421 High St · Elmira, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$109,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Recently Renovated & Ready to Earn! Why deal with the headaches of a fixer-upper when you can own a fully updated, income-producing asset today? 421 High Street offers a rare "turn-key" opportunity in the heart of Elmira. This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home has been meticulously renovated from top to bottom, specifically tailored for durability and modern tenant appeal. The Property Highlights: Modern Interior: Step into a bright, open living space featuring brand-new luxury laminate and vinyl flooring throughout—perfect for high-traffic rental use without the worry of carpet maintenance. Updated Kitchen & Baths: The heart of the home features a refreshed eat-in
Key facts
- Fully updated
- Turn-key opportunity
- Updated mechanicals
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#832 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Elmira City School District (urban): math 23% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #580 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 91 units permitted in Chemung County in 2024 (63 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Chemung County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $110k implies a 424% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.20%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $51,660
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 421 High St | 0.00mi | 3/1.5 | 1,435 (0%) | 0mo | $100,000 | $70 | 98 |
| 600 Beach St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 | 1,432 (-0%) | 10mo | $77,319 | $54 | 68 |
| 862 Magee St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,440 (+0%) | 1mo | $64,900 | $45 | 66 |
| 810 Oak St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,341 (-7%) | 6mo | $13,500 | $10 | 62 |
| 812 Jay St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,568 (+9%) | 11mo | $34,500 | $22 | 61 |
| 310 Sly St | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,359 (-5%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $55 | 51 |
| 755 Harper St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (-8%) | 24mo | $48,000 | $36 | 47 |
| 823 Canal St | 0.60mi | 2/— (-1) | 1,242 (-13%) | 8mo | $12,000 | $10 | 38 |
| 720 German St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+13%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $31 | 38 |
| 957 Oak St | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,626 (+13%) | 13mo | $54,590 | $34 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $74,733
- Equity at exit
- $99,096
- IRR
- 26.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.77×
- Total profit
- $208,555
- Equity at exit
- $213,704
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14901
- Home prices YoY
- 15.9%
- Active inventory
- 78
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,317 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$130 /mo · $1,563/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$277
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106 W 2nd St Unit A Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1395 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 355 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,400 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 357 W Clinton St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 363 W Water St #2 Elmira, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,250 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 160 Boardman St Unit B Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1727 | $800 | $0.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 454 W 2nd St Unit 1 Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,000 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 514 W 1st St Unit A Elmira, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,275 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 419 Jefferson St Unit A Elmira, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,995 | $1.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2025-12-11$109,999 Active
-
2025-06-23historical $1,395
-
2025-05-15$1,395
-
2025-05-12historical
-
2025-05-05price $114,900
-
2025-04-10price $124,900
-
2025-02-28price $127,500
-
2025-02-11soldstatus $21,000
-
2025-02-10$134,900 Active
-
2024-08-06soldstatus $16,100
-
2006-08-07soldstatus $40,000
-
1992-03-30soldstatus $10,738
-
1991-06-07soldstatus $10,000
-
1990-07-17soldstatus $9,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,563 · $130/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$148/yr (+$12/mo · 9.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,563
- − Insurance
- −$1,216
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,264
- − Management
- −$1,264
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,134
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$272
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,511/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elmira City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3610560
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,180
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7688
- State rank
- #580 of 590 in NY
Livability — Elmira
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #832
- US rank
- #16139
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elmira, NY
- City population
- 14,276
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,430
Population outlook (Chemung County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 82,931 people
- By 2030
- 80,356 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 74,745 · -9.9%
- By 2050
- 69,012 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 55,689 · -32.8%
- By 2100
- 41,428 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chemung
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.8) · D 41.6% · R 58.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.6pp toward R · 2008: -1.2pp · 2024: -16.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.8 2020: R+13.4 2016: R+20.0 2012: R+2.9 2008: R+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 32.34%
- Current HPI
- 236.2674
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+1122.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-13 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-11 Listed $109,999 UNYREIS
- 2025-06-23 Rental Removed $1,395 UNYREIS
- 2025-05-15 Listed for Rent $1,395 UNYREIS
- 2025-05-12 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-05-05 Price Changed $114,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-04-10 Price Changed $124,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-02-28 Price Changed $127,500 UNYREIS
- 2025-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $21,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-10 Listed $134,900 UNYREIS
- 2024-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $16,100 Public Records
- 2006-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
- 1992-03-30 Sold (Public Records) $10,738 Public Records
- 1991-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 1990-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $9,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,563 · -42.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…