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8302 Gower Trl 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 30.84
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,990

8302 Gower Trl · Wildwood, FL 34785
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,464 sqft · SingleFamily · 140 Days on market
Built 2026 1,787 sqft lot $124/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

Key facts

  • Overlooks a patio
  • Laundry area
  • Primary suite

Tags

LARGE OPEN KITCHENSPACIOUS FAMILY ROOMOVERLOOKS A PATIOPRIMARY SUITEENSUITE BATHROOMLAUNDRY AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: CDD applicable
  • Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Other annual assessment: $1,248; Total monthly fees: $124; Total annual fees: $1,488
  • HOA & community: HOA: Atmos living Management; Monthly HOA fee $124 (includes pool, management, recreational facilities); Association approval required; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Townhouse; Residential property; Two levels; Facing south; Under construction (projected completion May 25, 2026)
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by DR Horton INC (model: Pearson)
  • Exterior features: Paved roads; Community clubhouse; Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Home comes with a builder-provided home warranty
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room; Irrigation equipment

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $219,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $269,376.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-478 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (9.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $191k (13.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#471 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, cost of living A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Wildwood Elementary School (math 49% / reading 52%, grade D+, #1,055 of 2,144 statewide, top 50%, 940 students, 76% FRL); Wildwood Middle/ High School (math 29% / reading 41%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 843 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 51% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 43% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $190,823 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
4.16%
Cash-on-cash
-7.61%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$269,376
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8599 Pinecrest Trl 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 1mo $279,725 $186 76
8585 Pinecrest Trl 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 3mo $273,990 $182 75
8586 Pinecrest Trl 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 4mo $273,495 $182 73
3131 Evenmore Way 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 6mo $288,990 $192 72
3074 Evenmore Way 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 1mo $276,990 $184 70
8593 Pinecrest Trl 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,402 (-4%) 3mo $249,990 $178 67
8589 Pinecrest Trl 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (+10%) 3mo $269,730 $167 58
8582 Pinecrest Trl 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,614 (+10%) 2mo $276,990 $172 57
9131 Newmons Pl 0.73mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,433 (-2%) 6mo $300,630 $210 50
9024 Wildlight Trl 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (+8%) 0mo $300,370 $190 50
3115 Evenmore Way 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,665 (+14%) 3mo $269,990 $162 49
9040 Wildlight Trl 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,580 (+8%) 7mo $297,130 $188 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.85% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.7%
Equity multiple
0.02×
Total profit
$-74,283
Equity at exit
$40,165
10-year hold
IRR
-31.2%
Equity multiple
-0.39×
Total profit
$-104,644
Equity at exit
$23,291

Cash invested: $75,425 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34785

Home prices YoY
-10.7%
Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,908 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,413
Tax est. 1.5%
$337 /mo · $4,041/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$124
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$-478

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,513
Max offer price $200,195
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,344
Closing costs
$8,081
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8362 Gower Trl Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1464 $1,695 $1.16 20d 1 0.07mi
8396 Gower Trl Unit 1 Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.5 1707 $1,795 $1.05 20d 1 0.10mi
3234 Evenmore Way Wildwood, FL 4.0 2.0 1824 $2,100 $1.15 20d 1 0.23mi
9692 Pepper Tree Trl Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1672 $1,700 $1.02 20d 1 1.02mi
706 Stanley Ave Wildwood, FL 3.0 2.0 1611 $2,300 $1.43 20d 1 1.12mi
5901 Myrtle DR Wildwood, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 982 $2,009 $2.05 20d 11 1.25mi
9760 Pepper Tree Ter Wildwood, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 980 $2,011 $2.05 20d 14 1.29mi
8118 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,704 $1.29 20d 1 1.48mi
8128 Arrow Wood Loop Wildwood, FL 2.0 2.5 1317 $1,699 $1.29 20d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$124 · $1,488/yr
Likely covers
electric

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $219,990 Active 140 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $219,990 Active 139 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    price $219,990 Active 138 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $223,990 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $223,990 Active 137 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $223,990 Active 136 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $223,990 Active 134 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $223,990 Active 133 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,990 Active 131 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,990 Active 130 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,990 Active 129 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,990 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    price $225,990 Active 123 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $227,990 Active 123 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $227,990 Active 122 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $227,990 Active 121 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $227,990 Active 120 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    price $227,990 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

  19. 2026-05-13
    price $227,990
  20. 2026-04-09
    price $236,990 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

  21. 2026-04-08
    price $236,990
  22. 2026-01-31
    listed $238,070 Active 714-char remark
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    This two-story townhome has an open concept downstairs layout that includes a large open kitchen, a powder room, and spacious family room that overlooks a patio. The second floor includes a spacious Primary Suite with an ensuite bathroom, two additional bedrooms, a 2nd full bathroom, and a laundry area. This home comes with appliances including a built-in dishwasher, electric range, microwave. Pictures, photographs, colors, features, and sizes are for illustration purposes only and will vary from the homes as built. Home and community information including pricing, included features, terms, availability and amenities are subject to change and prior sale at any time without notice or obligation. CRC057592.

  23. 2026-01-30
    listed $238,070 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,899
− Mortgage interest
−$15,089
− Property taxes
−$4,041
− Insurance
−$1,347
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,832
− Management
−$1,832
− HOA
−$1,488
− Depreciation
−$7,836
Taxable loss
−$10,566
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,536
After-tax cash flow
$-3,201/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sumter
NCES district ID
1201800
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,240
Composite
51.74/100
National rank
#1682
State rank
#11 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wildwood

Score
69/100
State rank
#471
US rank
#8500

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wildwood, FL
County
Sumter County · 110,591 people
City population
21,568
Metro
The Villages, FL
Population (ZIP)
21,568
Household income
$66,136
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
730.0

Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
161,172 people
By 2030
180,083 · +11.7%
By 2040
209,892 · +30.2%
By 2050
234,186 · +45.3%
By 2075
284,602 · +76.6%
By 2100
317,039 · +96.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 52% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumter

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -32.14%
Current HPI
267.9137
Rent YoY
▲ 2.85%
Metro
The Villages, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $227,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $227,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $236,990 Zillow
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $236,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $238,070 Zillow
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $238,070 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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