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652 Northgate Cir 60-Plex
C+ Composite 61.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,395,000

652 Northgate Cir · Rochester, IN 46975
5760 bd · 3600.0 ba · 74,198 sqft · MultiFamily · 54 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition 3.97 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 60 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Northgate Apartments, located at 652 Northgate Cir in Rochester, Indiana, is a well-maintained 60-unit multifamily community offering a diverse unit mix and strong in-place performance. Built in 1986, the property features six, two-story buildings with an efficient layout. The property includes a balanced unit mix of 24 studio units, 26 two-bedroom townhomes, and 10 two-bedroom apartment units, catering to a wide range of tenant needs. Notably, the two-bedroom townhomes and two-bedroom apartment units are equipped with in-unit washer and dryer, enhancing tenant convenience and overall desirability.

Key facts

  • 3.97 acre lot
  • 120 parking spots
  • Built 1986

Tags

IN UNIT WASHER AND DRYER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 24×1bd/1ba + 36×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $5.39M. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $13k ($155k/yr) — positive. Per door: $216/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($64k rent vs $5.39M).
  • Recommended offer: $5.23M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 2.4% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#206 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Rochester Community School Corporation (town): math 31% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #188 of 301 in IN (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $63,572/mo this rent would consume 1247% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 238% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $37k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $162k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($5.23M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $5,233,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.17%
Cash-on-cash
10.28%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-49,219
Equity at exit
$804,412
10-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$1,022,127
Equity at exit
$466,461

Cash invested: $1,510,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46975

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
439.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$63,572 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$28,292
Tax est. 1.5%
$6,744 /mo · $80,925/yr
Insurance
$2,248
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$13,350
Net cashflow
$12,938

Break-even live

Break-even rent $47,194
Max offer price $5,395,000
Occupancy floor 75%

60-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (60 units) $63,572

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,348,750
Closing costs
$161,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 54 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 53 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 52 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $5,395,000 Active 44 DOM
  9. 2026-04-16
    listed $5,395,000 Active 605-char remark
    Show marketing remark (605 chars)

    Northgate Apartments, located at 652 Northgate Cir in Rochester, Indiana, is a well-maintained 60-unit multifamily community offering a diverse unit mix and strong in-place performance. Built in 1986, the property features six, two-story buildings with an efficient layout. The property includes a balanced unit mix of 24 studio units, 26 two-bedroom townhomes, and 10 two-bedroom apartment units, catering to a wide range of tenant needs. Notably, the two-bedroom townhomes and two-bedroom apartment units are equipped with in-unit washer and dryer, enhancing tenant convenience and overall desirability.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$762,864
− Mortgage interest
−$302,204
− Property taxes
−$80,925
− Insurance
−$26,975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$61,029
− Management
−$61,029
− Depreciation
−$156,945
Taxable income
$73,756
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$17,702
After-tax cash flow
$137,557/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 85/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained multi-family property offers a good investment opportunity with minimal repairs and updates needed. The exterior and interior are in good condition, and updates to the exterior and interior can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Re-carpeting or re-laying flooring — Improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts tenants

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Re-carpeting or re-laying flooring — Improves comfort and appearance
  • Both Upgrading kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and attracts tenants

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1809630
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$42,645
Composite
30.44/100
National rank
#6231
State rank
#188 of 301 in IN

Livability — Rochester

Score
69/100
State rank
#206
US rank
#9060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, IN
County
Fulton County · 13,824 people
City population
13,824
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
13,824
Household income
$61,185
Rent vs Own
21.3% rent · 78.7% own
Severe rent burden
238.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
19,537 people
By 2030
19,013 · -2.7%
By 2040
17,959 · -8.1%
By 2050
17,038 · -12.8%
By 2075
15,117 · -22.6%
By 2100
13,179 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Scottish 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.2) · D 23.7% · R 74.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.2pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -51.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.2 2020: R+48.2 2016: R+48.4 2012: R+33.2 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.72%
Current HPI
212.9033
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $5,395,000 IRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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