134 Hemlock Dr #134 · Mount Vernon, IL 62864

$25,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 90 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as a clubhouse, community events, a playground, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

• Built 2026
• Listed 90 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $40,300

Exterior

• Utilities: Natural gas; Central air
• Home design: Spec-built property; Plan 92407

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Active listing

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
• Recommended offer: $24k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 40.2% vs local median 5.3% in Mount Vernon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#413 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201 (town): math 13% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #532 of 620 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 6 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Jefferson County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $23,500 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.45% ✓
• Cap rate: 40.17%
• Cash-on-cash: 120.99%
• DSCR: 6.38
• GRM: 1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 6.85×
• Total profit: $40,918
• Equity at exit: $3,728

10-year hold

• IRR: —
• Equity multiple: 14.37×
• Total profit: $93,583
• Equity at exit: $2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62864

• Active inventory: 186
• Price-to-rent: 1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,112 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$31 /mo · $375/yr
• Insurance: −$10
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $706

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219

Max offer price $25,000

Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $6,250
• Closing costs: $750
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1407 S 34th St Mt Vernon, IL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	806	$1,310	$1.63	43d	7	0.92mi
4100 Willow Spgs Mount Vernon, IL	2.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	847	$855	$1.01	43d	1	1.26mi

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $25,000 Active 90 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $25,000 Active 89 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $25,000 Active 88 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $25,000 Active 87 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $25,000 Active 85 DOM
6. 2026-06-12
   days on market $25,000 Active 84 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $25,000 Active 81 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   price $25,000 Active 80 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $30,000 Active 80 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 79 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $30,000 Active 78 DOM
12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $30,000 Active 75 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $30,000 Active 74 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    price $30,000 Active 73 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $29,500 Active 73 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 72 DOM
17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $29,500 Active 71 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,345
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,400
• − Property taxes: −$375
• − Insurance: −$125
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,068
• − Management: −$1,068
• − Depreciation: −$727
• Taxable income: $8,582
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,060
• After-tax cash flow: $6,410/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 8 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior. It has a good foundation and structure, and the HVAC and mechanical systems appear to be in good condition. The home is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and add value to the property

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value ↑
• Both Replace carpet with hardwood flooring — Hardwood flooring is more durable and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
• Both Install smart home devices — Smart home devices can improve convenience and add value to the property ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mt Vernon Twp Hsd 201
• NCES district ID: 1727360
• Math proficiency: 13% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -8.00%
• Median HH income: $38,188
• Composite: 12.22/100
• National rank: #9648
• State rank: #532 of 620 in IL

Livability — Mount Vernon

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #413
• US rank: #8520

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Mount Vernon, IL
• Population (ZIP): 23,061

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 36,818 people
• By 2030: 35,764 · -2.9%
• By 2040: 33,649 · -8.6%
• By 2050: 31,557 · -14.3%
• By 2075: 26,055 · -29.2%
• By 2100: 19,237 · -47.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.5% · R 73.3% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -37.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -47.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+43.2 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -83.64%
• Current HPI: 134.2669
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B