205 S Main St · Wheeler, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 10/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$97,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move in ready home in Wheeler. Step inside this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring classic charm and cozy character that makes it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the fenced backyard, front porch, fruit trees, extra storage and the convenience of being at walking distance to the school and downtown Wheeler. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment, this property offers comfort, value, and potential.
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1940
- Listed 78 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#789 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D, schools D-, amenities F.
- Wheeler ISD (rural): math 55% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #130 of 826 in TX (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($674 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- Wheeler County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.25%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.98% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $15,684
- Equity at exit
- $38,359
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.83×
- Total profit
- $49,894
- Equity at exit
- $55,163
Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79096
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,074 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$511
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,857/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,375
- Closing costs
- $2,925
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,500 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,500 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $97,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,500 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $97,500 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Move in ready home in Wheeler. Step inside this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring classic charm and cozy character that makes it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the fenced backyard, front porch, fruit trees, extra storage and the convenience of being at walking distance to the school and downtown Wheeler. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment, this property offers comfort, value, and potential.
-
2026-04-01$98,000 Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Move in ready home in Wheeler. Step inside this inviting 2-bedroom, 1.5-bath home featuring classic charm and cozy character that makes it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the fenced backyard, front porch, fruit trees, extra storage and the convenience of being at walking distance to the school and downtown Wheeler. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment, this property offers comfort, value, and potential.
-
2025-10-29price $98,000
-
2022-10-14soldstatus Closed
-
2022-10-14soldstatus Closed
-
2022-09-06$95,000 Active
-
2022-09-06$95,000 Active
-
2008-04-16soldstatus
-
2006-09-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,857 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,894
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,462
- − Property taxes
- −$1,857
- − Insurance
- −$488
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,032
- − Management
- −$1,032
- − Depreciation
- −$2,836
- Taxable income
- $188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$45
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,661/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wheeler ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845420
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,840
- Composite
- 45.48/100
- National rank
- #2613
- State rank
- #130 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wheeler
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #789
- US rank
- #14423
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wheeler, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,022
Population outlook (Wheeler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,212 people
- By 2030
- 6,519 · +4.9%
- By 2040
- 7,210 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 7,953 · +28.0%
- By 2075
- 9,663 · +55.6%
- By 2100
- 10,059 · +61.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 23% Two or more races 3% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 19%
Political lean MEDSL · Wheeler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+84.7) · D 7.4% · R 92.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.2pp toward R · 2008: -71.4pp · 2024: -84.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+84.7 2020: R+85.2 2016: R+82.1 2012: R+77.3 2008: R+71.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Current HPI
- 86.647
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+2.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $97,500 AARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listed $98,000 AARMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $98,000 AARMLS
- 2022-10-14 Sold (MLS) — AARMLS
- 2022-10-14 Sold (MLS) — PBOR
- 2022-09-06 Listed $95,000 AARMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $95,000 PBOR
- 2008-04-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-09-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+11.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,857 · +10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…