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10001 W Frontage #224
C+ Composite 64.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

10001 W Frontage #224 · South Gate, CA 90280
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 784 sqft · Manufactured public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1991 Good condition Est $97k · 23% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WELCOME TO YOUR HOME. THIS IS IN A 55+ COMMUNITY. THE HOME OFFERS MANY AMENITIES LIKE REC ROOM, POOL, PLENTY OF PARKING FOR FRIENDS AND FAMILY TO VISIT, AND 24HR SECURITY. PROPERTY NEEDS SOME TLC BUT FOR THE PRICE YOU CAN'T BEAT IT.

Key facts

  • New stove
  • New carpet
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

NEW ROOFDUAL PANE WINDOWSNEW CARPETDROUGHT FRIENDLY LANDSCAPINGUPDATED KITCHENNEW STOVE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets: contact manager/park for details
  • Financial info: Land lease applies; monthly land lease amount; Rent includes trash and sewer
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval required; Community features include curbs, biking paths, park; Park name: Thunderbird Villa Park

Exterior

  • Parking: One covered/carport space (attached); One garage space; One uncovered parking space; Three total parking spaces; Access via city streets; paved, maintained road frontage
  • Utilities: District/public water (connected); Public sewer (connected/available); Natural gas connected and available; Electricity connected and available; Cable available; Telephone available (in street and on property)
  • Home design: Single (mobile) home, single-story; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 14' x 56'; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Year built per public records; Assessor-recorded living area
  • Exterior features: Front porch and additional porch; Open patio; Deck; Rooftop area; Community pool; Park nearby; One shed; Aluminum skirt

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range and gas oven; Self-cleaning oven; Range/stove hood; Refrigerator; Garbage disposal; Water heater unit
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with bathtub, shower-in-tub, Formica counters, linen/closet storage
  • Heating & cooling: Central forced-air furnace
  • Interior features: Open floor plan; Entrance on east and west sides; Single-level living
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer and electric dryer hookups inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 2.8% in South Gate — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#459 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, crime F.
  • Downey Unified (suburban): math 41% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #481 of 1,400 in CA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $71k; list at $120k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,200 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.88%
Cap rate
17.11%
Cash-on-cash
38.64%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$97,216
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10001-171 W Frontage Rd #171 0.00mi 2/1.0 768 (-2%) 12mo $95,000 $124 87

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.95% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
2.61×
Total profit
$53,947
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$154,850
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90280

Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
51
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,261 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $300/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$1,082

Break-even live

Break-even rent $891
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5166 McCallum Ave South Gate, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,500 $2.78 18d 1 0.43mi
5166 Mccallum Ave Unit A South Gate, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,500 $2.78 24d 1 0.43mi
4986 Southern Ave South Gate, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,000 $2.86 43d 1 0.62mi
10317 Pinehurst Ave South Gate, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,500 $2.78 24d 1 0.73mi
7147 Stewart and Gray Rd Downey, CA 1.0 1.0 625 $1,895 $3.03 43d 1 0.77mi
10800 Wright Rd South Gate, CA 1.0 1.0 702 $2,100 $2.99 43d 4 0.85mi
7380 Emily Ln Downey, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 787 $2,500 $3.17 16d 4 0.97mi
12130 Old River School Rd Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 860 $2,495 $2.90 21d 1 0.98mi
7524 Stewart and Gray Rd Downey, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $2,895 $2.76 18d 1 1.17mi
7370 Neo St Apt 6 Downey, CA 2.0 1.5 600 $2,195 $3.66 43d 1 1.20mi
7546 Stewart and Gray Rd Downey, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 925 $2,000 $2.16 1d 2 1.21mi
5154 Santa Ana St Bell Gardens, CA 2.0 1.0 850 $2,200 $2.59 24d 1 1.22mi
8202 Wilcox Ave Unit 13 Bell Gardens, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,600 $2.60 13d 1 1.24mi
8202 Wilcox Ave Unit 11 Bell Gardens, CA 3.0 1.0 1000 $2,500 $2.50 43d 1 1.24mi
11502 Adco Ave Downey, CA 1.0 1.0 750 $1,825 $2.43 1d 2 1.24mi
5018 Santa Ana St Bell Gardens, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,775 $2.73 43d 1 1.28mi
5928 Gotham St Unit 5930 Bell Gardens, CA 2.0 1.0 825 $2,600 $3.15 1d 1 1.42mi
5928 Gotham St Unit 5932 Bell Gardens, CA 2.0 1.0 830 $2,550 $3.07 1d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 15 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    remarks 699-char remark
  11. 2026-06-04
    listed $120,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$300 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$912 · $76/mo
Expected delta
+$612/yr (+$51/mo · 204.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥92°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,133
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$300
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,171
− Management
−$2,171
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$11,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,803
After-tax cash flow
$10,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 None rehab

This move-in ready manufactured home in Thunderbird Villa offers updated amenities and a fresh look, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint improves aesthetics and value
  • Both kitchen appliances — new appliances add functionality and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both interior paint — fresh paint improves aesthetics and value
  • Both kitchen appliances — new appliances add functionality and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Downey Unified
NCES district ID
0611460
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$61,344
Composite
43.5/100
National rank
#6458
State rank
#481 of 1400 in CA

Livability — South Gate

Score
63/100
State rank
#459
US rank
#15665

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment C Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Gate, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
91,365
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
91,365
Household income
$74,651
Rent vs Own
54.6% rent · 45.4% own
Severe rent burden
4041.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 27% White 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 78%
Foreign-born
42% · Canada
Languages at home
16% English-only · Spanish 83%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -847.77%
Current HPI
419.791
Rent YoY
▲ 4.95%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+71.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $120,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-23 Sold (MLS) $71,000 CRMLS
  • 2022-12-17 Pending CRMLS
  • 2022-11-28 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2022-11-04 Listed $70,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $300 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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