🏗️ New Construction
8302 Gower Trl · Wildwood, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.3/30.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- DSCR +0.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,990
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.
Key facts
- Overlooks a patio
- Laundry area
- Primary suite
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: CDD applicable
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Other annual assessment: $1,248; Total monthly fees: $124; Total annual fees: $1,488
- HOA & community: HOA: Atmos living Management; Monthly HOA fee $124 (includes pool, management, recreational facilities); Association approval required; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
- Home design: Townhouse; Residential property; Two levels; Facing south; Under construction (projected completion May 25, 2026)
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by DR Horton INC (model: Pearson)
- Exterior features: Paved roads; Community clubhouse; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Home comes with a builder-provided home warranty
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Irrigation equipment
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-478 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (9.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (13.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $191k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); Wildwood Middle/ High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 843 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.61%
- DSCR
- 0.66
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $269,376
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8599 Pinecrest Trl | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 1mo | $279,725 | $186 | 76 |
| 8585 Pinecrest Trl | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 3mo | $273,990 | $182 | 75 |
| 8586 Pinecrest Trl | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 4mo | $273,495 | $182 | 73 |
| 3131 Evenmore Way | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 6mo | $288,990 | $192 | 72 |
| 3074 Evenmore Way | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,504 (+3%) | 1mo | $276,990 | $184 | 70 |
| 8593 Pinecrest Trl | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,402 (-4%) | 3mo | $249,990 | $178 | 67 |
| 8589 Pinecrest Trl | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+10%) | 3mo | $269,730 | $167 | 58 |
| 8582 Pinecrest Trl | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,614 (+10%) | 2mo | $276,990 | $172 | 57 |
| 9131 Newmons Pl | 0.73mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-2%) | 6mo | $300,630 | $210 | 50 |
| 9024 Wildlight Trl | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (+8%) | 0mo | $300,370 | $190 | 50 |
| 3115 Evenmore Way | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,665 (+14%) | 3mo | $269,990 | $162 | 49 |
| 9040 Wildlight Trl | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,580 (+8%) | 7mo | $297,130 | $188 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.02×
- Total profit
- $-74,283
- Equity at exit
- $40,165
- IRR
- -31.2%
- Equity multiple
- -0.39×
- Total profit
- $-104,644
- Equity at exit
- $23,291
Cash invested: $75,425 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34785
- Home prices YoY
- -10.7%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,908 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,413
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$337 /mo · $4,041/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$124
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $-478
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,344
- Closing costs
- $8,081
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8362 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 20d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 8396 Gower Trl Unit 1 Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1707 | $1,795 | $1.05 | 20d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 3234 Evenmore Way Wildwood, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,100 | $1.15 | 20d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 9692 Pepper Tree Trl Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1672 | $1,700 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 706 Stanley Ave Wildwood, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $2,300 | $1.43 | 20d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5901 Myrtle DR Wildwood, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,009 | $2.05 | 20d | 11 | 1.25mi |
| 9760 Pepper Tree Ter Wildwood, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $2,011 | $2.05 | 20d | 14 | 1.29mi |
| 8118 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1317 | $1,704 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8128 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1317 | $1,699 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $124 · $1,488/yr
- Likely covers
- electric
Listing history 23 events
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2026-06-19days on market $219,990 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $219,990 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-17price $219,990 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $223,990 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $223,990 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $223,990 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $223,990 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $223,990 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $225,990 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $225,990 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $225,990 Active 129 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $225,990 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-03price $225,990 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $227,990 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $227,990 Active 122 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $227,990 Active 121 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $227,990 Active 120 DOM
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2026-05-14price $227,990 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.
-
2026-05-13price $227,990
-
2026-04-09price $236,990 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.
-
2026-04-08price $236,990
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2026-01-31$238,070 Active 714-char remark
Show marketing remark (714 chars)
This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.
-
2026-01-30$238,070 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,899
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,089
- − Property taxes
- −$4,041
- − Insurance
- −$1,347
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,832
- − Management
- −$1,832
- − HOA
- −$1,488
- − Depreciation
- −$7,836
- Taxable loss
- −$10,566
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,536
- After-tax cash flow
- $-3,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wildwood
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #471
- US rank
- #8500
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wildwood, FL
- County
- Sumter County · 110,591 people
- City population
- 21,568
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,568
- Household income
- $66,136
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 730.0
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -32.14%
- Current HPI
- 267.9137
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.85%
- Metro
- The Villages, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-4.2% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $227,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $227,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $236,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $236,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-31 Listed $238,070 Zillow
- 2026-01-30 Listed $238,070 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…