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290 Weatherford St
C- Composite 51.46
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

290 Weatherford St · Vidor, TX 77662
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 15 Days on market
0.44 ac lot $119/sqft · 12% below area Est $165k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2/2 Investor special with a little TLC this one could be super nice and put your own touch on it!

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • Municipal water
  • Open layout

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEMUNICIPAL WATERMUNICIPAL SEWERPLANK FLOORINGOPEN LAYOUTKITCHEN ISLAND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Mobile home (with land); Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Pantry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $96 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (4.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $139k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 4.6% in Vidor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#576 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Vidor ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #422 of 826 in TX (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 241 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $138,976 (4.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.83%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,000
List price
$145,000
Delta
-12.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.8%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-17,371
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,180
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77662

Active inventory
241
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$96

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
475 S Denver St Vidor, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 910 $925 $1.02 44d 2 1.35mi
475 S Denver St Unit St216 Vidor, TX 2.0 1.0 880 $850 $0.97 14d 1 1.35mi
315 N Dwayne Cir Vidor, TX 3.0 1.5 1040 $1,600 $1.54 21d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    listed $145,000 Active 724-char remark
  2. 2025-04-18
    soldstatus Closed 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    2/2 Investor special with a little TLC this one could be super nice and put your own touch on it!

  3. 2025-04-16
    soldstatus
  4. 2025-01-10
    status Pending 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    2/2 Investor special with a little TLC this one could be super nice and put your own touch on it!

  5. 2024-11-01
    listed $35,000 Active 97-char remark
    Show marketing remark (97 chars)

    2/2 Investor special with a little TLC this one could be super nice and put your own touch on it!

  6. 2015-08-05
    soldstatus
  7. 2015-08-04
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (149 chars)

    Spacious 2012 2/2 single wide mobile home on almost a 1/2 acre. Large yard, storage/shop, water well. Motived Seller!!! Bring all offers. Must see!!!

  8. 2015-05-15
    listed $45,000
    Show marketing remark (149 chars)

    Spacious 2012 2/2 single wide mobile home on almost a 1/2 acre. Large yard, storage/shop, water well. Motived Seller!!! Bring all offers. Must see!!!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,677
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,232
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$296
After-tax cash flow
$1,446/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vidor ISD
NCES district ID
4844160
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$44,169
Composite
33.95/100
National rank
#5331
State rank
#422 of 826 in TX

Livability — Vidor

Score
67/100
State rank
#576
US rank
#11001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Vidor, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
City population
25,041
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
25,041
Household income
$72,243
Rent vs Own
19.6% rent · 80.4% own
Severe rent burden
401.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.46%
Current HPI
141.0844
Rent YoY
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending BBOR
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $145,000 BBOR
  • 2025-04-18 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2025-04-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-01-10 Pending BBOR
  • 2024-11-01 Listed $35,000 BBOR
  • 2015-08-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-08-04 Sold (MLS) BBOR
  • 2015-05-15 Listed $45,000 BBOR

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $81 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…