17118 Vardon Ter #108 · Lakewood Ranch, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.3/30.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.3/10.0
- Rent growth +1.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Live the dream! Look no further than this 3 bed, 2 bath, first floor, end-unit condo with lake views in the amenity-rich, golfing community of Lakewood National. Relax while taking in the view and sipping your favorite drink on your lanai after enjoying one of the many amenities exclusive to Lakewood National. Amenities include: Two 18-hole Arnold Palmer championship golf courses and onsite Pro Shop, clubhouse, fitness center with yoga room, salon and day spa, resort-style pool with water fall and tiki bar, zero entry and lap pool, tennis, pickle ball, and driving range. The Grand Clubhouse, which is set to open in the summer, will offer multiple dining options as well.
Key facts
- Golf course fairways
- Screened lanai
- First floor unit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property in a CDD; Turnkey furnished
- Financial info: Total monthly fees (including all assessments) listed as $1,207.75; Total annual fees listed as $14,493; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (association name: Morgan Klein); Monthly HOA approximately $724.42; Annual association fee approximately $8,693; Condo fee quarterly ($483 monthly condo fee reflected; condo fees listed as $1,450); Association fees include: 24-hour guard, common area taxes, pool, insurance, building and grounds maintenance, management, pest control, recreational facilities, security, sewer, trash, water; Community amenities: Clubhouse, fitness center, golf, park, playground, pool, sidewalks, tennis courts, community mailbox; golf carts allowed; Pets allowed (cats and dogs), max pet weight 100 lbs
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: 24-hour guard (included in association fees)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property type; One-level unit (first floor); North-facing
- Construction: Block construction; Tile roof; Block foundation; Built as part of a multi-story building
- Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Pest guard system; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Washer (in unit); Electric water heater; Inside laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-308 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $285k (16.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $339k).
- Recommended offer: $285k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Lakewood Ranch — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: B.D. Gullett Elementary School (math 78% / reading 73%, grade A, #211 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 1,121 students, 20% FRL); Lakewood Ranch High School (math 47% / reading 63%, grade C, #135 of 667 statewide, top 20%, 2,435 students, 22% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 51% district-wide (29 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 52% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Manatee average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.2%/yr); 1154 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.89%
- DSCR
- 0.83
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-86,137
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- -62.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.53×
- Total profit
- $-144,912
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34211
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 1154
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,260 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$547 /mo · $6,566/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$1,207
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$895
- Net cashflow
- $-308
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17118 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $2,800 | $2.31 | 14d | 3 | 0.02mi |
| 17118 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $2,800 | $2.31 | 1d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 17108 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $6,000 | $4.99 | 23d | 4 | 0.04mi |
| 17006 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $5,200 | $4.35 | 23d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 16904 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1195 | $6,500 | $5.44 | 3d | 5 | 0.16mi |
| 16814 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $3,650 | $3.25 | 23d | 2 | 0.21mi |
| 5921 Wake Forest Run Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,500 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 16804 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $3,425 | $3.03 | 2d | 2 | 0.26mi |
| 17510 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1196 | $6,200 | $5.18 | 3d | 5 | 0.29mi |
| 5831 Wake Forest Run #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1741 | $6,995 | $4.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 17520 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $6,000 | $4.94 | 23d | 2 | 0.31mi |
| 17520 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $3,000 | $2.68 | 23d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 16706 Vardon Ter Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $6,000 | $4.99 | 14d | 5 | 0.31mi |
| 5930 Cessna Run Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $12,500 | $6.76 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 17626 Gawthrop Dr #206 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $5,500 | $4.82 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 17704 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,375 | $2.08 | 23d | 3 | 0.40mi |
| 17704 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1545826P Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $3,163 | $2.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 17724 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $3,250 | $2.66 | 11d | 3 | 0.46mi |
| 5507 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $2,750 | $2.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 17815 Gawthrop Dr #101 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $7,500 | $4.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5517 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1329 | $4,000 | $3.01 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 17810 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $4,000 | $2.75 | 19d | 2 | 0.57mi |
| 17902 Gawthrop Dr Unit 1546175P Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $2,965 | $2.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 17902 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1213 | $6,500 | $5.36 | 15d | 4 | 0.57mi |
| 5537 Palmer Cir #201 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $3,200 | $2.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 5528 Palmer Cir #105 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,000 | $1.48 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18008 Gawthrop Dr #402 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $2,500 | $2.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 18017 Gawthrop Dr #104 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $6,000 | $3.36 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 18028 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $6,000 | $4.58 | 15d | 6 | 0.67mi |
| 5548 Palmer Cir #103 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $2,200 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 5710 Palmer Cir #201 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $4,500 | $3.08 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5557 Palmer Cir #202 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1355 | $3,500 | $2.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 18114 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $7,000 | $5.38 | 23d | 5 | 0.72mi |
| 18114 Gawthrop Dr Bradenton, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $7,000 | $5.34 | 1d | 3 | 0.72mi |
| 18117 Gawthrop Dr #104 Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $4,000 | $2.24 | 23d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5558 Palmer Cir #106 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $6,000 | $4.10 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5721 Palmer Cir Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1452 | $3,250 | $2.24 | 23d | 2 | 0.73mi |
| 6647 Clairborne Ln Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1836 | $3,595 | $1.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5567 Palmer Cir #104 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $5,500 | $4.12 | 23d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5711 Palmer Cir #206 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1462 | $3,000 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $1,207 · $14,484/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $339,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $339,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $339,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $339,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $339,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $339,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $339,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $339,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-02-13$339,000 Active
-
2024-07-28historical $8,910
-
2024-04-23$8,910
-
2024-02-24historical $8,910
-
2022-11-30$8,910
-
2021-08-03soldstatus $315,000
-
2021-08-02soldstatus $315,000 Closed 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Live the dream! Look no further than this 3 bed, 2 bath, first floor, end-unit condo with lake views in the amenity-rich, golfing community of Lakewood National. Relax while taking in the view and sipping your favorite drink on your lanai after enjoying one of the many amenities exclusive to Lakewood National. Amenities include: Two 18-hole Arnold Palmer championship golf courses and onsite Pro Shop, clubhouse, fitness center with yoga room, salon and day spa, resort-style pool with water fall and tiki bar, zero entry and lap pool, tennis, pickle ball, and driving range. The Grand Clubhouse, which is set to open in the summer, will offer multiple dining options as well.
