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3600 Quarter Horse Run Ln
B Composite 73.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$115,000

3600 Quarter Horse Run Ln · Hope Mills, NC 28371
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,876 sqft · Manufactured public records · 81 Days on market
Built 1988 Poor condition 3.32 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

Key facts

  • 3.32-acre lot
  • Zoned rr
  • Existing well

Tags

EXISTING WELLEXISTING SEPTIC SYSTEMZONED RRQUARTER HORSE RUN SUBDIVISION3.32-ACRE LOTRURAL SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Spring and well water; Septic tank and holding tank sewer
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Located on a cul-de-sac

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Factory-built fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $115k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $369 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rockfish Elementary (math 32% / reading 45%, grade F, #750 of 1,410 statewide, top 54%, 696 students, 98% FRL); Hope Mills Middle (math 27% / reading 34%, grade F, #331 of 475 statewide, top 70%, 514 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 55% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $115k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $108,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.14%
Cash-on-cash
13.75%
DSCR
1.61
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.4%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$86,136
Equity at exit
$103,601
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
8.30×
Total profit
$235,189
Equity at exit
$223,420

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28371

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,440 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,415/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$369

Break-even live

Break-even rent $973
Max offer price $115,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5536 Gilcrest Sands Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1421 $1,395 $0.98 23d 1 1.05mi
3766 Colonial Cv Hope Mills, NC 3.0 1.5 1475 $1,445 $0.98 14d 1 1.23mi
5660 Bauer St Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1492 $1,495 $1.00 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-03-29
    listed $135,000 Active
  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $135,000 Active
  18. 2025-08-12
    soldstatus $70,000
  19. 2025-08-11
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  20. 2025-07-24
    status Pending 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  21. 2025-06-18
    price $84,900 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  22. 2025-05-01
    price $89,900 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  23. 2025-03-05
    listed $95,000 Active 329-char remark
    Show marketing remark (329 chars)

    Buy today: Profit for tomorrow! Hidden asset! Great secluded location, near the entrance to US 295 extension. This property is being sold as is and need work, but great upside for the investor or owner occupant. Features 3+ acre lot, over 1800 sq. ft. of living space and so much more. Don't miss out on this great opportunity!

  24. 1996-04-19
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,415 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,415 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,284
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,415
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,383
− Management
−$1,383
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable income
$2,741
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$658
After-tax cash flow
$3,769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including major work on the roof and exterior. Painting and landscaping can improve its curb appeal and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant damage visible
  • Major exterior siding — Significant damage visible
  • Major interior walls/paint — Chipped and worn
  • Major windows — Damaged
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible signs, but likely outdated

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting and minor repairs — Fresh paint and repairs can significantly improve curb appeal
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can attract renters
  • Both HVAC upgrade — Upgrading HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Significant damage visible Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · Significant damage visible Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls/paint · Chipped and worn Major $15,000–50,000
windows · Damaged Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC/mechanicals · No visible signs, but likely outdated Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting and minor repairs — Fresh paint and repairs can significantly improve curb appeal
  • Rental Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can attract renters
  • Both HVAC upgrade — Upgrading HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hope Mills

Score
67/100
State rank
#234
US rank
#10761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
39,196
Population (ZIP)
6,458

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Native American 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 15.91%
Current HPI
330.85
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.9% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $135,000 LPRMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $135,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2025-08-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 LPRMLS
  • 2025-07-24 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Price Changed $84,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Price Changed $89,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Listed $95,000 LPRMLS
  • 1996-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,415 · +67.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…