420 Burroughs Ave · Flint, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
Key facts
- Second kitchenette
- New stove
- Sunporch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Paved access
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Fenced yard; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s); No central cooling
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Range hood
- Laundry & utility: Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($47k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.75%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $81,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 366 E Atherton Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,274 (-2%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $31 | 89 |
| 617 Mckeighan Ave | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,374 (+6%) | 1mo | $146,000 | $106 | 74 |
| 4133 Custer Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,192 (-8%) | 3mo | $114,000 | $96 | 72 |
| 526 Mckeighan Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,326 (+2%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $53 | 72 |
| 720 Algonquin Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,398 (+8%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $118 | 67 |
| 1005 Macdonald Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,321 (+2%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $106 | 66 |
| 549 Buckingham Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,374 (+6%) | 7mo | $42,800 | $31 | 65 |
| 218 E Livingston Dr | 0.51mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,278 (-2%) | 0mo | $30,000 | $23 | 64 |
| 913 Macdonald Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 1,349 (+4%) | 5mo | $52,700 | $39 | 59 |
| 1465 Norton St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 | 1,260 (-3%) | 5mo | $119,999 | $95 | 58 |
| 4424 Cheyenne Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,212 (-7%) | 1mo | $76,000 | $63 | 55 |
| 723 Mckeighan Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,160 (-11%) | 4mo | $29,900 | $26 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-2,190
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $7,241
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48507
- Rents YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,176 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,069/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$247
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $303 | +0% $274 | +5% $246 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $181 | -5% $228 | +0% $274 | +5% $321 | +10% $367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $300 | base $274 | +0.5pp $248 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4411 Red Arrow Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 4428 Pengelly Rd Flint, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $900 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3908 Cherokee Ave Flint, MI | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1824 | $1,350 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3291 Glengary St Burton, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,075 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 805 E Hemphill Rd Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 14d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1034 McKeighan Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,250 | $1.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4509 Cheyenne Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 132 Pine Blf Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $953 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 912 Waldman Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1223 | $675 | $0.55 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-05-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-05-06status Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-05-06status Active
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-04-15status Pending 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-04-15status Pending
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-04-09$100,000 Active
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
-
2026-04-09$100,000 Active 475-char remark
Show marketing remark (475 chars)
Charming, perfectly sized ranch offering comfort and convenience throughout. The kitchen features a new stove, while the finished basement adds valuable living space with a second kitchenette and full bath - ideal for guests or extended stays. Enjoy relaxing in the sunporch conveniently attached to the garage. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the main level. Recent updates include a new roof in 2022. Immediate occupancy available, with select appliances included.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,069 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,305 · $109/mo
- Expected delta
- +$235/yr (+$20/mo · 22.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,118
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,069
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,129
- − Management
- −$1,129
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,779
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$427
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- County
- Genesee County · 221,329 people
- City population
- 93,814
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,723
- Household income
- $46,554
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1534.0
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -154.90%
- Current HPI
- 132.3632
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.04%
- Metro
- Flint, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-15 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-15 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,069 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…