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86 Water St
A- Composite 80.71
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$78,000

86 Water St · Salem, WV 26426
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,086 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1920 0.29 ac lot Est $101k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Convenient to US 50 , 8 miles to Clarksburg and 10miles to I-79 This home features metal roof, thermal pane windows, all new water supply lines, and 200 AMP electric service. Sun porch would make the perfect mudroom.

Key facts

  • Double lot
  • Enclosed porch
  • 0.29 acre lot

Tags

ENCLOSED PORCHDOUBLE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two stories
  • Construction: Brick, plaster, and vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storm windows

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $78k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $296 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($972 rent vs $78k).
  • Recommended offer: $71k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#106 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
  • Harrison County Schools (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #12 of 55 in WV (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 84 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
  • Harrison County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($71k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,980 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.84%
Cash-on-cash
16.25%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$100,998
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
115 Valley St 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,104 (+2%) 8mo $188,000 $170 83
54 Bruce St 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,024 (-6%) 9mo $120,000 $117 66
81 Wilson Rd 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 945 (-13%) 3mo $88,000 $93 45
73 Walnut St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,199 (+10%) 7mo $35,000 $29 45
71 Oak St 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,147 (+6%) 21mo $45,000 $39 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.4%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$31,546
Equity at exit
$38,629
10-year hold
IRR
24.6%
Equity multiple
4.75×
Total profit
$81,884
Equity at exit
$62,460

Cash invested: $21,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 26426

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$972 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$409
Tax from tax record
$31 /mo · $368/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$296

Break-even live

Break-even rent $598
Max offer price $78,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,500
Closing costs
$2,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $78,000 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $78,000 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $78,000 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $78,000 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $78,000 Active 113 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $78,000 Active 111 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $78,000 Active 110 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $78,000 Active 107 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $78,000 Active 106 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $78,000 Active 105 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $78,000 Active 102 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $78,000 Active 101 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $78,000 Active 100 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $78,000 Active 99 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $78,000 Active 98 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $78,000 Active 97 DOM
  17. 2026-04-02
    price $78,000
  18. 2026-02-22
    listed $80,000 Active
  19. 2023-12-13
    soldstatus $59,900
  20. 2023-11-13
    soldstatus $59,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Convenient to US 50 , 8 miles to Clarksburg and 10miles to I-79 This home features metal roof, thermal pane windows, all new water supply lines, and 200 AMP electric service. Sun porch would make the perfect mudroom.

  21. 2023-08-18
    listed $59,900 216-char remark
    Show marketing remark (216 chars)

    Convenient to US 50 , 8 miles to Clarksburg and 10miles to I-79 This home features metal roof, thermal pane windows, all new water supply lines, and 200 AMP electric service. Sun porch would make the perfect mudroom.

  22. 1989-10-06
    soldstatus $7,100

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$368 · $31/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$460 · $38/mo
Expected delta
+$92/yr (+$8/mo · 24.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,665
− Mortgage interest
−$4,369
− Property taxes
−$368
− Insurance
−$390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$933
− Management
−$933
− Depreciation
−$2,269
Taxable income
$2,402
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$576
After-tax cash flow
$2,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County Schools
NCES district ID
5400510
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,269
Composite
30.48/100
National rank
#6222
State rank
#12 of 55 in WV

Livability — Salem

Score
66/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#11585

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, WV
City population
7,302
Population (ZIP)
7,302

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,273 people
By 2030
65,963 · -1.9%
By 2040
63,033 · -6.3%
By 2050
59,999 · -10.8%
By 2075
52,524 · -21.9%
By 2100
42,654 · -36.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Hispanic / Latino 1% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.0) · D 28.5% · R 69.4% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: -13.3pp · 2024: -41.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.0 2020: R+37.6 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+23.5 2008: R+13.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.80%
Current HPI
174.3458
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+998.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-02 Price Changed $78,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-02-22 Listed $80,000 KVBOR
  • 2023-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
  • 2023-11-13 Sold (MLS) $59,900 NCWVREIN
  • 2023-08-18 Listed $59,900 NCWVREIN
  • 1989-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $7,100 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $368 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…