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128 Springdale Rd
B Composite 73.9
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$125,000

128 Springdale Rd · Elberton, GA 30635
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,826 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1900 0.80 ac lot Est $206k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special - Tons of Potential! Bring your vision to this charming Craftsman-style cottage nestled on a spacious, shaded lot. Featuring a welcoming front porch, mature trees, and plenty of curb appeal, this property offers an excellent opportunity for investors, flippers, or buyers looking to create their dream home. With solid character and endless possibilities, this home is ready for renovation and priced accordingly. Don't miss your chance to unlock its full potential. Sold As-Is.

Key facts

  • Spacious shaded lot
  • Curb appeal
  • Mature trees

Tags

CRAFTSMAN-STYLE COTTAGEWELCOMING FRONT PORCHMATURE TREESSPACIOUS SHADED LOTCURB APPEAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as fixer condition; Lot size approximately 0.8 acre
  • Financial info: Listing available for cash offers
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Community features include sidewalks, street lights, and proximity to shopping

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Single-family house; One story; Residential property; Built in 1900
  • Construction: Wood siding construction; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Originally built in 1900
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Wood siding; City lot; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Crawl space foundation
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet; Additional utility space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $258 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.6% in Elberton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#375 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Elbert County (rural): math 26% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #124 of 174 in GA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 183 active listings in the ZIP; 77 units permitted in Elbert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Elbert County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.77%
Cash-on-cash
8.83%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$206,338
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
131 S Thomas St 0.33mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (+1%) 1mo $197,000 $107 76
155 Myrtle St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,867 (+2%) 5mo $163,000 $87 76
141 Wildwood Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,771 (-3%) 1mo $115,000 $65 67
813 Sherwood Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,828 (+0%) 14mo $250,000 $137 66
173 Brookside Dr 0.28mi 3/2.5 2,041 (+12%) 5mo $300,000 $147 61
178 Heard Dr 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,736 (-5%) 11mo $250,000 $144 60
37 W Church St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,679 (-8%) 2mo $253,000 $151 55
151 Wildwood Dr 0.52mi 3/2.5 2,002 (+10%) 11mo $246,350 $123 49
118 Lake Forest Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,599 (-12%) 16mo $153,000 $96 31
116 Lake Forest Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,707 (-6%) 24mo $190,000 $111 30
112 Lake Forest Dr 0.70mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,726 (-6%) 24mo $195,000 $113 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$84,498
Equity at exit
$112,610
10-year hold
IRR
26.6%
Equity multiple
7.74×
Total profit
$235,974
Equity at exit
$242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30635

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
183
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,415 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$153 /mo · $1,830/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,089
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $125,000 Under Contract 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    statusdays on market $125,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 New 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 New 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 New 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 New 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 New 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 New 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    remarks 498-char remark
  12. 2026-06-02
    listed $125,000 New 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,830 · $153/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $153/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,977
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,830
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,358
− Management
−$1,358
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$1,167
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$280
After-tax cash flow
$2,810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elbert County
NCES district ID
1302010
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$34,498
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8458
State rank
#124 of 174 in GA

Livability — Elberton

Score
60/100
State rank
#375
US rank
#19001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elberton, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,107

Population outlook (Elbert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,648 people
By 2030
16,675 · -5.5%
By 2040
14,631 · -17.1%
By 2050
12,632 · -28.4%
By 2075
8,704 · -50.7%
By 2100
5,958 · -66.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Elbert

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.4) · D 28.2% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-25.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -43.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.4 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.03%
Current HPI
332.46
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $125,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,830 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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