105 Webb Ln · West Pensacola, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$68,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fix-up special - 1168 sqft 3/2 block home tucked into a wooded lot. Needs a new roof and updates throughout. The home has never had HVAC.
Key facts
- Fully gutted
- Private lot
- Permitted roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1951
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,168
- Exterior features: Located in the South Pensacola subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 7.7% in West Pensacola — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#629 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
- Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 198 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $68k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.87%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $150,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3907 W Blount St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-1%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 3703 W Theresa St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,137 (-3%) | 2mo | $52,100 | $46 | 60 |
| 4519 Martha Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,176 (+1%) | 8mo | $187,000 | $159 | 57 |
| 27 Cloverland Ct | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-10%) | 9mo | $114,900 | $109 | 54 |
| 117 Aquamarine Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,243 (+6%) | 1mo | $82,500 | $66 | 51 |
| 1416 N 48th Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,123 (-4%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $142 | 49 |
| 1308 N 48th Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,111 (-5%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $99 | 43 |
| 10 Tennessee Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,318 (+13%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $197 | 41 |
| 104 Georgia Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,042 (-11%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $53 | 40 |
| 4130 W Jackson St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,028 (-12%) | 5mo | $140,000 | $136 | 35 |
| 202 Emerald Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,012 (-13%) | 6mo | $137,500 | $136 | 31 |
| 502 New York Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,046 (-10%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $129 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $35,024
- Equity at exit
- $10,139
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.14×
- Total profit
- $97,897
- Equity at exit
- $5,879
Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32505
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 198
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$357
- Tax from tax record
- −$32 /mo · $379/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$292
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,000
- Closing costs
- $2,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 N Kirk St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 852 Garnet St Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 4519 Martha Ave Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 101 Vanderbilt Rd Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 707 New York Dr Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1266 | $1,185 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3206 W Lee St Unit A Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3740 Frontera Cir Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 419 N Wentworth St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,195 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 3417 W Fisher St Unit C Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,350 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 221 Edison Dr Pensacola, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,598 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 190 N Old Corry Field Rd Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,174 | $1.28 | 13d | 3 | 1.35mi |
| 4600 Twin Oaks Dr Pensacola, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 838 | $1,499 | $1.79 | 13d | 29 | 1.44mi |
| 2303 W Brainerd St Pensacola, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,100 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 908 N 57th Ave Pensacola, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,195 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $68,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $68,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $68,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $68,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $68,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $68,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $68,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $68,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $68,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $68,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $68,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $68,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $68,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$68,000 Active 464-char remark
-
2022-06-22soldstatus $24,000 Sold 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Fix-up special - 1168 sqft 3/2 block home tucked into a wooded lot. Needs a new roof and updates throughout. The home has never had HVAC.
-
2022-05-17status Pending 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Fix-up special - 1168 sqft 3/2 block home tucked into a wooded lot. Needs a new roof and updates throughout. The home has never had HVAC.
-
2022-05-06$34,900 Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
Fix-up special - 1168 sqft 3/2 block home tucked into a wooded lot. Needs a new roof and updates throughout. The home has never had HVAC.
-
1998-10-01soldstatus $20,000
-
1997-11-10soldstatus $23,700
-
1971-01-01soldstatus $17,000
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1971-01-01soldstatus $11,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $379 · $32/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $564 · $47/mo
- Expected delta
- +$185/yr (+$15/mo · 48.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,659
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,809
- − Property taxes
- −$379
- − Insurance
- −$340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$1,978
- Taxable income
- $7,487
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,797
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Escambia
- NCES district ID
- 1200510
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,649
- Composite
- 36.04/100
- National rank
- #4773
- State rank
- #56 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Pensacola
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #629
- US rank
- #12275
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Pensacola, FL
- County
- Escambia County · 301,722 people
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,877
- Household income
- $44,783
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1458.0
Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 334,637 people
- By 2030
- 345,779 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 364,828 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 378,514 · +13.1%
- By 2075
- 403,220 · +20.5%
- By 2100
- 386,125 · +15.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Escambia
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 205.45
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.92%
- Metro
- Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $68,000 FSBO.com
- 2022-06-22 Sold (MLS) $24,000 PARMLS
- 2022-05-17 Pending — PARMLS
- 2022-05-06 Listed $34,900 PARMLS
- 1998-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $23,700 Public Records
- 1971-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,500 Public Records
- 1971-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $379 · +39.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…