CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
185 Michelson Rd
C- Composite 50.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$367,500

185 Michelson Rd · Rochester Hills, MI 48307
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,386 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 178 Days on market
Built 1986 1.01 ac lot $154/sqft · 26% below area Est $536k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

Key facts

  • 1.01 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1986

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $368k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8 ($101/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (19.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $295k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.2% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($323k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $186k; list at $368k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $295,237 (19.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$536,034
List price
$367,500
Delta
-31.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
175 Eastlawn Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 2,038 (-15%) 12mo $445,000 $218 60
350 Jonathan Dr 0.30mi 4/2.5 2,617 (+10%) 13mo $682,500 $261 57
372 Daylily Dr 0.37mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,145 (-10%) 7mo $559,000 $261 53
3727 Hogan Cir 0.67mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,468 (+3%) 0mo $676,500 $274 52
3580 Hazelton Ave 0.59mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,530 (+6%) 10mo $390,000 $154 49
677 Amberwood Ct 0.54mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,155 (-10%) 19mo $525,000 $244 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.4%
Equity multiple
0.39×
Total profit
$-62,685
Equity at exit
$54,795
10-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-68,590
Equity at exit
$31,775

Cash invested: $102,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48307

Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,952 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,927
Tax from tax record
$244 /mo · $2,924/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$620
Net cashflow
$8

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,942
Max offer price $367,500
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,875
Closing costs
$11,025
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
951 Barclay Cir Rochester Hills, MI 3.0 4.0 1960 $2,995 $1.53 14d 1 0.78mi
2845 Hartwick Dr Rochester, MI 3.0 3.5 1805 $2,800 $1.55 14d 1 0.90mi
6525 Norton Dr Troy, MI 4.0 2.0 2047 $2,800 $1.37 43d 1 0.91mi
5944 Willow Grv Troy, MI 3.0 2.0 1850 $4,250 $2.30 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $367,500 Active 178 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $367,500 Active 177 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $367,500 Active 176 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $367,500 Active 175 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $367,500 Active 173 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $367,500 Active 172 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $367,500 Active 169 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $367,500 Active 168 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $367,500 Active 167 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $367,500 Active 164 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $367,500 Active 163 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $367,500 Active 162 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $398,500 Active 161 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $398,500 Active 160 DOM
  15. 2026-03-18
    price $398,500 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1100 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  16. 2026-03-17
    price $398,500 1102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1102 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  17. 2026-02-01
    price $425,000 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1100 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  18. 2026-01-31
    price $425,000 1102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1102 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  19. 2025-12-23
    listed $437,000 Active 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1102 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  20. 2025-12-23
    listed $437,000 Active 1102-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1102 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  21. 2025-12-16
    historical $437,000 1100-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1100 chars)

    This Classic Rochester Hills home sits on a 1.006 acre lot that includes a fenced in backyard. Home has large rooms offering scenic views of the property highlighting an open concept ideal for entertaining. Large windows in each living area filter natural light into this home. The Master Bedroom on the upper level features private access to the updated bathroom and ample closets. A pantry located conveniently by the kitchen is complimented by an additional storage room . The lower level is open and spacious with a large family room, updated bathroom and additional large bedrooms. Hardwood floors throughout the upper level, Marble flooring in entry level, lower level bathroom and Ceramic flooring in the remainder of the home. The updated Kitchen and Bathrooms are bright and airy. Home is located within the award winning Rochester School system and has easy access to expressways, shopping , dining and parks. Spencer Park, Hampton Village Shopping, minutes to Downtown Rochester and Downtown Troy. Home is immediately available at closing. A 1 year Home Warranty is provided by the Seller.

  22. 1998-10-08
    soldstatus $186,500
  23. 1998-09-21
    soldstatus $186,500
  24. 1998-08-04
    historical
  25. 1998-06-02
    listed $193,900
  26. 1995-08-04
    soldstatus $154,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,924 · $244/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,292 · $358/mo
Expected delta
+$1,368/yr (+$114/mo · 46.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,428
− Mortgage interest
−$20,586
− Property taxes
−$2,924
− Insurance
−$1,838
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,834
− Management
−$2,834
− Depreciation
−$10,691
Taxable loss
−$6,278
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,507
After-tax cash flow
$1,607/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester Community School District
NCES district ID
2629940
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
69% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$89,242
Composite
58.53/100
National rank
#994
State rank
#21 of 540 in MI

Livability — Rochester Hills

Score
77/100
State rank
#127
US rank
#3163

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester Hills, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,714
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
44,714
Household income
$106,576
Rent vs Own
33.0% rent · 67.0% own
Severe rent burden
926.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Asian 14% Two or more races 6% Black 4% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
76% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Spanish 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -339.13%
Current HPI
188.8794
Rent YoY
▲ 1.78%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $398,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $398,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $425,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Price Changed $425,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $437,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-23 Listed $437,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-16 Coming Soon $437,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $186,500 Public Records
  • 1998-09-21 Sold (MLS) $186,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-08-04 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1998-06-02 Listed $193,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1995-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $154,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,924 · -46.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…