2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd · Stormstown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.
Key facts
- Historic home
- One fireplace
- 0.49 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.3% in Stormstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#828 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- State College Area SD (urban): math 62% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.37%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $469,370
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -76.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-10,634
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $133
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16870
- Home prices YoY
- -16.5%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$245
- Net cashflow
- $112
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $110,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $110,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $110,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-04-09price $110,000 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.
-
2026-03-13price $122,500 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.
-
2026-02-11price $130,000 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.
-
2026-02-04$150,000 Active 700-char remark
Show marketing remark (700 chars)
Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,246 · $187/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,005
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$2,246
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,120
- − Management
- −$1,120
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable loss
- −$393
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$94
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- State College Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222770
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,753
- Composite
- 57.23/100
- National rank
- #1094
- State rank
- #41 of 539 in PA
Livability — Stormstown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #828
- US rank
- #8618
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Stormstown, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,386
Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 177,113 people
- By 2030
- 185,138 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 196,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 205,070 · +15.8%
- By 2075
- 217,575 · +22.8%
- By 2100
- 230,649 · +30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Centre
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.64%
- Current HPI
- 221.2617
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
-26.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-13 Price Changed $122,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-02-04 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2026): $2,246 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…