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2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd
C- Composite 52.1
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd · Stormstown, PA 16870
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,400 sqft · Other public records · 135 Days on market
Built 1850 0.49 ac lot $46/sqft · 77% below area ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.

Key facts

  • Historic home
  • One fireplace
  • 0.49 acre lot

Tags

HISTORIC HOMEORIGINAL ARCHITECTURAL DETAILSPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTROLLING CREEK OUTBACKONE FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.3% in Stormstown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#828 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • State College Area SD (urban): math 62% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 539 in PA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 399 units permitted in Centre County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Centre County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1850 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1850 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.52%
Cash-on-cash
4.37%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$469,370
List price
$110,000
Delta
-76.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
14 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.4%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-10,634
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
0.1%
Equity multiple
1.00×
Total profit
$133
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16870

Home prices YoY
-16.5%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,167 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$187 /mo · $2,246/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,025
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 135 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $110,000 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $110,000 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-04-09
    price $110,000 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.

  17. 2026-03-13
    price $122,500 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.

  18. 2026-02-11
    price $130,000 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.

  19. 2026-02-04
    listed $150,000 Active 700-char remark
    Show marketing remark (700 chars)

    Attention Investors 2035 Halfmoon Valley Rd is a rare find in the scenic Stormstown / Port Matilda area, nestled in Halfmoon Township within the highly regarded State College Area School District. This historic home — built in 1850 —spans approximately 2,400 square feet of living space on a nearly half-acre lot (0.49 acres), offering a spacious footprint and rustic country charm that beckons to creative visionaries and renovators alike. This property is in need of significant restoration, and it has been priced accordingly. The AI-generated images are for illustrative purposes only and show what the home could look like after renovations-they do not reflect its present condition.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,246 · $187/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,005
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,246
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,120
− Management
−$1,120
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable loss
−$393
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$94
After-tax cash flow
$1,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
State College Area SD
NCES district ID
4222770
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$49,753
Composite
57.23/100
National rank
#1094
State rank
#41 of 539 in PA

Livability — Stormstown

Score
69/100
State rank
#828
US rank
#8618

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Stormstown, PA
Population (ZIP)
7,386

Population outlook (Centre County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
177,113 people
By 2030
185,138 · +4.5%
By 2040
196,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
205,070 · +15.8%
By 2075
217,575 · +22.8%
By 2100
230,649 · +30.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Centre

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 48.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-9.0pp toward R · 2008: 11.8pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+4.8 2016: D+1.9 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -43.64%
Current HPI
221.2617
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $110,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-13 Price Changed $122,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,246 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…