-
2021-06-18status Pending 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Live the dream! Look no further than this 3 bed, 2 bath, first floor, end-unit condo with lake views in the amenity-rich, golfing community of Lakewood National. Relax while taking in the view and sipping your favorite drink on your lanai after enjoying one of the many amenities exclusive to Lakewood National. Amenities include: Two 18-hole Arnold Palmer championship golf courses and onsite Pro Shop, clubhouse, fitness center with yoga room, salon and day spa, resort-style pool with water fall and tiki bar, zero entry and lap pool, tennis, pickle ball, and driving range. The Grand Clubhouse, which is set to open in the summer, will offer multiple dining options as well.
-
2021-06-09$315,000 Active 678-char remark
Show marketing remark (678 chars)
Live the dream! Look no further than this 3 bed, 2 bath, first floor, end-unit condo with lake views in the amenity-rich, golfing community of Lakewood National. Relax while taking in the view and sipping your favorite drink on your lanai after enjoying one of the many amenities exclusive to Lakewood National. Amenities include: Two 18-hole Arnold Palmer championship golf courses and onsite Pro Shop, clubhouse, fitness center with yoga room, salon and day spa, resort-style pool with water fall and tiki bar, zero entry and lap pool, tennis, pickle ball, and driving range. The Grand Clubhouse, which is set to open in the summer, will offer multiple dining options as well.
-
2019-01-10soldstatus $220,000 Sold 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Under construction - estimated completion Nov 2018. The Carolina plan offers peaceful living in a special place to call home. 2 spacious bedrooms separated by multi-functional den/study, 2 full bathrooms, cozy kitchen includes quaint dinette area, lanai perfect for lazy afternoon cat naps. Lakewood National promises to offer a lifestyle that’s nothing short of extraordinary. Membership to the expansive 36-hole golf course at Lakewood National Golf Club is included in this bundled community! Even more exciting, residents will have their very own clubhouse, fitness center, resort pool and driving range. It all adds up to a championship lifestyle beyond compare. Photography, renderings, and virtual tour are for display purposes only – the model home furniture, accessories, wall-coverings, landscaping, and options are not included in the price of the home. For included features and any questions, please schedule your showing TODAY!
-
2018-11-02status Pending 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Under construction - estimated completion Nov 2018. The Carolina plan offers peaceful living in a special place to call home. 2 spacious bedrooms separated by multi-functional den/study, 2 full bathrooms, cozy kitchen includes quaint dinette area, lanai perfect for lazy afternoon cat naps. Lakewood National promises to offer a lifestyle that’s nothing short of extraordinary. Membership to the expansive 36-hole golf course at Lakewood National Golf Club is included in this bundled community! Even more exciting, residents will have their very own clubhouse, fitness center, resort pool and driving range. It all adds up to a championship lifestyle beyond compare. Photography, renderings, and virtual tour are for display purposes only – the model home furniture, accessories, wall-coverings, landscaping, and options are not included in the price of the home. For included features and any questions, please schedule your showing TODAY!
-
2018-11-01$221,999 Active 955-char remark
Show marketing remark (955 chars)
Under construction - estimated completion Nov 2018. The Carolina plan offers peaceful living in a special place to call home. 2 spacious bedrooms separated by multi-functional den/study, 2 full bathrooms, cozy kitchen includes quaint dinette area, lanai perfect for lazy afternoon cat naps. Lakewood National promises to offer a lifestyle that’s nothing short of extraordinary. Membership to the expansive 36-hole golf course at Lakewood National Golf Club is included in this bundled community! Even more exciting, residents will have their very own clubhouse, fitness center, resort pool and driving range. It all adds up to a championship lifestyle beyond compare. Photography, renderings, and virtual tour are for display purposes only – the model home furniture, accessories, wall-coverings, landscaping, and options are not included in the price of the home. For included features and any questions, please schedule your showing TODAY!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,566 · $547/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,566 · $547/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$6,566
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,090
- − Management
- −$4,090
- − HOA
- −$14,484
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable loss
- −$8,655
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,077
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,616/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lakewood Ranch
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakewood Ranch, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- City population
- 52,177
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,980
- Household income
- $119,911
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 815.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -100.84%
- Current HPI
- 265.946
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.17%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+52.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-13 Listed $339,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-07-28 Rental Removed $8,910 STELLARMLS
- 2024-04-23 Listed for Rent $8,910 STELLARMLS
- 2024-02-24 Rental Removed $8,910 STELLARMLS
- 2022-11-30 Listed for Rent $8,910 STELLARMLS
- 2021-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-02 Sold (MLS) $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-09 Listed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-10 Sold (MLS) $220,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-02 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-01 Listed $221,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+9.1%/yrLatest (2024): $6,566 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…