1500 County Road 1 #44 · Dunedin, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$102,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to beautiful Lake Highlander Mobile Home Park in desirable Dunedin. .. a highly sought-after 55+ golf cart community known for its pristine grounds, active lifestyle, and friendly neighbors. This furnished home is perfectly positioned on a spacious corner lot, offering added privacy and excellent curb appeal. Step inside to a bright and inviting eat-in kitchen filled with natural light from multiple windows. Blinds and window treatments are already in place throughout the home, making it move-in ready. The sunny Florida room is a standout feature. .. fully air-conditioned for year-round enjoyment. .. creating the perfect space for relaxing, entertaining guests, or savoring your morn
Key facts
- Sunny florida room
- Deep carport
- Spacious corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Total annual fees $3,300 (monthly $275)
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $275); Association requires approval; Association amenities: Clubhouse, Laundry, Maintenance, Pool, Recreation facilities, Shuffleboard court; Association fee includes: Pool, Escrow reserves, Grounds maintenance, Management, Private road, Recreational facilities, Sewer, Trash, Water; Community features: Buyer approval required, Clubhouse, Golf carts allowed, Pool, Sidewalks; Senior community; Cats allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home (single wide); One level; Faces north; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Metal siding; Membrane roof; Built area approximately 672 square feet
- Exterior features: Awning(s); Private mailbox; Rain barrel/cistern; Sidewalk
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Laundry: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $102k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 2.8% in Dunedin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#15 in FL, #411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 478 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $705 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.7% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.64%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $135,072
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1500 County Road 1 #24 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (0%) | 7mo | $115,000 | $171 | 94 |
| 1500 County Road 1 #285 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 672 (0%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $201 | 92 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.35×
- Total profit
- $9,856
- Equity at exit
- $15,209
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $41,562
- Equity at exit
- $8,819
Cash invested: $28,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34698
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 478
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,770 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$535
- Tax from tax record
- −$126 /mo · $1,514/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$275
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,500
- Closing costs
- $3,060
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1515 County Road 1 Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 719 | $1,750 | $2.43 | 7d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 1196 Angle Rd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,675 | $2.39 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 905 Patricia Ave Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,800 | $3.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 690 Regina Rd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,195 | $2.95 | 4d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3055 Belcher Rd Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,345 | $1.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3071 Park Ln Unit C Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $1,195 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 639 Michigan Blvd Unit 1800 Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $1,200 | $1.95 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 612 Bass Ct Dunedin, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 698 | $2,031 | $2.91 | 1d | 6 | 1.27mi |
| 602 Skinner Blvd Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 448 | $2,750 | $6.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 580 Skinner Blvd Unit 4 Dunedin, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,045 | $2.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2760 Belle Haven Dr Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,550 | $2.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2760 Belle Haven Dr Unit C Clearwater, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 682 | $1,550 | $2.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1600 Pasadena Dr Unit B Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 400 | $1,450 | $3.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1600 Pasadena Dr Unit A Dunedin, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 385 | $1,250 | $3.25 | 13d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 2307 Cumberland Cir Clearwater, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 873 | $2,099 | $2.40 | 3d | 15 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $275 · $3,300/yr
- Likely covers
- landscaping
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $102,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $102,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $102,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $102,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $102,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $102,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $102,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $102,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $102,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $102,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $102,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $102,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $109,900
-
2026-02-28$115,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,514 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,242
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,714
- − Property taxes
- −$1,514
- − Insurance
- −$510
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,699
- − Management
- −$1,699
- − HOA
- −$3,300
- − Depreciation
- −$2,967
- Taxable income
- $3,838
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$921
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,117/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — Dunedin
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #411
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dunedin, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 38,171
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,171
- Household income
- $74,078
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1390.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -515.66%
- Current HPI
- 387.4694
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.69%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-5.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $109,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Listed $115,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,514 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…