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227 Thaxton Landing Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
A Composite 86.18
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

227 Thaxton Landing Rd · Anacoco, LA 71403
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,372 sqft · SingleFamily · 140 Days on market
0.78 ac lot $91/sqft · 34% below area Est $189k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home is a great opportunity for both investors and homebuyers alike! Whether you're looking to move in later and build equity over time or continue earning rental income, this property offers flexibility to suit your goals! This property is currently leased and generating $1,050/month in rent, with tenants in place. For investors, this means instant income. For future homeowners, it offers the chance to purchase now and plan your move for later! Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity! Call your realtor today to see!

Key facts

  • 0.78 acre lot
  • Listed 139 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $124,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$189,071) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $737 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 5.6% in Anacoco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#81 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (8.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
13.37%
Cash-on-cash
25.28%
DSCR
2.12
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$189,071
List price
$124,900
Delta
-33.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
3.85×
Total profit
$99,721
Equity at exit
$96,316
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
8.28×
Total profit
$254,545
Equity at exit
$192,563

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71403

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,978 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,424/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$737

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,045
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $124,900 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 137 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 134 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $124,900 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 128 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $124,900 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 122 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 121 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 120 DOM
  17. 2026-01-30
    listed $124,900 Active 563-char remark
    Show marketing remark (563 chars)

    This spacious 4-bedroom, 1.5 bathroom home is a great opportunity for both investors and homebuyers alike! Whether you're looking to move in later and build equity over time or continue earning rental income, this property offers flexibility to suit your goals! This property is currently leased and generating $1,050/month in rent, with tenants in place. For investors, this means instant income. For future homeowners, it offers the chance to purchase now and plan your move for later! Don't miss out on this amazing opportunity! Call your realtor today to see!

  18. 2022-12-14
    soldstatus 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    AWESOME LOCATION NEAR LAKE VERNON. This 3BR/1.5BA sits on . 78 acres of fenced property. The shop in the back yard is on a concrete slab with electricity and water.

  19. 2022-12-13
    soldstatus
  20. 2021-10-28
    soldstatus $170,000
  21. 2021-05-24
    listed $47,000
  22. 2015-09-02
    soldstatus $120,000
  23. 2015-08-06
    listed $126,000 164-char remark
    Show marketing remark (164 chars)

    AWESOME LOCATION NEAR LAKE VERNON. This 3BR/1.5BA sits on . 78 acres of fenced property. The shop in the back yard is on a concrete slab with electricity and water.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,424 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,424 · $119/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,733
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,424
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,899
− Management
−$1,899
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$7,257
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,742
After-tax cash flow
$7,099/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vernon Parish
NCES district ID
2201830
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -42.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$44,822
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4674
State rank
#18 of 98 in LA

Livability — Anacoco

Score
69/100
State rank
#81
US rank
#9004

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,792

Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,401 people
By 2030
43,015 · -5.3%
By 2040
38,171 · -15.9%
By 2050
34,087 · -24.9%
By 2075
28,267 · -37.7%
By 2100
25,486 · -43.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Vernon

2024 margin
Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.17%
Current HPI
186.1416
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $124,900 GFPAR
  • 2022-12-14 Sold (MLS) GFPAR
  • 2022-12-13 Sold (MLS) GFPAR
  • 2021-10-28 Sold (Public Records) $170,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-24 Listed $47,000 GFPAR
  • 2015-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-06 Listed $126,000 GFPAR

Property tax history

+12.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,424 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…