the Venice area has to offer.
-
2026-03-16$169,000 Active 1027-char remark
Show marketing remark (1027 chars)
Under contract-accepting backup offers. Welcome to this beautifully maintained 2BR/2BA doublewide on a desirable corner lot, offered turnkey furnished with newer furniture, making it truly move-in ready. The home features laminate flooring throughout with tile in both bathrooms, along with new subflooring. Spacious bedrooms include walk-in closets and the primary suite offers an ensuite bath with a new vanity. Enjoy relaxing Florida days on the screened porch, perfect for morning coffee or evening breezes. Located in Japanese Gardens, an active 55+ resident-owned community approximately one mile from the beach. Residents enjoy a wide variety of amenities including pickleball, bocce, shuffleboard, horseshoes, a large heated pool, hot tub, clubhouse, library, billiards room, and a full calendar of social activities and events. Resident-owned community with no lot rent, making this a wonderful opportunity to enjoy affordable coastal living near beaches, shopping, dining, and everything the Venice area has to offer.
-
2025-06-30historical
-
2025-01-21$199,900 Active
-
2024-04-15historical
-
2024-02-02price $227,000
-
2024-01-03$229,555 Active
-
2023-06-30historical
-
2023-06-06price $238,000
-
2023-03-30$249,000 Active
-
2022-12-27soldstatus $172,500 Closed
-
2022-11-26status Pending
-
2022-11-26$175,000 Active
-
2004-04-05soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,988 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,988 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 96% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,988
- − Insurance
- −$5,964
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,058
- − Management
- −$2,058
- − HOA
- −$3,084
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$3,806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$913
- After-tax cash flow
- $-431/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sarasota
- NCES district ID
- 1201680
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,167
- Composite
- 53.68/100
- National rank
- #1428
- State rank
- #7 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Venice
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #549
- US rank
- #10377
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Venice, FL
- County
- Sarasota County · 448,376 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,278
- Household income
- $90,038
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 548.0
Population outlook (Sarasota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 452,380 people
- By 2030
- 474,175 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 511,577 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 541,467 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 604,947 · +33.7%
- By 2100
- 621,965 · +37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sarasota
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.2) · D 40.5% · R 58.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: -0.1pp · 2024: -18.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.2 2020: R+10.4 2016: R+11.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: R+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -355.64%
- Current HPI
- 270.5242
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+77.9% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-16 Listed $169,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-21 Listed $199,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-02-02 Price Changed $227,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-01-03 Listed $229,555 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-30 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-06 Price Changed $238,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-30 Listed $249,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-27 Sold (MLS) $172,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-26 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-26 Listed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,988 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…