40 Beach Rd · Clinton, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.
Key facts
- Beach rights
- Extensive renovation
- Prime location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Assessed value reported
- HOA & community: Association-required beach access
Exterior
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic sewage system; Hot water: Other
- Home design: Single-family property
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Asbestos exterior siding; Other construction description; No foundation listed
- Exterior features: Level lot; Beach rights with association-required access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heat; Gas available in street for heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 2.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#34 in CT, #2,393 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A-, employment B+; Watch: amenities C-, cost of living C-, commute D+.
- Clinton School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #76 of 153 in CT (top 50%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 278 units permitted in Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region in 2024 (89 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $173k; list at $275k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.58%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $380,160
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Robin Ln | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $360 | 78 |
| 14 Chestnut Dr | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-2%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $178 | 74 |
| 28 Bluff Ave | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-9%) | 11mo | $365,000 | $380 | 71 |
| 86 Grove Beach Rd N | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 935 (-12%) | 3mo | $364,900 | $390 | 49 |
| 10 Oak Dr | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 | 924 (-12%) | 22mo | $162,000 | $175 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $19,080
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.28×
- Total profit
- $98,484
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06413
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,502 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$210 /mo · $2,524/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$735
- Net cashflow
- $1,000
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Grove Way #10 Clinton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $2,450 | $2.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 170 Shore Rd Clinton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $2,900 | $3.07 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 89 Grove Beach Rd S Westbrook, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $7,500 | $5.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 61 Hammock Rd N Westbrook, CT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $3,000 | $2.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 24 College St #6 Clinton, CT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 759 | $1,950 | $2.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14 Leeway Dr Westbrook, CT | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $275,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $275,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-05-23$275,000 Active
-
2026-03-14historical
-
2026-03-03price $250,000
-
2026-02-25price $300,000
-
2026-02-03$325,000 Active
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2026-02-02historical
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2005-10-17soldstatus $173,000
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2005-10-17soldstatus $173,000
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2005-10-13soldstatus $173,000 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.
-
2005-05-31$189,900 193-char remark
Show marketing remark (193 chars)
Beach rights come with this cute little house near long island sound. Shopping,restaurants, attractions, beaches all near by. Lilac bushes are blooming! Comeand enjoy them. Property sold as is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,524 · $210/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,204 · $350/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,680/yr (+$140/mo · 66.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,027
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$2,524
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,362
- − Management
- −$3,362
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $7,999
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,077/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clinton School District
- NCES district ID
- 0900810
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,762
- Composite
- 46.08/100
- National rank
- #2514
- State rank
- #76 of 153 in CT
Livability — Clinton
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #34
- US rank
- #2393
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,317
Population outlook (Lower Connecticut River Valley County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 188,651
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lower Connecticut River Valley
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 55.9% · R 42.4% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -164.95%
- Current HPI
- 192.3695
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+44.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Listed $275,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-03-14 Listing Removed — Smart MLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $250,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $300,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-02-02 Coming Soon — Smart MLS
- 2005-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $173,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-13 Sold (MLS) $173,000 Smart MLS
- 2005-05-31 Listed $189,900 Smart MLS
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2023): $2,524 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…