2320 Ballard Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$58,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $58k).
- Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $58k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.72%
- DSCR
- 2.10
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $28,229
- List price
- $58,000
- Delta
- 105.46%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 982 India Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.5 | 672 (0%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $37 | 95 |
| 2329 Ballard Dr | 0.02mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (0%) | 17mo | $105,000 | $156 | 81 |
| 1021 Jessamine St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 756 (+12%) | 23mo | $47,500 | $63 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $13,734
- Equity at exit
- $8,648
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.91×
- Total profit
- $47,196
- Equity at exit
- $5,015
Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31206
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 207
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $880 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$304
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $385/yr
- Insurance
- −$24
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$185
- Net cashflow
- $335
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,500
- Closing costs
- $1,740
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2349 Mason St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 552 | $625 | $1.13 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1890 Moore St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 470 | $799 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1874 Moore St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 470 | $799 | $1.70 | 13d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 614 Cleveland St Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $800 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $750 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 700 | $1,095 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 644 | $850 | $1.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 864 Tattnall St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $800 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $58,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $58,000 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $58,000 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $58,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $58,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $58,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $58,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $58,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $58,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $58,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $58,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $58,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $58,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $58,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $58,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-02-01$58,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.
-
2026-02-01$58,000 New 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.
-
2026-01-30historical $58,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.
-
2026-01-30historical $58,000 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.
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2021-08-11soldstatus $36,500
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2021-08-09soldstatus $36,500 Sold
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2021-08-09soldstatus $36,500
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2021-07-21status Under Contract
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2021-07-16$38,000
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2021-06-28$38,000 New
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2021-06-28$38,000
-
2020-06-25soldstatus $45,000
-
2018-03-12soldstatus $50,000
-
2007-02-27soldstatus $12,000
-
2005-02-15soldstatus $6,000
-
2004-08-03soldstatus $64,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $385 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $534 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$149/yr (+$12/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,557
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,249
- − Property taxes
- −$385
- − Insurance
- −$290
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$845
- − Management
- −$845
- − Depreciation
- −$1,687
- Taxable income
- $3,257
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$782
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,234/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,310
- Household income
- $30,042
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1335.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.17%
- Current HPI
- 148.6765
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.03%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-10.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-01 Listed $58,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $58,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-30 Coming Soon $58,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-30 Coming Soon $58,000 GAMLS
- 2021-08-11 Sold (MLS) $36,500 CGMLS
- 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $36,500 MGMLS
- 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $36,500 GAMLS
- 2021-07-21 Pending — GAMLS
- 2021-07-16 Listed $38,000 MGMLS
- 2021-06-28 Listed $38,000 CGMLS
- 2021-06-28 Listed $38,000 GAMLS
- 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2018-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2007-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
- 2005-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $64,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.5%/yrLatest (2025): $385 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…