609 Prospect Ave SW · Canton, OH 44706

$25,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1886 3,833 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.7/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• 3,833 sq ft lot
• Parking
• Built 1886

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $950 ($11k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• Cap rate 51.9% vs local median 5.1% in Canton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#441 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Canton City (urban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #627 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 528 units permitted in Stark County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Stark County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1886 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $25,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1886 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 5.79% ✓
• Cap rate: 51.87%
• Cash-on-cash: 162.78%
• DSCR: 8.24
• GRM: 1.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 9.07×
• Total profit: $56,461
• Equity at exit: $3,728

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 19.17×
• Total profit: $127,180
• Equity at exit: $2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Ohio: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 44706

• Active inventory: 87
• Price-to-rent: 1.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,447 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax from tax record: −$52 /mo · $628/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$304
• Net cashflow: $950

Break-even live

Break-even rent $245

Max offer price $25,000

Occupancy floor 29%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,250
• Closing costs: $750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
2306 6th St SW Canton, OH	4.0	1.5	2086	$1,200	$0.58	20d	1	0.42mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-07
   status $25,000 Pending 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-05
   listed $25,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $628 · $52/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $628 · $52/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,368
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,400
• − Property taxes: −$628
• − Insurance: −$125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,389
• − Management: −$1,389
• − Depreciation: −$727
• Taxable income: $11,708
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,810
• After-tax cash flow: $8,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Canton City
• NCES district ID: 3904371
• Math proficiency: 17% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -12.00%
• Median HH income: $28,825
• Composite: 17.1/100
• National rank: #9116
• State rank: #627 of 656 in OH

Livability — Canton

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #441
• US rank: #7259

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Canton, OH
• County: Stark County · 272,865 people
• City population: 103,614
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• Population (ZIP): 16,496
• Household income: $58,228
• Rent vs Own: 32.3% rent · 67.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 502.0

Population outlook (Stark County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 373,708 people
• By 2030: 371,245 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 361,331 · -3.3%
• By 2050: 345,290 · -7.6%
• By 2075: 302,669 · -19.0%
• By 2100: 238,870 · -36.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (84%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 84% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Stark

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.9) · D 38.6% · R 60.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -27.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: -21.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.9 2020: R+18.5 2016: R+17.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -156.35%
• Current HPI: 239.851
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Canton-Massillon, OH
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.98%
• F500 in state: 48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	3	$145B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$49B
▸Financial Services	3	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	2	$93B
▸Aerospace / Defense	2	$47B
▸Utilities	2	$33B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $25,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+43.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $628 · +6899.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.