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2331 Lucerne Ave 5-Plex
B- Composite 65.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,625,000

2331 Lucerne Ave · Los Angeles, CA 90016
2 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,824 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 154 Days on market
Built 1924 5,675 sqft lot $425/sqft · 27% above area Est $1562k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

BEST VALUE IN MID CITY! Welcome to Lucerne tower! A five unit, 1920's Italianate Arts & Crafts architectural multifamily apartment building with multiple live/ loft/ work accessory unit potential. Centrally located, within the urban vibrancy of Mid City Heights/West Adams district. Officially designated an "Urbanized, Transit Priority Area" (TPA), the property is strategically positioned in the most appealing centre of high growth areas from Downtown L. A. to Culver City's Tech Hub, the neighbourhood is experiencing a rapid growth of multifamily development. Lucerne Tower sits within recently funded city infrastructure installations including (2) Metro lines to USC , LAX, Downtown, Westside Beaches, and walkability to the "Washington Corridor" & Artist District featuring trending coffee venue destinations and art galleries. All units have been master-crafted, millwork restored and adequately sized [potential reconfigure] with hi-cove ceilings, separate dining areas, sconced parlors and Batchelder fireplace mantles. Bathrooms feature wainscoted tile, pedestal sinks, and deep 1920s Kohler tubs in all units. All units retain individual laundry rooms with 125 amp electric service, copper plumbing with no expense spared on the structural assets. The property sits atop an apex of unobstructed, Los Angeles citywide views. Here you will find the "hero tower" unit with a separate 12'x12' creative space, 360' panoramic rooftop views and balconies perched over the Mediterranean landscape's 25 ft palm trees. The rear loft apartment sits stand alone over (4) additional artist shops or studio workplaces adding a unique flex-space potential [buyer to verify with city]. The property can be versatile for an owner-user/creative that wants to have onsite work -loft studio space or any professional/investor.

Key facts

  • Hi-cove ceilings
  • Pedestal sinks
  • Sconced parlors

Tags

HI-COVE CEILINGSSEPARATE DINING AREASSCONCED PARLORSBATCHELDER FIREPLACE MANTLESWAINSCOTED TILEPEDESTAL SINKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 5-bed/5.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.62M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($74k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($20k rent vs $1.62M).
  • Recommended offer: $1.43M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 149 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $20,184/mo this rent would consume 329% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 3450% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $49k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $455k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 154 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.43M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $321k; list at $1.62M implies a 406% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,430,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 154 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.86%
Cash-on-cash
16.32%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,561,876
List price
$1,625,000
Delta
4.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$92,785
Equity at exit
$242,293
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
1.96×
Total profit
$437,836
Equity at exit
$140,500

Cash invested: $455,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City Los Angeles
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
LARSO + JCEO 2023; relocation for substantial remodel evictions.

ZIP-level market 90016

Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
149
Price-to-rent
33.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$20,184 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$8,522
Tax from tax record
$558 /mo · $6,690/yr
Insurance
$677
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,239
Net cashflow
$6,189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $12,350
Max offer price $1,625,000
Occupancy floor 64%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $20,184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$406,250
Closing costs
$48,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1801 Buckingham Rd Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.5 3977 $15,000 $3.77 14d 1 0.56mi
1555 6th Ave Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 4690 $2,900 $0.62 43d 1 1.17mi
1185 S Tremaine Ave Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 2744 $4,500 $1.64 21d 1 1.20mi
1117 Queen Anne Pl Los Angeles, CA 2.0 1.0 5358 $2,600 $0.49 43d 1 1.38mi
1014 Meadowbrook Ave Los Angeles, CA 3.0 3.0 3514 $5,200 $1.48 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 154 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 153 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 152 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 151 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 149 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 144 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 143 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 140 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 139 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 138 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 137 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,625,000 Active 136 DOM
  14. 2026-01-15
    listed $1,625,000 Active 1863-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1863 chars)

    BEST VALUE IN MID CITY! Welcome to Lucerne tower! A five unit, 1920's Italianate Arts & Crafts architectural multifamily apartment building with multiple live/ loft/ work accessory unit potential. Centrally located, within the urban vibrancy of Mid City Heights/West Adams district. Officially designated an "Urbanized, Transit Priority Area" (TPA), the property is strategically positioned in the most appealing centre of high growth areas from Downtown L. A. to Culver City's Tech Hub, the neighbourhood is experiencing a rapid growth of multifamily development. Lucerne Tower sits within recently funded city infrastructure installations including (2) Metro lines to USC , LAX, Downtown, Westside Beaches, and walkability to the "Washington Corridor" & Artist District featuring trending coffee venue destinations and art galleries. All units have been master-crafted, millwork restored and adequately sized [potential reconfigure] with hi-cove ceilings, separate dining areas, sconced parlors and Batchelder fireplace mantles. Bathrooms feature wainscoted tile, pedestal sinks, and deep 1920s Kohler tubs in all units. All units retain individual laundry rooms with 125 amp electric service, copper plumbing with no expense spared on the structural assets. The property sits atop an apex of unobstructed, Los Angeles citywide views. Here you will find the "hero tower" unit with a separate 12'x12' creative space, 360' panoramic rooftop views and balconies perched over the Mediterranean landscape's 25 ft palm trees. The rear loft apartment sits stand alone over (4) additional artist shops or studio workplaces adding a unique flex-space potential [buyer to verify with city]. The property can be versatile for an owner-user/creative that wants to have onsite work -loft studio space or any professional/investor.

  15. 2025-09-02
    price
  16. 2025-08-08
    listed Active
  17. 2011-12-23
    historical Withdrawn
  18. 2011-03-18
    listed Active
  19. 2002-06-25
    soldstatus $321,000
  20. 2002-06-21
    soldstatus $321,000
  21. 2002-04-16
    historical
  22. 2001-12-20
    listed $320,000
  23. 1988-05-27
    soldstatus $200,000
  24. 1983-06-01
    soldstatus $152,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,690 · $558/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$12,350 · $1,029/mo
Expected delta
+$5,660/yr (+$472/mo · 84.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$242,208
− Mortgage interest
−$91,025
− Property taxes
−$6,690
− Insurance
−$8,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$19,377
− Management
−$19,377
− Depreciation
−$47,273
Taxable income
$50,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$12,082
After-tax cash flow
$62,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Los Angeles Unified
NCES district ID
0622710
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 10.00%
Median HH income
$50,403
Composite
35.67/100
National rank
#4875
State rank
#223 of 517 in CA

Livability — Los Angeles

Score
68/100
State rank
#273
US rank
#9237

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment B Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Los Angeles, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
3,838,149
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
46,457
Household income
$73,516
Rent vs Own
65.1% rent · 34.9% own
Severe rent burden
3450.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Black 27% Two or more races 18% White 12% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
British 1% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
30% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 47% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -991.94%
Current HPI
584.0673
Rent YoY
▲ 1.12%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+965.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $1,625,000 TheMLS
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed TheMLS
  • 2025-08-08 Listed TheMLS
  • 2011-12-23 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2011-03-18 Listed TheMLS
  • 2002-06-25 Sold (MLS) $321,000 TheMLS
  • 2002-06-21 Sold (Public Records) $321,000 Public Records
  • 2002-04-16 Delisted TheMLS
  • 2001-12-20 Listed $320,000 TheMLS
  • 1988-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
  • 1983-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $152,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,690 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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