5313 Hodiamont Ave · Jennings, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$15,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Direct to seller. House needs a full rehab.
Key facts
- 3,201 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 22 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $705 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
- Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 62.7% vs local median 12.2% in Jennings — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#208 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, commute A-, housing A-; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Jennings (suburban): math 8% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #315 of 324 in MO (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 86% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 372 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $672 of equity ($104 loan paydown + $568 appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 22 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 7.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 62.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 201.50%
- DSCR
- 9.97
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $62,979
- List price
- $15,000
- Delta
- -76.18%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7041 Garesche Ave | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 864 (+2%) | 3mo | $39,900 | $46 | 74 |
| 7043 Theodore Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 900 (+6%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $78 | 66 |
| 5239 Hamilton Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 725 (-14%) | 2mo | $8,750 | $12 | 65 |
| 7127 Theodore Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+11%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $53 | 57 |
| 4419 June Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 816 (-3%) | 4mo | $57,500 | $70 | 56 |
| 5218 Fletcher St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 918 (+9%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $82 | 54 |
| 4704 Seattle St | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 768 (-9%) | 1mo | $84,900 | $111 | 53 |
| 5220 Fletcher St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 918 (+9%) | 3mo | $64,900 | $71 | 53 |
| 6705 Kenwood Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 912 (+8%) | 2mo | $78,900 | $87 | 52 |
| 5920 Lalite Ave | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 760 (-10%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $29 | 48 |
| 5712 Floy Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 966 (+14%) | 1mo | $62,000 | $64 | 40 |
| 4617 Hatz St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 720 (-15%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $42 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.79% appreciation · 4.97% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.79×
- Total profit
- $49,529
- Equity at exit
- $7,422
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 28.63×
- Total profit
- $116,035
- Equity at exit
- $11,995
Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63136
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,057 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$79
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$6
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$222
- Net cashflow
- $705
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $3,750
- Closing costs
- $450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5415 Hamilton Ave Unit Labs Jennings, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,100 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5439 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $950 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 7036 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $950 | $1.10 | 17d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7024 Idlewild Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 588 | $995 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6150 Sherry Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $896 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 6153 Laura Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 834 | $1,000 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 7131 Garesche Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,090 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 7030 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 801 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 7160 Beulah Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,059 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 5635 Hodiamont Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 580 | $899 | $1.55 | 20d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 5546 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,273 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5654 Acme Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $325 | $0.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5516 Fairridge Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1110 | $995 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5662 Wilborn Dr Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $850 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 5721 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,120 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5741 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 5756 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $995 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 7218 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $980 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5931 Emma Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,200 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5615 Beldon Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $950 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7304 Albright Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 7142 Lamont Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 17d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 4719 Plover Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 744 | $995 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5640 Sapphire Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5955 Floy Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,050 | $1.02 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 7431 Esterbrook Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,350 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 8502 Dianthus Ln Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $1,175 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4715 Thrush Ave Unit 24 St. Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 8344 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 8347 Eton Pl Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,075 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7414 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,100 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7420 Pleaseway Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $1,250 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1942 Damato Ct Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5613 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,300 | $1.50 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5636 Statler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 777 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 7426 Calvin Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,125 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5600 Gatesworth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,095 | $1.63 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3720 Darby St Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,123 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7516 Chandler Ave Saint Louis, MO | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,000 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 8720 Akins Dr Saint Louis, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,150 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Direct to seller. House needs a full rehab.
-
2026-04-29price $15,000 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Direct to seller. House needs a full rehab.
-
2026-04-21$18,000 Active 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Direct to seller. House needs a full rehab.
-
2026-04-21historical $18,000 44-char remark
Show marketing remark (44 chars)
Direct to seller. House needs a full rehab.
-
1999-05-20soldstatus $38,000
-
1994-11-16soldstatus
-
1993-11-01soldstatus
-
1991-11-20soldstatus
-
1991-05-23soldstatus
-
1964-11-06soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,685
- − Mortgage interest
- −$840
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$75
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,015
- − Management
- −$1,015
- − Depreciation
- −$436
- Taxable income
- $8,764
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,103
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,359/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jennings
- NCES district ID
- 2916290
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,595
- Composite
- 11.04/100
- National rank
- #9739
- State rank
- #315 of 324 in MO
Livability — Jennings
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #208
- US rank
- #10499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jennings, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,929
- Household income
- $41,154
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3085.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% White 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.79%
- Current HPI
- 420.28
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.97%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-60.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $15,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Listed $18,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $18,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 1994-11-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-11-20 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1991-05-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1964-11-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-2.3%/yrLatest (2022): $539 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…