CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
3680 E Hwy 260 #30
D+ Composite 48.23
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

3680 E Hwy 260 #30 · Star Valley, AZ 85541
1 bd · 1.5 ba · 550 sqft · Manufactured · 70 Days on market
Built 2020 Fair condition 435 sqft lot $200/sqft · 38% above area Est $79k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in a 55+ only park is a 1 bedroom 2 bath with a bonus room that has washer and dryer hook ups and 1/2 bath. The park is well maintained and just minutes from downtown town Payson.

Key facts

  • Well maintained park
  • Bonus room
  • Garage

Tags

BONUS ROOMWASHER AND DRYER HOOK UPSWELL MAINTAINED PARKMINUTES FROM DOWNTOWN PAYSON

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $110k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $230 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in Star Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#380 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Payson Unified District (4209) (town): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #138 of 249 in AZ (top 55%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 695 active listings in the ZIP; 217 units permitted in Gila County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Gila County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $82k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.80%
Cash-on-cash
8.95%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,479
List price
$110,000
Delta
38.40%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 N Star Vale Drive Dr Unit 121B 0.11mi 1/1.0 596 (+8%) 2mo $149,000 $250 77
3933 E Hwy Az-260 #116 0.31mi 2/1.0 (+1) 596 (+8%) 4mo $64,000 $107 61
16 N Star Vale Drive Dr Unit 123A 0.11mi 1/1.0 616 (+12%) 21mo $91,000 $148 55
3616 E AZ Highway 260 Dr Unit 123A 0.13mi 1/1.0 616 (+12%) 21mo $91,000 $148 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,181
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$16,138
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85541

Home prices YoY
-6.6%
Active inventory
695
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,253 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax est. 1.5%
$138 /mo · $1,650/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$263
Net cashflow
$230

Break-even live

Break-even rent $962
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 54 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    price $110,000 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 52 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 51 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 50 DOM
  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $125,000 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    Located in a 55+ only park is a 1 bedroom 2 bath with a bonus room that has washer and dryer hook ups and 1/2 bath. The park is well maintained and just minutes from downtown town Payson.

  18. 2024-07-17
    soldstatus $81,500 Closed 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    The view of the Granite Dells takes it over the top! Very nice park model in 55+ resort with extra features including a laundry room, unattached bonus room with electricity and AC, and fenced back yard with planters complete with drip system. This one bedroom, one bath unit is being offered completely furnished with all appliances including full size washer & dryer. Great deck with amazing view is the added bonus for this property. Unit is 385sqft plus laundry room and bonus room. Ready to move in, come see this great spot for simple living or to get out of the heat this summer. Pine View RV Resort is a small quiet 55+ community which offers a Clubhouse with Wifi. The space rent for this space is $475.00 per month plus city tax of $9.70 per month. Included in the space rent is water, trash, sewage and basic cable from Optimum. Electric is metered and billed separately. No rentals allowed. Call agent for your showing today!

  19. 2024-07-08
    status Pending 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    The view of the Granite Dells takes it over the top! Very nice park model in 55+ resort with extra features including a laundry room, unattached bonus room with electricity and AC, and fenced back yard with planters complete with drip system. This one bedroom, one bath unit is being offered completely furnished with all appliances including full size washer & dryer. Great deck with amazing view is the added bonus for this property. Unit is 385sqft plus laundry room and bonus room. Ready to move in, come see this great spot for simple living or to get out of the heat this summer. Pine View RV Resort is a small quiet 55+ community which offers a Clubhouse with Wifi. The space rent for this space is $475.00 per month plus city tax of $9.70 per month. Included in the space rent is water, trash, sewage and basic cable from Optimum. Electric is metered and billed separately. No rentals allowed. Call agent for your showing today!

  20. 2024-05-21
    price $86,500 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    The view of the Granite Dells takes it over the top! Very nice park model in 55+ resort with extra features including a laundry room, unattached bonus room with electricity and AC, and fenced back yard with planters complete with drip system. This one bedroom, one bath unit is being offered completely furnished with all appliances including full size washer & dryer. Great deck with amazing view is the added bonus for this property. Unit is 385sqft plus laundry room and bonus room. Ready to move in, come see this great spot for simple living or to get out of the heat this summer. Pine View RV Resort is a small quiet 55+ community which offers a Clubhouse with Wifi. The space rent for this space is $475.00 per month plus city tax of $9.70 per month. Included in the space rent is water, trash, sewage and basic cable from Optimum. Electric is metered and billed separately. No rentals allowed. Call agent for your showing today!

  21. 2024-04-08
    listed $88,500 Active 942-char remark
    Show marketing remark (942 chars)

    The view of the Granite Dells takes it over the top! Very nice park model in 55+ resort with extra features including a laundry room, unattached bonus room with electricity and AC, and fenced back yard with planters complete with drip system. This one bedroom, one bath unit is being offered completely furnished with all appliances including full size washer & dryer. Great deck with amazing view is the added bonus for this property. Unit is 385sqft plus laundry room and bonus room. Ready to move in, come see this great spot for simple living or to get out of the heat this summer. Pine View RV Resort is a small quiet 55+ community which offers a Clubhouse with Wifi. The space rent for this space is $475.00 per month plus city tax of $9.70 per month. Included in the space rent is water, trash, sewage and basic cable from Optimum. Electric is metered and billed separately. No rentals allowed. Call agent for your showing today!

  22. 2024-01-02
    soldstatus $76,000 Closed
  23. 2023-12-13
    historical
  24. 2023-11-28
    listed $76,000 Active
  25. 2021-05-21
    soldstatus $45,000
  26. 2021-01-20
    listed $46,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone D · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,035
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,650
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,203
− Management
−$1,203
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$1,068
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$256
After-tax cash flow
$2,499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home is in fair condition with cosmetic repairs needed. Painting and updating the exterior and interior will significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Paint — Paint appears slightly faded
  • Minor Exterior siding — Siding appears slightly worn

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Improves appearance and value
  • Both Replace flooring — Fresh flooring enhances appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Paint appears slightly faded Minor $500–3,000
Exterior siding · Siding appears slightly worn Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Paint interior walls — Improves appearance and value
  • Both Replace flooring — Fresh flooring enhances appeal and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Payson Unified District (4209)
NCES district ID
0406070
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$41,440
Composite
22.03/100
National rank
#8200
State rank
#138 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Star Valley

Score
44/100
State rank
#380
US rank
#26699

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Star Valley, AZ
County
Gila County · 23,382 people
Metro
Payson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
23,382
Household income
$66,383
Rent vs Own
20.9% rent · 79.1% own
Severe rent burden
523.0

Population outlook (Gila County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
50,229 people
By 2030
48,202 · -4.0%
By 2040
44,101 · -12.2%
By 2050
41,041 · -18.3%
By 2075
37,536 · -25.3%
By 2100
32,485 · -35.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gila

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.8% · R 68.4%
2008→2024 swing
-9.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.8pp · 2024: -37.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.4 2008: R+27.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -29.47%
Current HPI
416.4005
Rent YoY
Metro
Payson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+168.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $125,000 CAAR
  • 2024-07-17 Sold (MLS) $81,500 CAAR
  • 2024-07-08 Pending CAAR
  • 2024-05-21 Price Changed $86,500 CAAR
  • 2024-04-08 Listed $88,500 CAAR
  • 2024-01-02 Sold (MLS) $76,000 WMMLS
  • 2023-12-13 Delisted WMMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Listed $76,000 WMMLS
  • 2021-05-21 Sold (MLS) $45,000 CAAR
  • 2021-01-20 Listed $46,500 CAAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…