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1130 N Gabbert
D Composite 41.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +12.4/30.0
  • DSCR +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

1130 N Gabbert · Monticello, AR 71655
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,438 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 228 Days on market
Built 1925 0.31 ac lot $90/sqft · 11% below area Est $146k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 bedroom 2 bathroom craftsman style home on a corner lot in the heart of Monticello. New shingles on a gable roof with exposed rafters, new flooring throughout with upgraded sub flooring. Full width front porch to enjoy the shaded yard. Detached carport and workshop with plenty of parking. Cash flow opportunity in a rental market that's low on supply or great for a family looking to own their own home.

Key facts

  • Gable roof
  • Craftsman style home
  • Exposed rafters

Tags

CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOMECORNER LOTNEW SHINGLESGABLE ROOFEXPOSED RAFTERSNEW FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-21 ($-254/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (2.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (27.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.9% in Monticello — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#72 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Monticello School District (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #161 of 238 in AR (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in Drew County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Drew County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $130k implies a 364% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $94,829 (27.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
6.10%
Cash-on-cash
-0.70%
DSCR
0.97
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,350
List price
$130,000
Delta
-11.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
705 N Hyatt St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,468 (+2%) 4mo $31,000 $21 59
1004 N Chester St 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,557 (+8%) 23mo $193,500 $124 46
517 W Wood Ave 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,568 (+9%) 14mo $55,000 $35 35
407 Elm Ct 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,265 (-12%) 10mo $143,000 $113 32
429 Elm Ct 0.71mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,324 (-8%) 19mo $125,000 $94 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-22,480
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-21,575
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71655

Home prices YoY
-10.8%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$948 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $413/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$-21

Break-even live

Break-even rent $975
Max offer price $126,256
Occupancy floor 97%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 228 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 227 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 226 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 225 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 224 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $130,000 Active 222 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $130,000 Active 221 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 218 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 217 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 216 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 215 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $130,000 Active 212 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 211 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 210 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 209 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 208 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    status Back on Market 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bathroom craftsman style home on a corner lot in the heart of Monticello. New shingles on a gable roof with exposed rafters, new flooring throughout with upgraded sub flooring. Full width front porch to enjoy the shaded yard. Detached carport and workshop with plenty of parking. Cash flow opportunity in a rental market that's low on supply or great for a family looking to own their own home.

  18. 2026-05-01
    historical 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bathroom craftsman style home on a corner lot in the heart of Monticello. New shingles on a gable roof with exposed rafters, new flooring throughout with upgraded sub flooring. Full width front porch to enjoy the shaded yard. Detached carport and workshop with plenty of parking. Cash flow opportunity in a rental market that's low on supply or great for a family looking to own their own home.

  19. 2025-10-30
    listed $130,000 New Listing 406-char remark
    Show marketing remark (406 chars)

    2 bedroom 2 bathroom craftsman style home on a corner lot in the heart of Monticello. New shingles on a gable roof with exposed rafters, new flooring throughout with upgraded sub flooring. Full width front porch to enjoy the shaded yard. Detached carport and workshop with plenty of parking. Cash flow opportunity in a rental market that's low on supply or great for a family looking to own their own home.

  20. 2010-11-02
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$413 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$832 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$419/yr (+$35/mo · 101.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,379
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$413
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$910
− Management
−$910
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$2,568
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$616
After-tax cash flow
$362/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Monticello School District
NCES district ID
0509840
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$33,146
Composite
24.19/100
National rank
#7732
State rank
#161 of 238 in AR

Livability — Monticello

Score
69/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#8686

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Monticello, AR
Population (ZIP)
13,892

Population outlook (Drew County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,483 people
By 2030
18,278 · -1.1%
By 2040
17,712 · -4.2%
By 2050
17,015 · -7.9%
By 2075
15,815 · -14.4%
By 2100
14,335 · -22.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 28% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Drew

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.2% · R 66.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.7pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -33.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.8 2020: R+27.8 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+18.9 2008: R+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.27%
Current HPI
218.1414
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+364.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Listed $130,000 CARMLS
  • 2010-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $413 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…