7360 Lassen St · Nice, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 9/10 · Severe
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 34 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 36 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two bedroom, one bathroom manufactured home situated on its own private lot, could be an investment opportunity! The home features an open floor plan, great natural lighting, updated kitchen cabinets, and a large deck outside of the living room. The partially fenced large lot offers nice sized area for gardening, with a shed for added storage.
Key facts
- Natural lighting
- Large deck
- Open floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R1; No ADU; Single-unit property; No common walls; Living area and year built source: Assessor
- Financial info: Assessments: Unknown
- HOA & community: Community offers watersports, biking, hiking, fishing, lake access, foothills, mountainous terrain, and nearby BLM/National Forest
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway (unpaved) with uphill slope from street; Has parking
- Security: Carbon monoxide detector(s); Smoke detector
- Utilities: 220V in kitchen; Public sewer; Public/district water; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: One story; Entry level 1; Ground-level entry with steps; Has view
- Construction: Manufactured construction
- Exterior features: Manufactured house; Covered wood rear porch and deck; Awning; Shed on property; No pool; Fenced (good condition); Treed lot; Up slope from street; Unpaved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Electric range; Formica counters; Eating area in kitchen; Kitchen open to family room
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Bamboo
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with shower-in-tub
- Heating & cooling: Central furnace heating; Evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Open floor plan; Attached living room deck; Entry at ground level with steps; One-level home
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry area located outside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath land listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 5.1% in Nice — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#652 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Upper Lake Unified (rural): math 17% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #433 of 517 in CA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 62 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 107 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $688 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 252 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $100k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 252 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.68%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $8,533
- Equity at exit
- $14,836
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.41×
- Total profit
- $39,149
- Equity at exit
- $8,603
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 95464
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 62
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $899/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $444 | -5% $415 | +0% $387 | +5% $359 | +10% $331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $285 | -5% $336 | +0% $387 | +5% $439 | +10% $490 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $437 | -0.5pp $413 | base $387 | +0.5pp $362 | +1.0pp $335 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6667 Blue Heron Dr Apt H Upper Lake, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,298 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6687 Blue Heron Dr Unit 6667 H Upper Lake, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $1,298 | $2.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,500 Active 252 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 250 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 249 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,500 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,500 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 242 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,500 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,500 Active 232 DOM
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2026-02-09price $99,500 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Two bedroom, one bathroom manufactured home situated on its own private lot, could be an investment opportunity! The home features an open floor plan, great natural lighting, updated kitchen cabinets, and a large deck outside of the living room. The partially fenced large lot offers nice sized area for gardening, with a shed for added storage.
-
2025-12-09price $99,500
-
2025-10-12$114,800 Active 345-char remark
Show marketing remark (345 chars)
Two bedroom, one bathroom manufactured home situated on its own private lot, could be an investment opportunity! The home features an open floor plan, great natural lighting, updated kitchen cabinets, and a large deck outside of the living room. The partially fenced large lot offers nice sized area for gardening, with a shed for added storage.
-
2025-10-10$114,800 Active
-
2001-03-29soldstatus $43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 9/10 Extreme
- Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 34 unhealthy d/yr today · 36 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,576
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$899
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,246
- − Management
- −$1,246
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $3,220
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$773
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Lake Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0601442
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,872
- Composite
- 20.24/100
- National rank
- #8624
- State rank
- #433 of 517 in CA
Livability — Nice
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #652
- US rank
- #20328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nice, CA
- City population
- 2,417
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,417
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,396 people
- By 2030
- 60,626 · -2.8%
- By 2040
- 56,453 · -9.5%
- By 2050
- 53,054 · -15.0%
- By 2075
- 47,663 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 41,804 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 29% Native American 17% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 28%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 20%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 49.2% · Other 3.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: -1.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.4 2020: D+6.3 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.76%
- Current HPI
- 177.0701
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+128.7% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $99,500 BAREIS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $99,500 CRMLS
- 2025-10-12 Listed $114,800 BAREIS
- 2025-10-10 Listed $114,800 CRMLS
- 2001-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $899 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…