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418 S Main St
B+ Composite 75.27
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

418 S Main St · Headland, AL 36345
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,528 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 234 Days on market
Built 1950 0.33 ac lot $79/sqft · 39% below area Est $197k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

Key facts

  • Hvac 2024
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Fridge 2025

Tags

FENCED IN BACKYARDHVAC 2024FLOORING 2024FRIDGE 2025STOVE AND MICROWAVE 2022TANKLESS WATER HEATER 2021

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $579 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 3.8% in Headland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#101 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Henry County (rural): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #55 of 129 in AL (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Henry County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $120k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $105,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.08%
Cash-on-cash
20.68%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$197,156
List price
$120,000
Delta
-39.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
137 Gracebrook Ct 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,357 (-11%) 1mo $220,000 $162 71
505 Cleveland St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,648 (+8%) 2mo $168,500 $102 66
409 Peachtree St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,559 (+2%) 6mo $100,000 $64 63
115 Armstrong St 0.41mi 3/1.5 1,462 (-4%) 10mo $181,100 $124 63
611 Mitchell St 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,476 (-3%) 7mo $140,000 $95 63
622 Peachtree St 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,622 (+6%) 6mo $215,000 $133 56
109 Aubrey Ave 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,618 (+6%) 9mo $249,900 $154 54
106 Cabrio Way 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,662 (+9%) 1mo $267,000 $161 48
203 Wellington Way 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,658 (+8%) 6mo $254,400 $153 45
1 Boynton St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,318 (-14%) 8mo $145,000 $110 37
215 Wellington Way 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,718 (+12%) 10mo $259,900 $151 36
214 Wellington Way 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,756 (+15%) 11mo $262,900 $150 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$17,425
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
21.9%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$62,613
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36345

Home prices YoY
-16.0%
Active inventory
172
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,704 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$579

Break-even live

Break-even rent $971
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 61%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 234 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 233 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 232 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 231 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 230 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 228 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $120,000 Active 227 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 224 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 223 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 222 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 218 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 217 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 216 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 215 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 214 DOM
  16. 2026-04-30
    status Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  17. 2026-04-30
    price $120,000 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  18. 2026-01-27
    status Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  19. 2025-12-30
    price $125,000 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  20. 2025-11-13
    price $134,000 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  21. 2025-10-24
    listed $139,000 Active 315-char remark
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Take a look at this recently updated home! This home is zoned for Headland Schools and has many updates: HVAC 2024, flooring 2024, fridge 2025, stove and microwave 2022, tankless water heater 2021, and a fenced in backyard. Whether you're an investor or looking for your first home, make sure to check this one out!

  22. 2022-01-03
    soldstatus $75,000 270-char remark
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    3 bed 2 bath home in Headland within walking distance to the many shops and restaurants on the Headland square. Heated and cooled sunroom of the back of the house. Laundry room just off the master. Fenced in shaded back yard. Was most recently used as a rental property.

  23. 2022-01-03
    soldstatus $84,000
    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    3 bed 2 bath home in Headland within walking distance to the many shops and restaurants on the Headland square. Heated and cooled sunroom of the back of the house. Laundry room just off the master. Fenced in shaded back yard. Was most recently used as a rental property.

  24. 2002-04-08
    soldstatus $38,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,049 · $87/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,442
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,049
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,635
− Management
−$1,635
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$5,310
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,274
After-tax cash flow
$5,675/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Henry County
NCES district ID
0101740
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$41,502
Composite
27.78/100
National rank
#6894
State rank
#55 of 129 in AL

Livability — Headland

Score
66/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#11540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Headland, AL
City population
8,838
Population (ZIP)
8,838

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,109 people
By 2030
16,928 · -1.1%
By 2040
16,376 · -4.3%
By 2050
15,778 · -7.8%
By 2075
14,491 · -15.3%
By 2100
12,673 · -25.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 16% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.8) · D 24.3% · R 75.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.1pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -50.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.8 2020: R+43.0 2016: R+41.6 2012: R+29.4 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.45%
Current HPI
213.0749
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+208.5% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $120,000 SAMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Relisted SAMLS
  • 2025-12-30 Price Changed $125,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $134,000 SAMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Listed $139,000 SAMLS
  • 2022-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $84,000 Public Records
  • 2022-01-03 Sold (MLS) $75,000 SAMLS
  • 2002-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $38,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,049 · +13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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