561 Alley Addition St · Pine Grove, WV
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Newer metal roof , furnace , air . Master bedroom has a walk in closet . Parking in the front of the house and the back of the house .
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Parking in the back
- Parking in the front
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Contemporary style; 2 stories
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Porch; Sloped lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Hardwood flooring; 6 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $496 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#190 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, schools F.
- Wetzel County Schools (town): math 25% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #36 of 55 in WV (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($414 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Wetzel County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.96% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.26%
- DSCR
- 2.79
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $134,190
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 573 Alley Addition St | 0.01mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (-1%) | 18mo | $17,500 | $12 | 74 |
| 241 Mayfield St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,311 (-12%) | 14mo | $118,000 | $90 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.81% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $44,790
- Equity at exit
- $33,251
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.47×
- Total profit
- $108,459
- Equity at exit
- $56,820
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 26419
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,177 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$28 /mo · $334/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $496
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-16price $59,900
-
2026-04-14price $64,900
-
2026-03-24$69,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $334 · $28/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $353 · $29/mo
- Expected delta
- +$20/yr (+$2/mo · 5.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,121
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$334
- − Insurance
- −$1,097
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,130
- − Management
- −$1,130
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $5,333
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wetzel County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401560
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,296
- Composite
- 24.22/100
- National rank
- #7726
- State rank
- #36 of 55 in WV
Livability — Pine Grove
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #17102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Grove, WV
- Population (ZIP)
- 673
Population outlook (Wetzel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 14,127 people
- By 2030
- 13,248 · -6.2%
- By 2040
- 11,611 · -17.8%
- By 2050
- 10,193 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 7,753 · -45.1%
- By 2100
- 5,922 · -58.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wetzel
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.0% · R 76.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -49.3pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+51.8 2016: R+50.3 2012: R+21.6 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.81%
- Current HPI
- 118.8663
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-14.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Price Changed $59,900 WBOR
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $64,900 WBOR
- 2026-03-24 Listed $69,900 WBOR
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $334 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…