808 Crawford St S · Wilson, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 7/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 78.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors!!! Add this DUPLEX to your portfolio! Each unit features 2BR/1BA, living room and kitchen. Both units A and B are tenant occupied. Unit A lease term 03/01/2026 through 02/28/2027. Unit B lease term 09/01/2024 through month to month. Must give 24-hour notice to show. Call today for more details!
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Built 1978
- Listed 13 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $18 ($211/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $147k (22.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $147k (22.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.4% in Wilson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#374 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wilson County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #119 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Winstead Elementary (math 27% / reading 27%); Charles H Darden Middle (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #424 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 441 students, 99% FRL); Beddingfield High (math 57% / reading 32%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 682 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 580 units permitted in Wilson County in 2024 (168 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wilson County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.40%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.01% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-23,546
- Equity at exit
- $28,315
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $8,186
- Equity at exit
- $16,419
Cash invested: $53,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27893
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,474 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $859/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $125 | -5% $71 | +0% $18 | +5% $-36 | +10% $-90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-99 | -5% $-41 | +0% $18 | +5% $76 | +10% $134 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $113 | -0.5pp $66 | base $18 | +0.5pp $-32 | +1.0pp $-82 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,475
- Closing costs
- $5,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Attention Investors!!! Add this DUPLEX to your portfolio! Each unit features 2BR/1BA, living room and kitchen. Both units A and B are tenant occupied. Unit A lease term 03/01/2026 through 02/28/2027. Unit B lease term 09/01/2024 through month to month. Must give 24-hour notice to show. Call today for more details!
-
2026-04-21status Pending
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Attention Investors!!! Add this DUPLEX to your portfolio! Each unit features 2BR/1BA, living room and kitchen. Both units A and B are tenant occupied. Unit A lease term 03/01/2026 through 02/28/2027. Unit B lease term 09/01/2024 through month to month. Must give 24-hour notice to show. Call today for more details!
-
2026-04-17$189,900 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Attention Investors!!! Add this DUPLEX to your portfolio! Each unit features 2BR/1BA, living room and kitchen. Both units A and B are tenant occupied. Unit A lease term 03/01/2026 through 02/28/2027. Unit B lease term 09/01/2024 through month to month. Must give 24-hour notice to show. Call today for more details!
-
2026-04-17historical
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Attention Investors!!! Add this DUPLEX to your portfolio! Each unit features 2BR/1BA, living room and kitchen. Both units A and B are tenant occupied. Unit A lease term 03/01/2026 through 02/28/2027. Unit B lease term 09/01/2024 through month to month. Must give 24-hour notice to show. Call today for more details!
-
2026-04-07$189,900 Active
-
2026-04-07$189,900 Active
-
2014-04-08soldstatus $1,025,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $859 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,557 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$698/yr (+$58/mo · 81.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,683
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,637
- − Property taxes
- −$859
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,415
- − Management
- −$1,415
- − Depreciation
- −$5,524
- Taxable loss
- −$3,116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$748
- After-tax cash flow
- $959/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wilson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3705020
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,342
- Composite
- 32.64/100
- National rank
- #5665
- State rank
- #119 of 178 in NC
Livability — Wilson
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #374
- US rank
- #14674
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wilson, NC
- County
- Wilson County · 57,967 people
- City population
- 57,967
- Metro
- Wilson, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,512
- Household income
- $42,810
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2175.0
Population outlook (Wilson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,765 people
- By 2030
- 82,492 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 81,054 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 78,610 · -5.0%
- By 2075
- 71,865 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 62,792 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Wilson
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 0.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.4 2020: D+2.9 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+7.3 2008: D+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.54%
- Current HPI
- 211.4136
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.01%
- Metro
- Wilson, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
-81.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — TMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $189,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $189,900 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $189,900 TMLS
- 2014-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,025,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $859 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…