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The Colorado F Plan 🏗️ New Construction
C+ Composite 62.42
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0

$269,990

The Colorado F Plan · Kendleton, TX 77417
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,590 sqft · SingleFamily · 251 Days on market
Excellent condition ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

Key facts

  • Covered patio
  • Breakfast area
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

OPEN FAMILY AND KITCHEN SPACEBREAKFAST AREAWALK-IN PANTRYPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITESPACIOUS WALK-IN CLOSETCOVERED PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $269,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $282,772.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $238k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 6.2% in Kendleton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#1,021 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime D.
  • Lamar CISD (suburban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #116 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 232 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12,093 units permitted in Fort Bend County in 2024 (815 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Fort Bend County population projected at +75% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $79k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 251 days — a 12% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $237,591 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 251 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.88%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,772
List price
$269,990
Delta
-4.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10710 Sage Bend Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,595 (+0%) 1mo $274,990 $172 71
1027 Rosewood Trl 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (+2%) 3mo $313,900 $194 64
1022 Whispering Winds Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,613 (+1%) 5mo $292,900 $182 64
10735 Dogwood Sky Dr 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+12%) 0mo $289,990 $163 60
10950 Tawny Ridge Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (-4%) 6mo $259,990 $170 59
1031 Rosewood Trl 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+12%) 3mo $299,900 $169 53
950 Mockingbird Passage Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,434 (-10%) 7mo $249,990 $174 51
10803 Hickory Ln 0.70mi 4/2.0 1,778 (+12%) 2mo $309,900 $174 46
10610 Autumn Trace Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+14%) 6mo $305,990 $168 37
10627 Summers Way 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+14%) 5mo $303,990 $167 37
10639 Summers Way 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+14%) 7mo $307,990 $169 36
10615 Summers Way 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,819 (+14%) 5mo $305,990 $168 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$76,469
Equity at exit
$145,910
10-year hold
IRR
16.8%
Equity multiple
3.74×
Total profit
$216,957
Equity at exit
$240,697

Cash invested: $79,176 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77417

Home prices YoY
1.2%
Active inventory
232
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,965 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,483
Tax est. 1.5%
$353 /mo · $4,242/yr
Insurance
$118
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$388

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,474
Max offer price $282,772
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $584 -5% $486 +0% $388 +5% $290 +10% $193
Rent -10% $154 -5% $271 +0% $388 +5% $505 +10% $622
Rate -1.0pp $531 -0.5pp $460 base $388 +0.5pp $315 +1.0pp $240

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,693
Closing costs
$8,483
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10730 Sky Creek Ln Beasley, TX 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1869 $2,965 $1.59 2d 1 0.05mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $269,990 Active 251 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $269,990 Active 250 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $269,990 Active 249 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $269,990 Active 248 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $269,990 Active 246 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $269,990 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $269,990 Active 241 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $269,990 Active 240 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $269,990 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $269,990 Active 236 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $269,990 Active 235 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $269,990 Active 234 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $269,990 Active 233 DOM
  14. 2026-03-05
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

  15. 2026-03-05
    price $284,990 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

  16. 2025-12-13
    historical 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

  17. 2025-12-12
    status Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

  18. 2025-08-06
    historical 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

  19. 2025-03-14
    listed $294,990 Active 611-char remark
    Show marketing remark (611 chars)

    Welcome to The Colorado! This lovely home features an open family and kitchen space with a breakfast area and walk-in pantry. Enjoy a private primary suite with a spacious walk-in closet. There are three additional bedrooms as well as another full bathroom. This floor plan also includes a two-car garage. Make it your own with The Colorado's flexible floor plan. From additional garage space to a covered patio, you've got every opportunity to make The Colorado your dream home. Just know that offerings vary by location, so please discuss our standard features and upgrade options with your community's agent.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,580
− Mortgage interest
−$15,840
− Property taxes
−$4,242
− Insurance
−$1,414
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,846
− Management
−$2,846
− Depreciation
−$8,226
Taxable income
$166
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$40
After-tax cash flow
$4,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It's move-in ready and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping to further enhance its curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve both resale and rental appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Painting the exterior — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
  • Both Landscaping the front yard — A well-maintained front yard can improve both resale and rental appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lamar CISD
NCES district ID
4826580
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$75,213
Composite
46.43/100
National rank
#2452
State rank
#116 of 826 in TX

Livability — Kendleton

Score
61/100
State rank
#1021
US rank
#18149

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
115,151
Population (ZIP)
3,232

Population outlook (Fort Bend County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,004,526 people
By 2030
1,153,104 · +14.8%
By 2040
1,453,718 · +44.7%
By 2050
1,753,781 · +74.6%
By 2075
2,455,772 · +144.5%
By 2100
2,930,528 · +191.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 49% White 22% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 54%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Fort Bend

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.5% · R 47.9% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+4.0pp toward D · 2008: -2.4pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+10.6 2016: D+6.6 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+2.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.15%
Current HPI
337.8236
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted Zillow
  • 2026-03-05 Price Changed $284,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-13 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-12-12 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-08-06 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $294,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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