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309 N Colfax St
C+ Composite 60.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$94,500

309 N Colfax St · Crescent City, IL 60928
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 925 sqft · SingleFamily · 78 Days on market
Built 1890 0.34 ac lot $102/sqft · 22% below area Est $122k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Very nice two bedroom home with some updates the home has hardwood floors, original woodwork thru out, there is a two car plus garage with heat and added shop on the side also there is a new 12x20 Yoder shed beside the garage, all appliances are 2024 plus new water heater and has large double lot on the corner. The property is set up with invisible pet fence and it will stay.

Key facts

  • Heated shop
  • New water heater
  • Double lot

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSORIGINAL WOODWORKTWO CAR GARAGEHEATED SHOPNEW WATER HEATERDOUBLE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $76 ($908/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (6.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (6.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#822 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Crescent Iroquois CUSD 249 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #305 of 919 in IL (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Iroquois County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($653 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
  • Iroquois County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $94k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $88,041 (6.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.43%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$121,770
List price
$94,500
Delta
-22.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 South St 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,047 (+13%) 20mo $35,000 $33 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$10,773
Equity at exit
$36,723
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$38,665
Equity at exit
$52,462

Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60928

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
6
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$880 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$496
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,019/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$185
Net cashflow
$76

Break-even live

Break-even rent $785
Max offer price $94,500
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,625
Closing costs
$2,835
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $94,500 Active 78 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $94,500 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $94,500 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,500 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,500 Active 73 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $94,500 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,500 Active 69 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,500 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,500 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $94,500 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,500 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,500 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,500 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,500 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,500 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $94,500 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Very nice two bedroom home with some updates the home has hardwood floors, original woodwork thru out, there is a two car plus garage with heat and added shop on the side also there is a new 12x20 Yoder shed beside the garage, all appliances are 2024 plus new water heater and has large double lot on the corner. The property is set up with invisible pet fence and it will stay.

  17. 2026-04-01
    listed $104,500 Active 378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (378 chars)

    Very nice two bedroom home with some updates the home has hardwood floors, original woodwork thru out, there is a two car plus garage with heat and added shop on the side also there is a new 12x20 Yoder shed beside the garage, all appliances are 2024 plus new water heater and has large double lot on the corner. The property is set up with invisible pet fence and it will stay.

  18. 2023-12-11
    soldstatus $48,000
  19. 2012-01-17
    soldstatus $22,500 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Sold As Is condition. First look for home owners through 09/03/2011. Investors welcome after. Sellers addendum, proof of Funds, and $1000 EM minimum for all offers. No closets in both bedrooms. Extra Large Insulated garage with attached bonus room/ workshop. L-shaped kitchen.

  20. 2011-12-23
    soldstatus $22,500
  21. 2011-12-14
    historical 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Sold As Is condition. First look for home owners through 09/03/2011. Investors welcome after. Sellers addendum, proof of Funds, and $1000 EM minimum for all offers. No closets in both bedrooms. Extra Large Insulated garage with attached bonus room/ workshop. L-shaped kitchen.

  22. 2011-08-16
    listed $29,900 276-char remark
    Show marketing remark (276 chars)

    Sold As Is condition. First look for home owners through 09/03/2011. Investors welcome after. Sellers addendum, proof of Funds, and $1000 EM minimum for all offers. No closets in both bedrooms. Extra Large Insulated garage with attached bonus room/ workshop. L-shaped kitchen.

  23. 2011-03-02
    soldstatus $24,472
  24. 2007-11-07
    soldstatus $73,000
  25. 2007-11-01
    soldstatus $73,000
  26. 2007-09-21
    historical
  27. 2007-09-17
    listed $79,900
  28. 2002-06-01
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,019 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,582 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$563/yr (+$47/mo · 55.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,565
− Mortgage interest
−$5,293
− Property taxes
−$1,019
− Insurance
−$472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$845
− Management
−$845
− Depreciation
−$2,749
Taxable loss
−$660
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$158
After-tax cash flow
$1,066/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crescent Iroquois CUSD 249
NCES district ID
1700323
Math proficiency
30% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$54,136
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#8963
State rank
#305 of 919 in IL

Livability — Crescent City

Score
62/100
State rank
#822
US rank
#16204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Crescent City, IL
Population (ZIP)
509

Population outlook (Iroquois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,826 people
By 2030
25,771 · -3.9%
By 2040
23,589 · -12.1%
By 2050
21,523 · -19.8%
By 2075
17,998 · -32.9%
By 2100
14,979 · -44.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Iroquois

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.3) · D 20.6% · R 78.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.5pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -57.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.3 2020: R+56.7 2016: R+56.0 2012: R+44.7 2008: R+29.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.89%
Current HPI
128.1668
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+170.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $94,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $104,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
  • 2012-01-17 Sold (MLS) $22,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $22,500 Public Records
  • 2011-12-14 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-08-16 Listed $29,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $24,472 Public Records
  • 2007-11-07 Sold (MLS) $73,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2007-09-21 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-09-17 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,019 · -27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…