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40 Beach Rd
B+ Composite 75.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$275,000

40 Beach Rd · Clinton, CT 06413
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1928 3,920 sqft lot Est $380k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.

Key facts

  • Beach rights
  • Extensive renovation
  • Prime location

Tags

BEACH RIGHTSEXTENSIVE RENOVATIONPRIME LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Assessed value reported
  • HOA & community: Association-required beach access

Exterior

  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; Hot water: Other
  • Home design: Single-family property
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Asbestos exterior siding; Other construction description; No foundation listed
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Beach rights with association-required access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heat; Gas available in street for heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; No basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#34 in CT, #2,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-, commute D+.
  • Clinton School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #76 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $173k; list at $275k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,875 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.66%
Cash-on-cash
15.58%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$380,160
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5 Robin Ln 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 4mo $360,000 $360 78
14 Chestnut Dr 0.39mi 2/1.0 1,040 (-2%) 4mo $185,000 $178 74
28 Bluff Ave 0.05mi 2/1.0 960 (-9%) 11mo $365,000 $380 71
86 Grove Beach Rd N 0.48mi 3/1.0 (+1) 935 (-12%) 3mo $364,900 $390 49
10 Oak Dr 0.45mi 2/1.5 924 (-12%) 22mo $162,000 $175 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$19,080
Equity at exit
$41,003
10-year hold
IRR
15.7%
Equity multiple
2.28×
Total profit
$98,484
Equity at exit
$23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06413

Active inventory
84
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,502 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$210 /mo · $2,524/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$735
Net cashflow
$1,000

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,237
Max offer price $275,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10 Grove Way #10 Clinton, CT 2.0 1.0 840 $2,450 $2.92 43d 1 0.40mi
170 Shore Rd Clinton, CT 2.0 1.0 944 $2,900 $3.07 43d 1 0.52mi
89 Grove Beach Rd S Westbrook, CT 3.0 1.5 1441 $7,500 $5.20 43d 1 0.57mi
61 Hammock Rd N Westbrook, CT 3.0 2.0 1262 $3,000 $2.38 43d 1 1.20mi
24 College St #6 Clinton, CT 2.0 1.0 759 $1,950 $2.57 43d 1 1.25mi
14 Leeway Dr Westbrook, CT 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,300 $1.92 43d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 26 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 24 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 23 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 21 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-23
    listed $275,000 Active
  17. 2026-03-14
    historical
  18. 2026-03-03
    price $250,000
  19. 2026-02-25
    price $300,000
  20. 2026-02-03
    listed $325,000 Active
  21. 2026-02-02
    historical
  22. 2005-10-17
    soldstatus $173,000
  23. 2005-10-17
    soldstatus $173,000
  24. 2005-10-13
    soldstatus $173,000 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.

  25. 2005-05-31
    listed $189,900 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (193 chars)

    Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,524 · $210/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,204 · $350/mo
Expected delta
+$1,680/yr (+$140/mo · 66.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,027
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,524
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,362
− Management
−$3,362
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable income
$7,999
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,920
After-tax cash flow
$10,077/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clinton School District
NCES district ID
0900810
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$71,762
Composite
46.08/100
National rank
#2514
State rank
#76 of 153 in CT

Livability — Clinton

Score
78/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#2393

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living C- Crime A- Employment B+ Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,317

Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
188,651

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+13.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.95%
Current HPI
192.3695
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+44.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $275,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $250,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $300,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-02-02 Coming Soon Smart MLS
  • 2005-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,000 Public Records
  • 2005-10-13 Sold (MLS) $173,000 Smart MLS
  • 2005-05-31 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,524 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…