15306 Asbury Park · Detroit, MI 48227

$80,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,052 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market

Built 1952 4,792 sqft lot $76/sqft · 31% below area Est $141k · 43% under ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +3.9/5.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced - perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use - and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

Key facts

• Garage
• Attached carport
• Wood floors

Tags

• FULL POURED BASEMENT
• EPOXY-COATED FLOOR
• WOOD FLOORS
• FULLY FENCED BACKYARD
• GARAGE
• ATTACHED CARPORT

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $515 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 385 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $77,600 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.69% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.60%
• DSCR: 2.23
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $141,164
• List price: $80,000
• Delta: -43.33%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
15300 Asbury Park Park	0.01mi	3/1.0	1,052 (0%)	7mo	$58,500	$56	94
16342 Ellsworth St	0.09mi	3/1.5	1,064 (+1%)	7mo	$43,000	$40	86
15508 Saint Marys St	0.24mi	3/1.0	1,100 (+5%)	0mo	$59,900	$54	81
15751 Biltmore St	0.32mi	3/1.0	1,000 (-5%)	5mo	$119,000	$119	73
15454 Asbury Park	0.16mi	3/1.5	956 (-9%)	5mo	$149,000	$156	71
15496 Winthrop St	0.47mi	3/1.0	1,073 (+2%)	8mo	$52,000	$48	68
15480 Asbury Park	0.19mi	3/1.5	1,184 (+12%)	7mo	$150,000	$127	62
15366 Sussex St	0.69mi	3/1.0	1,100 (+5%)	3mo	$105,000	$95	58
15725 Asbury Park	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,206 (+15%)	2mo	$80,200	$67	57
15316 Prevost St NE	0.28mi	2/1.5 (-1)	1,193 (+13%)	2mo	$157,000	$132	56
15800 Biltmore St	0.38mi	3/2.5	1,188 (+13%)	3mo	$112,000	$94	52
16199 Ferguson St	0.59mi	3/1.0	1,192 (+13%)	4mo	$85,000	$71	47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.05×
• Total profit: $23,489
• Equity at exit: $11,928

10-year hold

• IRR: 34.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.50×
• Total profit: $78,438
• Equity at exit: $6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48227

• Rents YoY: 5.6%
• Active inventory: 385
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,352 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$100 /mo · $1,203/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$284
• Net cashflow: $515

Break-even live

Break-even rent $700

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
15332 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,200	$1.00	16d	1	0.10mi
15065 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,250	$1.14	43d	1	0.20mi
15375 Prevost St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.0	907	$1,300	$1.43	16d	1	0.25mi
15736 Biltmore St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.5	1000	$1,200	$1.20	16d	1	0.27mi
16014 Hackett St Detroit, MI	4.0	2.0	1142	$1,500	$1.31	43d	1	0.31mi
15752 Rutherford St Detroit, MI	3.0	2.0	1174	$1,386	$1.18	4d	1	0.34mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,150	$1.28	4d	1	0.36mi
14753 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,150	$1.28	12d	1	0.36mi
14836 Rutherford St Unit 2 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1104	$950	$0.86	43d	1	0.40mi
15866 Mansfield St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1324	$1,425	$1.08	24d	1	0.43mi
14535 Mettetal St Unit 1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	965	$1,000	$1.04	43d	1	0.51mi
14716 Archdale St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,100	$1.22	43d	1	0.53mi
14504 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.0	1362	$1,473	$1.08	43d	1	0.54mi
16210 Ferguson St Detroit, MI	4.0	2.0	1493	$1,750	$1.17	3d	1	0.56mi
14893 Prest St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,000	$0.91	14d	1	0.59mi
14580 Forrer St Unit Unit Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1300	$900	$0.69	19d	1	0.60mi
16535 Asbury Park Detroit, MI	3.0	1.5	1152	$1,450	$1.26	24d	1	0.62mi
15100 Whitcomb St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	750	$925	$1.23	43d	1	0.63mi
14615 Winthrop St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1217	$1,300	$1.07	16d	1	0.63mi
15468 Sussex St #2 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,250	$1.39	43d	1	0.70mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,375	$1.38	24d	1	0.74mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 2 Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,450	$1.45	24d	1	0.74mi
15330 Coyle St Unit 1 Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,425	$1.43	12d	1	0.74mi
15328 Coyle St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,450	$1.45	17d	1	0.74mi
14814 Sussex St Unit 2 Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,000	$0.91	43d	1	0.77mi
15341 Lauder St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.5	1080	$1,475	$1.37	16d	1	0.83mi
15810 Robson St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1142	$1,500	$1.31	24d	1	0.87mi
16151 Robson St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,525	$1.17	14d	1	0.93mi
16876 Harlow Ave Unit (NO) Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1250	$1,350	$1.08	43d	1	0.97mi
14375 Terry St Detroit, MI	3.0	2.0	1300	$1,425	$1.10	43d	1	1.02mi
15073 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	860	$1,350	$1.57	16d	1	1.03mi
14264 Coyle St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,150	$1.15	43d	1	1.05mi
17165 Prevost St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1060	$2,400	$2.26	1d	1	1.05mi
17201 Saint Marys St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1200	$1,200	$1.00	2d	1	1.06mi
14104 Coyle St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1327	$1,350	$1.02	4d	1	1.12mi
14559 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1033	$1,150	$1.11	20d	1	1.13mi
14600 Strathmoor St Detroit, MI	4.0	1.0	1300	$1,450	$1.12	43d	1	1.14mi
15762 Mark Twain St Detroit, MI	3.0	2.0	1430	$1,250	$0.87	16d	1	1.15mi
13600 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	848	$1,100	$1.30	4d	1	1.21mi
16823 Stahelin Ave Detroit, MI	3.0	2.5	1500	$1,600	$1.07	17d	1	1.27mi

Listing history 6 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 482-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced—perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use—and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

2. 2026-05-13
   status Pending 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced—perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use—and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

3. 2026-04-17
   price $80,000 482-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced—perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use—and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

4. 2026-04-17
   price $80,000 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (490 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced—perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use—and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

5. 2026-04-04
   listed $90,000 Active 490-char remark

   Show marketing remark (482 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced - perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use - and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

6. 2026-04-04
   listed $90,000 Active 482-char remark

   Show marketing remark (482 chars)

   3-bedroom bungalow offering a great mix of character and potential. This home features 1.5 baths, a full poured basement with a newer epoxy-coated floor, and wood floors that add a classic touch throughout. The backyard is fully fenced - perfect for pets or everyday outdoor use - and includes a unique setup with a garage, attached carport bar, and a cabana room in the back, making it a fun space to relax or entertain. Conveniently located close to the Lodge for an easy commute.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,203 · $100/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,217 · $101/mo
• Expected delta: +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 1.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,228
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$1,203
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,298
• − Management: −$1,298
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $5,220
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,253
• After-tax cash flow: $4,930/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Public Schools Community District
• NCES district ID: 2601103
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $25,815
• Composite: 13.06/100
• National rank: #9564
• State rank: #499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 572,865
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 40,302
• Household income: $36,527
• Rent vs Own: 40.9% rent · 59.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 2371.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (95%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 95% Two or more races 3% White 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -125.00%
• Current HPI: 186.4158
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.59%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

6 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-05-13 Pending — REALCOMP
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-04-17 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-04-04 Listed $90,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-04-04 Listed $90,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,203 · -63.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.