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2320 Ballard Dr
B- Composite 67.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,000

2320 Ballard Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31206
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1955 5,227 sqft lot $86/sqft · 105% above area ↓ 10% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $335 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($880 rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $51k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 207 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($30k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $401 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($51k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $58k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,040 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
13.22%
Cash-on-cash
24.72%
DSCR
2.10
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$28,229
List price
$58,000
Delta
105.46%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
982 India Ave 0.05mi 2/1.5 672 (0%) 1mo $25,000 $37 95
2329 Ballard Dr 0.02mi 2/2.0 672 (0%) 17mo $105,000 $156 81
1021 Jessamine St 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 756 (+12%) 23mo $47,500 $63 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.03% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$13,734
Equity at exit
$8,648
10-year hold
IRR
29.8%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$47,196
Equity at exit
$5,015

Cash invested: $16,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31206

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
207
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$880 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$304
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $385/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$335

Break-even live

Break-even rent $456
Max offer price $58,000
Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,500
Closing costs
$1,740
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2349 Mason St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 552 $625 $1.13 43d 1 0.42mi
1890 Moore St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 470 $799 $1.70 13d 1 0.42mi
1874 Moore St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 470 $799 $1.70 13d 1 0.43mi
614 Cleveland St Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 650 $800 $1.23 43d 1 0.83mi
668 Grosso Ave Unit A Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 650 $750 $1.15 20d 1 0.97mi
1249 Duncan Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 700 $1,095 $1.56 43d 1 1.22mi
2585 Napier Ave Unit B Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 644 $850 $1.32 20d 1 1.34mi
864 Tattnall St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 640 $800 $1.25 43d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $58,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,000 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,000 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,000 Active 134 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,000 Active 132 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,000 Active 131 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $58,000 Active 129 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 128 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,000 Active 127 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,000 Active 126 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $58,000 Active 122 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,000 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,000 Active 120 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,000 Active 119 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,000 Active 118 DOM
  17. 2026-02-01
    listed $58,000 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.

  18. 2026-02-01
    listed $58,000 New 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.

  19. 2026-01-30
    historical $58,000 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.

  20. 2026-01-30
    historical $58,000 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Well kept-Investor Owned property. Great income potential or for 1st time home buyer looking to stop renting and owning their own in a close knit family-oriented neighborhood near schools, interstate, shopping and Mercer University. Just enough room with this 2 Bedroom 1 Bath roommate floorplan with living area, eat in kitchen with washer/dryer hookups, private driveway, fenced in yard and space in backyard for a nice shaded barbecue. Call Today for showing appointment.

  21. 2021-08-11
    soldstatus $36,500
  22. 2021-08-09
    soldstatus $36,500 Sold
  23. 2021-08-09
    soldstatus $36,500
  24. 2021-07-21
    status Under Contract
  25. 2021-07-16
    listed $38,000
  26. 2021-06-28
    listed $38,000 New
  27. 2021-06-28
    listed $38,000
  28. 2020-06-25
    soldstatus $45,000
  29. 2018-03-12
    soldstatus $50,000
  30. 2007-02-27
    soldstatus $12,000
  31. 2005-02-15
    soldstatus $6,000
  32. 2004-08-03
    soldstatus $64,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$385 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$534 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$149/yr (+$12/mo · 38.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,557
− Mortgage interest
−$3,249
− Property taxes
−$385
− Insurance
−$290
− Repairs & maintenance
−$845
− Management
−$845
− Depreciation
−$1,687
Taxable income
$3,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$782
After-tax cash flow
$3,234/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
24,310
Household income
$30,042
Rent vs Own
56.5% rent · 43.5% own
Severe rent burden
1335.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -80.17%
Current HPI
148.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 5.03%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-10.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $58,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $58,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Coming Soon $58,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Coming Soon $58,000 GAMLS
  • 2021-08-11 Sold (MLS) $36,500 CGMLS
  • 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $36,500 MGMLS
  • 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $36,500 GAMLS
  • 2021-07-21 Pending GAMLS
  • 2021-07-16 Listed $38,000 MGMLS
  • 2021-06-28 Listed $38,000 CGMLS
  • 2021-06-28 Listed $38,000 GAMLS
  • 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2018-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 2007-02-27 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
  • 2005-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2004-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $64,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $385 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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