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10 Leto Rd
D Composite 43.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.5/30.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,999

10 Leto Rd · Westmere, NY 12203
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1952 9,147 sqft lot $236/sqft · 19% below area Est $377k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity knocks in one of Albany's most desirable locations within the highly regarded Guilderland Central School District. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a solid layout and great bones, ready for its next chapter. Featuring hardwood floors and a functional floor plan, this home presents a great chance to bring your vision and make it your own with some updates. Enjoy a spacious backyard, perfect for relaxing, entertaining, or future improvements. Ideally located just seconds from shopping, dining, and major routes, including Crossgates Mall, this property offers convenience and long-term value in a prime setting. A great opportunity in a sought-after area, don't miss it.

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Hardwood floors
  • 9,147 sq ft lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage; Total parking for 6 vehicles; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Below-grade finished area present
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Back yard fencing; Paved driveway

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms located on the first floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (one on the first floor and one in the basement)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Finished basement; 11 total rooms; Fireplace in family room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in the basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-266 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $253k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (17.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (17.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 4.1% in Westmere — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#477 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Guilderland Central School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #166 of 590 in NY (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Westmere Elementary School (math 52% / reading 62%, grade C+, #842 of 2,108 statewide, top 43%, 539 students, 26% FRL); Farnsworth Middle School (math 42% / reading 68%, grade B-, #212 of 729 statewide, top 29%, 1,151 students, 24% FRL); Guilderland High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,462 students, 23% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 127 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 675 units permitted in Albany County in 2024 (451 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Albany County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $245k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $247,489 (17.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.23%
Cash-on-cash
-3.80%
DSCR
0.83
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$376,785
List price
$299,999
Delta
-20.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
499 Church Rd 0.16mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,160 (-9%) 5mo $275,000 $237 66
18 Ruth Ter 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,100 (-14%) 18mo $320,000 $291 46
44 Schoolhouse Rd 0.43mi 3/1.5 1,081 (-15%) 20mo $295,000 $273 36
10 Oak Dr 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,380 (+8%) 21mo $375,000 $272 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.0%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-68,242
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-22.9%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-92,052
Equity at exit
$25,938

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12203

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,475 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$523 /mo · $6,272/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$-266

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,811
Max offer price $253,051
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-96 -5% $-181 +0% $-266 +5% $-351 +10% $-436
Rent -10% $-461 -5% $-364 +0% $-266 +5% $-168 +10% $-70
Rate -1.0pp $-115 -0.5pp $-189 base $-266 +0.5pp $-343 +1.0pp $-423

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1700 Western Ave Albany, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1438 $2,500 $1.74 16d 1 0.36mi
55 Woodlake Rd Albany, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 903 $2,050 $2.27 16d 1 0.36mi
1000 Apex Ln Albany, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1525 $4,175 $2.74 16d 29 0.70mi
416 Greenhill Ct Albany, NY 2.0 1.5 1350 $2,200 $1.63 45d 1 1.02mi
190 Church Rd Albany, NY 3.0 1.0 875 $2,600 $2.97 16d 1 1.07mi
1307 Greenwich Dr Albany, NY 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,000 $1.90 45d 1 1.11mi
1 Dresden Ct Albany, NY 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,650 $2.41 45d 1 1.48mi
62 Homestead St Albany, NY 4.0 2.0 1600 $2,600 $1.62 45d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $299,999 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,999 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,999 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,999 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,999 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,999 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,999 Active 37 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,999 Active 36 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,999 Active 35 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $299,999 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $299,999 Active 31 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $299,999 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $299,999 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,999 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,999 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,999 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $299,999 Active 699-char remark
  18. 2012-09-20
    historical
  19. 2012-07-09
    listed $219,000
  20. 2006-03-31
    soldstatus $245,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,272 · $523/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,272 · $523/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,699
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$6,272
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,376
− Management
−$2,376
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$8,357
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,006
After-tax cash flow
$-1,183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilderland Central School District
NCES district ID
3613080
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$75,669
Composite
57.24/100
National rank
#1093
State rank
#166 of 590 in NY

Livability — Westmere

Score
69/100
State rank
#477
US rank
#8403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime B- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westmere, NY
County
Albany County · 196,626 people
City population
30,080
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
30,771
Household income
$83,147
Rent vs Own
50.5% rent · 49.5% own
Severe rent burden
1704.0

Population outlook (Albany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
320,794 people
By 2030
327,401 · +2.1%
By 2040
338,218 · +5.4%
By 2050
348,467 · +8.6%
By 2075
381,693 · +19.0%
By 2100
393,809 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 10% Asian 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Albany

2024 margin
Strong D (+25.8) · D 62.9% · R 37.1%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 29.4pp · 2024: 25.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+25.8 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+24.3 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+29.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.05%
Current HPI
296.0467
Rent YoY
▲ 1.85%
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+22.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $299,999 Global MLS
  • 2012-09-20 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2012-07-09 Listed $219,000 Global MLS
  • 2006-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,272 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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