1736 Fairfield Rd · Fairfield, TN 37186

$100,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1960 0.32 ac lot Est $100k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.3/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Appreciation +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Livability +1.9/5.0

Listing remarks

INVESTORS LOOK AT THIS! VINLY SIDING HOME WITH GOOD BONES IN THE COUNRTY! THIS IS A FIXER-UPPER HOME! THERE IS WELL WATER , BUT THERE IS CITY WATER AT THE ROAD. HOME HAS 6 ROOMS, OLD BUILDING, ON A SMALL LOT WITH MATURE TREES. THIS HOME COULD BE FIXED UP SO CUTE TO LIVE IN OR SELL FOR A PROFIT. HOME IS SELLING AS-IS

Key facts

• City water
• Vinyl siding
• Well water

Tags

• VINYL SIDING
• WELL WATER
• CITY WATER
• MATURE TREES
• FIXER-UPPER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area reported as 1,016 square feet; Year status: Existing

Exterior

• Parking: No designated covered parking; No parking spaces listed
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-family residence; One story
• Construction: Vinyl siding
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.32 acres; Lot dimensions about 89 x 159 (irregular)

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances specified
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Flooring: Wood flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Crawl space basement; Wood and vinyl flooring
• Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances specified

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $736 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 38/100 on livability (#426 in TN) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Sumner County (suburban): math 44% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #12 of 139 in TN (top 9%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Westmoreland Elementary (math 41% / reading 33%, grade F, #272 of 952 statewide, top 31%, 525 students, 0% FRL); Westmoreland High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #56 of 332 statewide, top 20%, 526 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 34% district-wide (34 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 145 active listings in the ZIP; 1,748 units permitted in Sumner County in 2024 (124 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sumner County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $23k; list at $100k implies a 335% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.70% ✓
• Cap rate: 15.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 31.56%
• DSCR: 2.40
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $99,568
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1736 Fairfield Rd	0.00mi	2/1.0	1,016 (0%)	0mo	$100,000	$98	100

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.10×
• Total profit: $30,669
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.11×
• Total profit: $86,993
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Tennessee: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 37186

• Home prices YoY: -1.4%
• Active inventory: 145
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,702 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$42 /mo · $509/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$357
• Net cashflow: $736

Break-even live

Break-even rent $770

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-07
   remarks 319-char remark
2. 2026-06-07
   listed $100,000 Pending 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $509 · $42/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $710 · $59/mo
• Expected delta: +$201/yr (+$17/mo · 39.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,428
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$509
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,634
• − Management: −$1,634
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $7,640
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,834
• After-tax cash flow: $7,003/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Sumner County
• NCES district ID: 4704020
• Math proficiency: 44% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $56,998
• Composite: 36.44/100
• National rank: #4667
• State rank: #12 of 139 in TN

Livability — Fairfield

• Score: 38/100
• State rank: #426
• US rank: #27496

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 10,644

Population outlook (Sumner County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 208,284 people
• By 2030: 223,902 · +7.5%
• By 2040: 253,892 · +21.9%
• By 2050: 281,199 · +35.0%
• By 2075: 344,866 · +65.6%
• By 2100: 384,369 · +84.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 5% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sumner

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.5% · R 70.3% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.9pp · 2024: -41.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+45.0 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+34.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -4.60%
• Current HPI: 336.4711
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.78%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	3	$91B
▸Retail	3	$72B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$88B
▸Paper / Packaging	1	$19B
▸Insurance	1	$13B
▸Energy	1	$12B

Price history

+334.8% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-07 Pending — REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-06 Listed $100,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1988-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $509 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.