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🌊 Lakefront
B+ Composite 76.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$168,000

2930 Point East Dr Unit E309 · Aventura, FL 33160
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 763 sqft · Condo public records · 363 Days on market
Built 1966 $477/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

Key facts

  • Screened patio
  • Tranquil water views
  • $477 HOA

Tags

SCREENED PATIOTRANQUIL WATER VIEWSPOINT EAST CONDOMINIUMAMENITIES IN COMMUNITY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or conditional; some units may not allow pets
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, billiard room, laundry, pier, pool, spa/hot tub, trash service, elevator(s) and transportation service; Association covers amenities, cable TV, internet, parking, sewer, security, trash and water; Senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned detached garage space; Guest parking available; One covered space
  • Security: Key card entry; Security guard
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: 6-story building; Entry at the 3rd floor; Attached unit; Has a view
  • Construction: Block construction
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Screened balcony; Lakefront property; Association pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom located on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Elevator; Third-floor entry; Sliding windows; Updated/remodeled condition; Bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $168k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $657 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $168k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 2.6% in Aventura — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#127 in FL, #1,834 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime D+, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 1870 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,424/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 3106% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $885 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 363 days — a 12% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $120k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $147,840 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 363 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.04%
Cap rate
14.03%
Cash-on-cash
27.63%
DSCR
2.23
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$34,753
Equity at exit
$53,255
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$86,058
Equity at exit
$67,703

Cash invested: $47,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33160

Home prices YoY
0.2%
Rents YoY
0.9%
Active inventory
1870
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$881
Tax from tax record
$194 /mo · $2,322/yr
Insurance
$70
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$477
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$719
Net cashflow
$657

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,593
Max offer price $168,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,000
Closing costs
$5,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$477 · $5,724/yr
Likely covers
waterpoolgym
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 47 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $168,000 Pending 363 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $168,000 Active 363 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $168,000 Active 362 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $168,000 Active 360 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $168,000 Active 356 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 355 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $168,000 Active 354 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $168,000 Active 351 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $168,000 Active 350 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $168,000 Active 349 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $168,000 Active 348 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $168,000 Active 347 DOM
  13. 2025-06-18
    listed $168,000 Active
  14. 2024-12-05
    historical $1,675
  15. 2024-11-13
    listed $1,675
  16. 2021-01-19
    soldstatus $120,000
  17. 2020-12-28
    soldstatus $120,000 Closed 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  18. 2020-12-08
    status Pending 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  19. 2020-11-21
    status Active 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  20. 2020-11-21
    price $120,000 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  21. 2020-09-11
    historical Active Under Contract 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  22. 2020-08-14
    listed $124,500 Active 542-char remark
    Show marketing remark (542 chars)

    CAME BACK TO THE MARKET WITH PRICE REDUCED!! BEAUTIFUL VIEW TO LITTLE MAULE LAKE IN AVENTURA!! Great 1 bed/1 bath unit totally remodeled in Point East "Senior (55+) Community". Tile floor along the unit with recessed lighting in living area and bedroom. Additional storage space. Screened patio overlooking tranquil water views. 5 pools, sauna, gym, bowling alley, pool tables & Club house offering dancing, movies, bingo and much much more. Minutes to beach, Restaurants, Casinos and shoppings. Free shuttle to Aventura Mall.

  23. 2019-10-07
    historical
  24. 2019-09-24
    price $136,000
  25. 2019-07-29
    listed $143,000 Active
  26. 2018-12-05
    status Pending
  27. 2018-12-05
    historical
  28. 2018-10-16
    price $146,500
  29. 2018-08-15
    price $148,000
  30. 2018-05-09
    price $158,000
  31. 2018-03-29
    listed $165,000 Active
  32. 2016-07-27
    historical
  33. 2016-06-18
    price $168,900
  34. 2016-04-23
    price $143,900
  35. 2015-11-02
    listed $150,000 Active
  36. 2015-10-30
    historical
  37. 2015-10-16
    price $150,000
  38. 2015-05-25
    listed $155,000 Active
  39. 2014-09-25
    soldstatus $100,000 Sold
  40. 2014-06-19
    soldstatus $100,000
  41. 2014-04-08
    status Pending
  42. 2014-02-21
    listed $112,000 Active
  43. 2014-01-16
    historical
  44. 2013-10-07
    listed $119,000 Active
  45. 2011-10-12
    soldstatus $60,000
  46. 2011-09-30
    soldstatus $60,000
  47. 1981-06-01
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,322 · $194/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,322 · $194/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 91% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,084
− Mortgage interest
−$9,411
− Property taxes
−$2,322
− Insurance
−$5,958
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,287
− Management
−$3,287
− HOA
−$5,724
− Depreciation
−$4,887
Taxable income
$6,208
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,490
After-tax cash flow
$6,389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Aventura

Score
80/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#1834

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aventura, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
34,147
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
43,718
Household income
$67,040
Rent vs Own
41.0% rent · 59.0% own
Severe rent burden
3106.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
Foreign-born
61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.53%
Current HPI
284.9293
Rent YoY
▲ 0.94%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+273.3% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $168,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-05 Rental Removed $1,675 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-13 Listed for Rent $1,675 MARMLS
  • 2021-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2020-12-28 Sold (MLS) $120,000 MARMLS
  • 2020-12-08 Pending MARMLS
  • 2020-11-21 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2020-11-21 Price Changed $120,000 MARMLS
  • 2020-09-11 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2020-08-14 Listed $124,500 MARMLS
  • 2019-10-07 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2019-09-24 Price Changed $136,000 MARMLS
  • 2019-07-29 Listed $143,000 MARMLS
  • 2018-12-05 Pending MARMLS
  • 2018-12-05 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Price Changed $146,500 MARMLS
  • 2018-08-15 Price Changed $148,000 MARMLS
  • 2018-05-09 Price Changed $158,000 MARMLS
  • 2018-03-29 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
  • 2016-07-27 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2016-06-18 Price Changed $168,900 MARMLS
  • 2016-04-23 Price Changed $143,900 MARMLS
  • 2015-11-02 Listed $150,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-10-30 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2015-10-16 Price Changed $150,000 MARMLS
  • 2015-05-25 Listed $155,000 MARMLS
  • 2014-09-25 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MARMLS
  • 2014-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-08 Pending MARMLS
  • 2014-02-21 Listed $112,000 MARMLS
  • 2014-01-16 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2013-10-07 Listed $119,000 MARMLS
  • 2011-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2011-09-30 Sold (MLS) $60,000 MARMLS
  • 1981-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,322 · +2897.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…