614 Lyon St · Hannibal, MO 63401

$19,900

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Other public records · 6 Days on market

Built 1890 2,657 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

1 bed, 1 bath home just steps from restaurants, events, and the riverfront. Ideal for investors—high rental demand and unbeatable walkable location. Excellent opportunity to own property in the heart of downtown. Don’t miss this rare find—endless potential and strong return possibilities!

Key facts

• Heart of downtown
• Walkable location
• High rental demand

Tags

• WALKABLE LOCATION
• HEART OF DOWNTOWN
• HIGH RENTAL DEMAND

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $20k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($829 rent vs $20k).
• Cap rate 37.9% vs local median 3.4% in Hannibal — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#81 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
• Hannibal 60 (town): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #142 of 324 in MO (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: A. D. Stowell Elem. (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #676 of 1,115 statewide, top 66%, 209 students, 72% FRL); Hannibal Sr. High (math 29% / reading 37%, grade F, #351 of 521 statewide, top 68%, 1,052 students, 49% FRL).
• Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $597 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Marion County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $19,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.16% ✓
• Cap rate: 37.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 112.87%
• DSCR: 6.02
• GRM: 2.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.41×
• Total profit: $30,162
• Equity at exit: $2,967

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 13.43×
• Total profit: $69,278
• Equity at exit: $1,721

Cash invested: $5,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63401

• Home prices YoY: -32.9%
• Active inventory: 108
• Price-to-rent: 2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $829 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$104
• Tax from tax record: −$18 /mo · $216/yr
• Insurance: −$8
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$174
• Net cashflow: $524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $165

Max offer price $19,900

Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $4,975
• Closing costs: $597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-25
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-19
   listed $19,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $216 · $18/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $216 · $18/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,945
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,115
• − Property taxes: −$216
• − Insurance: −$100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$796
• − Management: −$796
• − Depreciation: −$579
• Taxable income: $6,345
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,523
• After-tax cash flow: $4,766/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hannibal 60
• NCES district ID: 2913650
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $40,349
• Composite: 34.39/100
• National rank: #5208
• State rank: #142 of 324 in MO

Livability — Hannibal

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #81
• US rank: #5358

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Hannibal, MO
• Population (ZIP): 21,125

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 28,640 people
• By 2030: 28,432 · -0.7%
• By 2040: 27,597 · -3.6%
• By 2050: 26,203 · -8.5%
• By 2075: 21,931 · -23.4%
• By 2100: 15,765 · -45.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+52.9) · D 23.1% · R 76.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -29.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -52.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+52.9 2020: R+50.3 2016: R+49.8 2012: R+32.0 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -93.01%
• Current HPI: 189.6907
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-25 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-19 Listed $19,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $216 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.