Multi-family
2626 FL-70 Fl -70 · Southeast Arcadia, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
( LOT# 259) WERE ASKING $30,000 OR BEST OFFER. IT& apos; S ALREADY VACANT WE BOUGHT A NEW HOUSE. SO IT& apos; S AVAILABLE ASAP AS LONG AS YOUR APPROVED BY THE PARK. LOT RENT IS $500 & amp; SOMETHING W/ THE WATER & amp; SEWER INCLUDED. IT& apos; S A 1 BEDROOM & amp; 1 BATHROOM. IT COMES WITH A WASHER & amp; DRYER & amp; A COUCH & amp; A DINING ROOM TABLE & amp; BED & amp; T. V. & amp; IT ALSO HAS ADT CAMERAS & amp; THE ADT SYSTEM. IT ALSO HAS A WATER SOFTENER & amp; UNLIMITED HOT WATER & amp; ELECTRICITY IN THE SHED & amp; OUTLET ON THE DECK TO PLUG STUFF IN. IT HAS AMAZING BACKYARD ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE DOGS THEY WILL LOVE IT
Key facts
- Outlet on the deck
- Unlimited hot water
- Washer dryer
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($32k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 112.7% vs local median 2.3% in Southeast Arcadia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#864 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Desoto (town): math 31% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #69 of 73 in FL (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 207 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 71 units permitted in DeSoto County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- DeSoto County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 12.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 112.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 380.17%
- DSCR
- 17.92
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.61×
- Total profit
- $164,685
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 44.08×
- Total profit
- $361,874
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34266
- Home prices YoY
- -6.1%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,631 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$38 /mo · $450/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$763
- Net cashflow
- $2,661
Break-even live
5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5× units | 1 | 1 | $3,630 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $726 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $726 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $726 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $726 |
| #5 | 1 | 1 | $726 |
| Total (5 units) | $3,631 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1300 NE Oak St Arcadia, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 947 | $929 | $0.98 | 13d | 18 | 0.77mi |
| 1650 SE Hargrave St Arcadia, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 790 | $444 | $0.56 | 13d | 10 | 1.07mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $30,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $30,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 635-char remark
-
2026-06-07$30,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $43,572
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$450
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,486
- − Management
- −$3,486
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $33,447
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,027
- After-tax cash flow
- $23,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desoto
- NCES district ID
- 1200420
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,136
- Composite
- 26.03/100
- National rank
- #7305
- State rank
- #69 of 73 in FL
Livability — Southeast Arcadia
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #864
- US rank
- #22423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,065
Population outlook (DeSoto County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,958 people
- By 2030
- 34,465 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,137 · -5.2%
- By 2050
- 31,273 · -10.5%
- By 2075
- 23,898 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 15,517 · -55.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Black 13% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · DeSoto
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.9) · D 28.2% · R 71.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -42.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+27.7 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -26.01%
- Current HPI
- 403.1509
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $30,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…